Enron Mail

From:bryant@cheatsheets.net
To:cheatsheets@egroups.com
Subject:[cheatsheets] # 145 Passing Game Matchups Week 14 (11-29-00)
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 29 Nov 2000 15:40:00 -0800 (PST)

?=20

Hi Folks,

First off, congratulations on a great season.I assume if you=01,re still =
in=20
the hunt this late in the year, you have to call 2000 a successful =20
campaign.? Enjoy it.? It=01,s an intense time and you can=01,t slack off n=
ow but=20
it=01,s also important to enjoy the moment regardless of what happens in t=
he=20
next few weeks.? It=01,s tough enough just to get to this point.? Great w=
ork!

From my perspective it=01,s interesting in that the actual number of folks=
who=20
read the material drops way off this time of year.? But the other side of=
=20
the coin is that the interest level of the ones still reading shoots throu=
gh=20
the roof.? There may not be as many folks reading as there were in=20
September, but the ones that are here are into in a big way!???

I=01,ll do my dead level best to keep up my end of the bargain and provide=
the=20
best info I can all the way to the week 17 games.? Lets get at it.?

Joe

??

Matchups to Avoid and Exploit.? =20

Passing Game Matchups.?? Here's how I see the matchups this week.? Please=
=20
note, see the cheatsheet online (will be available?late Wednesday evening=
=20
at?http://www.cheatsheets.net/week14sheet.htm? ) ?for exactly where I rank=
=20
players and to determine who to start.? Just because one matchup may be mor=
e =20
favorable than another, that doesn't necessarily mean I'd start the player=
=20
with the best matchup.? The matchup info is meant to be just one more too=
l=20
in your box when it comes to deciding between players.??=20

Note:? I=01,ve used the player stats sorted by performance over the last f=
our=20
weeks extensively in developing these write-ups. Stats are provided by Mik=
e=20
Hall=01,s excellent FLM League Management Software.? http://www.fflm.com/ f=
or=20
more info.? The Fantasy Points Allowed by Position numbers are from=20
ESPN.com.? =20

?

Here we go:

Locks:? These games heavily favor the Offense =20

New Orleans Passing Game vs Bronco Defense???? I stuck my neck out a bit=
=20
last week with QB Aaron Brooks but he came though for me.? This week, he=20
draws a great matchup with a Denver defense that=01,s not been able to sto=
p=20
anyone through the air.? Over the last four weeks, they rank # 31 in passi=
ng=20
yards allowed per game.? Denver has averaged giving up 308 yards passing p=
er=20
game over that span.? With CB Ray Crockett out with a torn hamstring, Jim=
my=20
Spencer will fill in for him again this week.? He and Terrell Buckley can=
=20
definitely be beaten. Brooks will focus on WR Joe Horn, his primary weapon=
=20
but Willie Jackson refuses to fade away and is a solid option.? RB Chad=20
Morton catches the ball pretty well out of the backfield.? TE Aaron Glove=
r=20
still is total non factor for Fantasy purposes.? I'm doing my best to not=
=20
get carried away with Brooks.? Keep telling yourself the young man has=20
exactly 2 games of NFL experience.? On the other hand, there comes a time=
=20
when you take a leap and go with what you see with your own eyes.? This gu=
y=20
isn't playing like a 2 game rookie and the Denver defense is awful.? =20

St. Louis Passing Game vs Carolina Defense?? I want to believe.? I believe=
=20
in Kurt Warner and I believe he=01,ll get his Rams back on track.? As much=
as=20
anything, I believe you=01,ll see Marshall Faulk at least see more action =
than=20
he saw last week.? Warner=01,s an MVP but I think it=01,s Faulk that make=
s this=20
team go.? He creates so much havoc with the defense that must either commi=
t =20
safeties to support the run which then opens the passing game.? If the=20
defense plays the pass, then Faulk can kill them with the run or short=20
passes.? After last week, I=01,d be shocked if coach Mike Martz doesn=01,t=
get=20
back to utilizing?his?star RB?more.? Kurt Warner makes his return and I=01,=
m =20
guessing he picks up where he left off.? That=01,s not what you=01,d expec=
t to=20
happen but Warner=01,s made a career of exceeding expectations.? If he=01,=
s on =20
your roster, I think you have to go with him.? Especially against this=20
defense.? Carolina ranks # 30 in passing yards allowed per game over the=
=20
last four weeks.? For WRs, it=01,s always tough to pick.? Isaac Bruce and=
=20
Torry Holt are the sure guys but honestly, Ricky Proehl=01,s been on fire=
=20
lately.? Az-Zahir Hakim is always worth a shot too.? Any one of these guy=
s=20
can go off.? TE Roland Williams suffers with so many good receivers but he=
=01,s=20
a decent producer too.

Atlanta Passing Game vs Seattle Defense?? This one is a pure matchup play=
=20
as Dan Reeves makes the move for starting?QB Doug Johnson over the fading=
=20
Chris Chandler.? I=01,m not a big fan of either but if you find yourself f=
aced=20
with the prospect of starting a Falcon QB, this is the week to do it if yo=
u=01,
re ever going to.? The Seahawks defense is less like a hawk and more like =
an=20
albatross around Mike Holmgren=01,s neck.? They=01,re awful.? Over the last=
four=20
weeks, they rank # 29 in passing yards allowed per game.? Good luck picki=
ng=20
the WR as Terrance Mathis has been invisible lately while Shawn Jefferson =
is=20
making a resurgence.? A few weeks ago, it was Mathis who was hot while=20
Jefferson faded.? If you made me pick one, I=01,d reluctantly go with=20
Jefferson.? TE Reggie Kelly did catch 3 passes Sunday but I=01,m not count=
ing=20
on him for too much.

Pittsburgh Passing Game vs Raider Defense?? Kor-DELL=01(Kor-DELL=01(Kor-DE=
LL???=20
What brought this guy back to life?? I dunno but you can bet coach Bill=
=20
Cowher is going to do everything he can to keep it rolling.? Kordell Stewar=
t=20
looks to be playing with renewed confidence and we all know that so much o=
f=20
the game at this level is mental.? No one ever doubted his physical=20
skills.? The obvious spark seems to have been the benching of WR Plaxico =
=20
Burress and the inspired play of Hines Ward.? I think it=01,s ironic that W=
ard=20
was very much a Kordell-like =01&Slash=018 player in college at Georgia.? =
Bobby=20
Shaw is getting into the act and producing from the WR slot and wonders of=
=20
wonders, TE Mark Bruener caught a TD Sunday.? You know things are changin=
g=20
when Bruener gets in the endzone.? The Raiders are an extremely good =20
football team but stopping teams through the air is their Achilles heel.

Cincinnati Passing Game vs Cardinal Defense?? Another interesting aspect o=
f =20
writing this column late in the season is that you can almost guess which =
=20
players to talk about as most Fantasy Teams still interested in December ar=
e =20
stocked with the obvious stars.? QB Scott Mitchell likely doesn=01,t fall =
into=20
that =01&star=018 category and I doubt many folks are faced with the decis=
ion to=20
start him this week but if he=01,s your best QB, this might be your lucky=
=20
week.? First of all, let=01,s assume he gets the knee ready to go.? This e=
arly=20
in the week, that=01,s honestly a shaky assumption.? We=01,ll know more l=
ater.?=20
But if he can go, he could do some damage against an awful Cardinal=20
defense.? WR Peter Warrick could be a decent play too although Aeneas=20
Williams is a solid cover guy.? He=01,s hard to count out though just beca=
use=20
of his home run ability.? Funny how I don=01,t see many people complaining=
=20
about his 40 times now=01(? RB Corey Dillon is the only other starter on =
this=20
team but we=01,ll catch up with him in the rushing Matchups.

?

Prime Matchups:? These games favor the Offense?

Arizona Passing Game vs Bengal Defense?? Let=01,s be clear, I=01,m no Jake=
=20
Plummer fan but the truth of the matter is he=01,s got a pretty decent matc=
hup =20
this week.? He=01,s reportedly making good progress and should start Sunda=
y.? =20
Partly because, he=01,s better, partly because Dave Brown was just awful.?=
=20
=01&Worse than Plummer=018 has a nasty ring to it=01(? But this Bengal pa=
ss defense=20
is pretty bad.? Over the past four weeks, they rank # 26 in passing yards=
=20
allowed per game.? WRs David Boston has the physical tools to do some=20
damage and Frank Sanders has the experience to make an impact.? Remember,=
=20
this is the unit that made Pittsburgh look like the 1999 Rams last week.??=
?

New York Jets Passing Game vs Colts Defense?? The Jets have been up and do=
wn=20
a bit but this week they could make some noise against a struggling=20
Indianapolis defense.? The pathetic Colt pass rush only has 4 sacks in th=
e=20
last 4 games.? QB Vinny Testeverde had a decent day in their last matchup=
=20
with 271 yards and 1 TD.? WR Wayne Chrebet=01,s been in a funk lately but=
in=20
their week he went off catching 8 passes for 140.? Sure some of it was =20
late, but garbage stats count too.? Dedric Ward caught just 54 yards worth=
=20
of passes but he scored in that game.? He=01,s come on lately after fadin=
g=20
early. Rookie WR Laveranues Coles will miss another game it appears. RB=20
Curtis Martin still is struggling to get 100% healthy and that will hurt a=
=20
little.? TE Anthony Becht is a bright spot as he=01,s beginning to contrib=
ute.?=20
December in New York will make a difference to this soft Colt team which=
=20
doesn=01,t play as well in the cold.?

Detroit Passing Game vs Viking Defense?? Charlie Batch continued to look=
=20
good and went a good ways toward erasing some of his (well deserved) =20
candybone label with a gutsy performance on Thanksgiving.? His ribs are=20
reportedly better and he had a nice practice Tuesday throwing the ball.??=
=20
The Viking secondary could have matchup troubles with WRs Johnnie Morton a=
nd=20
Herman Moore.? Over the last four weeks, Minnesota ranks # 24 in passing=
=20
yards allowed per game.? For the year, they rank # 22 in Fantasy Points=
=20
allowed to opposing QBs.? The Vikings are tough on TEs ranking # 7 in=20
Fantasy Points allowed to TEs for the year but TE David Sloan has played=
=20
very well of late.? He ranks # 6 in Fantasy Points among TEs over the last=
3=20
games and is well worth a start here.

Denver Passing Game vs Saints Defense?? For all the hype generated by New=
=20
Orleans=01, defense, they give up tons of yards passing.? Over the last fo=
ur =20
weeks, they rank # 23 in passing yards allowed per game.? They do sack the=
=20
QB a ton (19 over the last four weeks) but they still give up the yards. I=
t=01,
s kind of unusual to see that. They=01,ll be facing Gus Frerotte and a Den=
ver=20
team that=01,s trying to find their way.? Frerotte=01,s been up and down =
after=20
his monster week 12 game.? The Saints continue to drop like flies and the=
=20
loss of CB Fred Weary will definitely hurt.? Both WRs Rod Smith and Ed=20
McCaffrey are solid plays as always.? And as crazy as it sounds, either one=
=20
of the 2 headed TE monster in Dwayne Carswell and Desmond? Clark are decen=
t=20
options too.? Byron Chamberlain normally makes it a 3 headed TE monster bu=
t=20
he=01,s nursing a bad Achilles tendon and didn=01,t play last week.? As no=
ted =20
above, Denver gives up lots of yards through the air so this could be a hig=
h =20
scoring affair.? I doubt you could have predicted a shootout between Aaron=
=20
Brooks and Gus Frerotte 4 months ago but that=01,s why they play the games=
=01(

?

?

Even Matchups:? These games feature no real advantage either way?

Chicago Passing Game vs Packer Defense?? I=01,m torn here.? You probably=
saw=20
how weak the Packer defense looked Monday night.? They couldn=01,t do muc=
h of=20
anything.? But on the other hand, the Bears will likely go with Shane=20
Matthews and he=01,s been just awful lately.? Like worse than Dave Brown =
kind=20
of bad.? One would think he=01,d improve against this defense but he=01,ll=
have to=20
make great strides just to get reach =01&average=018. ?Owners of WR Marcus=
=20
Robinson feel it too as the big guy has pretty much disappeared lately wit=
h=20
Matthews at the helm.? Still though, there=01,s some hope.? On a brighter=
=20
spot, Matthews does seem comfortable throwing to Eddie Kennison who had 6=
=20
passes thrown to him Sunday compared to Robinson=01,s 4.? I=01,ve hear rum=
ors that=20
Chicago may start a TE but that news is unconfirmed at this time=01(? In t=
he=20
"for real" rumor department, QB Cade McNown is making noise about wanting=
=20
to start this week but I think it's still a week early.

New England Passing Game vs Chief Defense?? Kansas City and New England ar=
e =20
two once proud teams that are struggling.? This week a banged up Drew =20
Bledsoefaces a pass defense that=01,s been vulnerable.? Over the last fou=
r=20
weeks, Kansas City ranks # 20 in passing yards allowed per game.? For the=
=20
year,? KC ranks # 24 in Fantasy Points allowed to opposing QBs. Bledsoe=20
bruised a knee in Thursday=01,s game but played through it and should be o=
k.?=20
Keep an eye on him though as he was added to the injury report this week a=
s=20
Questionable. As long as Bledsoe plays, WR Terry Glennshould be a good =
=20
option as he=01,s clearly the #1 guy in that offense over Troy Brown.? TE=
Rod=20
Rutledge caught 4 passes last week so he may start to make some noise.?=
=20
With all those productive years throwing to Ben Coates, you know Bledsoe=
=20
would love to have a solid TE.



Carolina Passing Game vs Rams Defense?? Even if you want to pin Carolina=
=01,s =20
Monday Night performance on a weak Green Bay defense, credit still must be=
=20
given to Steve Beuerleinand the Panthers.? The immobile Beuerlein hung =
in=20
there and delivered.? He=01,s facing a Rams defense that even with Bud Car=
son=01,s=20
help, still ranks # 19 in passing yards allowed per game.? (Granted, that=
=01,s=20
a big improvement)? Beuerlein=01,s numbers may be helped by the return of =
Ram=20
QB Kurt Warner as there=01,s nothing like the other team rolling up points=
to=20
get your QB=01,s arm loose.? WR Muhsin Muhammad had the dominating game =
we=20
all know he can and looked overpowering.? The hamstring injury was supposed=
=20
to be with him all year but he looks good to me.? Another boost for=20
Beuerlein will be if WR Donald Hayescan get back on the field as early=20
reports are hoping for.? Even TE Kris Mangum(be the one guy in your leag=
ue=20
that doesn=01,t say =01&mag-num=018 like the gun) has been looking good.? =
For the=20
year, St. Louis ranks # 28 in Fantasy Points allowed to the TE so he could=
=20
be worth a shot.???

Jacksonville Passing Game vs Browns Defense?? This one really is a case of=
=20
misdirection as QB Mark Brunellisn=01,t as good as many people think and =
the=20
Browns pass defense isn=01,t as bad as most people assume.? Cleveland rank=
s #=20
18 in passing yards allowed per game.? And for the year, they rank # 6 in=
=20
Fantasy Points allowed to opposing QBs which really surprises people.? The=
=20
reason is that their rush defense is awful and teams choose to run instead=
.?=20
But all you really care about are the stats.? Brunell should be ok but not=
=20
great here as the Jaguars look to take out a season=01,s worth of frustrat=
ions=20
on the Browns.? Jimmy Smithand Keenan McCardellare solid choices as=
=20
usual.? Even the much maligned (by me, anyway) rookie R. Jay Sowardproduc=
ed=20
last week.? Soward could actually be bad news for McCardell and Smith as=
=20
there were times when Brunell really seemed to force the ball his way.? T=
E =20
Kyle Bradyis solid.? But honestly, I think this will be the Fred Taylor on=
=20
the ground show against a weak rush unit.?

Washington Passing Game vs Giant Defense?? Brad Johnsonmakes his return =
=20
this week taking over for Jeff George.? It=01,s interesting to watch how t=
he=20
Redskins spin this transition.? According to Washington, Johnson starting=
=20
has nothing to do with Jeff George=01,s less than spectacular play or reco=
rd.?=20
=01&Johnson was the starter all along regardless of how George played yada=
=20
yada=01(=018? This type of talk makes it easier to sell the fans Jeff Geor=
ge as=20
the starting QB next year.? We=01,ll see.? (for the record, I=01,m a George=
fan=20
and have been for a while.? Myself and 8 other guys are pretty much it=01=
()?? =20
Like most players in this =01&could go either way=018 category, Johnson has=
good=20
and bad points this week.? On the upside, the Giants defense has shown=20
itself to be vulnerable to the pass.? The Redskins also hope to have RB =
=20
Stephen Davisthis week.? His presence does a great deal for the passing=20
game.? On the downside, Johnson will likely be rusty.? He may still be=20
feeling some lingering effects of the injury.? Secondly, his best WR, =20
Albert Connellmay play but he=01,s nowhere near full speed.? James =20
Thrashfilled in admirably for Connell and looks to be a good play this wee=
k=20
as well.? It looks like Irving Fryarwill get the start opposite Thrash.?=
=20
The ageless wonder might do something if Jason Sehorn stays with Thrash as=
=20
Dave Thomas is by far the weaker CB.? TE Stephen Alexanderis a steady =
=20
performer although FB Larry Centerssteals too many of the short passes th=
at=20
could go to Alexander.?

New York Giant Passing Game vs Redskin Defense? A good defense takes on a=
=20
good passing offense.? I guess that=01,s why this matchup is in this colu=
mn.?=20
Over the last four weeks Washington ranks # 15 in passing yards allowed p=
er=20
game.? For the year, they rank # 8 in Fantasy Points allowed to opposing Q=
Bs=20
so they=01,re pretty tough.? QB Kerry Collinshas quietly played extremely=
well=20
over the last month.? He=01,s thrown for 822 yards and 6 TDs over the last=
3=20
games.? That puts him at # 6 in Fantasy Points among QBs over that time=20
span.? WR Amani Toomercontinues to play great football and is definitely=
=20
worth a shot.? Joe Jureviciusfills in for the injured Ike Hilliard again=
=20
and he=01,s a solid choice as Collins didn=01,t hesitate to throw him the =
ball=20
often.? TE? Pete Mitchell is tough to depend on as he gets more catches=
=20
but Dan Campbellgrabs the TDs it seems.? I=01,m not too excited about ei=
ther=20
guy.?

San Diego Passing Game vs 49er Defense?? My Charger buddies have cautioned=
=20
me about jumping on the Ryan LeafBandwagon.? That was right after I=01,d se=
nt a=20
group email at halftime of the SD / KC game to some friends boasting about=
=20
=01&my=018 QB Leaf.? Of course, we know the nd half didn=01,t go =01&quit=
e=018 as well as=20
the first and I came back to reality.? But there=01,s some truth to the i=
dea=20
Leaf is becoming an NFL QB.? I personally had doubts if we=01,d ever see i=
t but=20
I think it=01,s starting to happen.? And this week against a San Francisc=
o=20
defense, he could make some more strides.? It should be noted, the 49ers ar=
e=20
much better on pass defense than they had been.? Over the last four weeks=
,=20
they rank # 14 in passing yards allowed per game which is a huge upgrade=
=20
from where they had been.? For the year though, they still rank # 30 in=20
Fantasy Points allowed to the opposing QB.? Leaf has some extremely solid=
=20
receivers. TE Freddie Jonesis his best target but veteran WRs Jeff Graha=
m=20
and Curtis Conwayare more than capable.? You=01,d think that San Francis=
co=20
will score some points so there could be some fireworks.? I=01,d shy away f=
rom=20
Leaf but Jones in particular could be a very nice play.???

San Francisco Passing Game vs Charger Defense? The Charger defense held=20
Kansas City down last week but I think that had more to do with Warren Moo=
n=01,
s senior citizen status than it did the Charger D.? Granted they=01,re=20
improving, but I think San Francisco should be able to move the ball.? Ove=
r=20
the last four weeks, San Diego ranks # 13 in passing yards allowed per=20
game.? QB Jeff Garciais coming off a bye week and should be rested and=20
prepared.? His biggest problem will be the toe injury to WR Terrell Owens.=
?=20
Owens was unable to complete practice Monday and it=01,s now looking like =
it=20
could be later this week before he sees the practice field.? Coach Steve =
=20
Mariucci didn=01,t sound too optimistic.? Although I can imagine worse=20
scenarios for a WR than having Jerry Riceas your best WR.? Owens will=20
definitely be missed but J.J. Stokesand Tai Streetswill fill in just=20
fine.? There had been some talk from Mariucci about resting Garcia to see=
=20
how the rookie QBs Gio Carmazzi and Tim Rattay would fare in game=20
situations.? I think this is just talk at this point.? I don=01,t really =
see=20
the Chargers blowing out San Francisco to the point Garcia could be pulled=
.?=20
If Garcia gets San Francisco such a lead that he could be pulled, he would=
=20
have probably earned a great day of stats by then anyway.? At least for=
=20
this week, I=01,m thinking he=01,ll be fine in the playing time department=
.?

Minnesota Passing Game vs Lion Defense? Ok, this is tough matchup for the =
=20
Vikings.? Detroit ranks # 6 in passing yards allowed per gameover the last=
=20
four games.? But the Lions are dealing with several injuries in their=20
secondary including Safety Ron Rice (leg =01) probable) Kurt Schulz=20
(ankle-doubtful) and nickel back Marquis Walker (wrist-out)? Still though,=
=20
you=01,re crazy if you don=01,t start QB Daunte Culpepperand WRs Randy M=
ossand =20
Cris Carter.? They=01,re just too good.?

Kansas City Passing Game vs Patriot Defense?? It=01,s early to make a call=
but=20
it=01,s looking like QB Elvis Grbacwill be back this week.? That=01,s gr=
eat news=20
for Chief fans and Fantasy Owners.? The Patriots rank # 10 in passing yar=
ds=20
allowed per game over the last four weeks but those numbers are a little=
=20
skewed as Detroit, Cincinnati, Cleveland and Buffalo were the opponents.?=
=20
It=01,s not like they shut down the Rams or 49ers.? Grbac will look to ge=
t his=20
# 1 target TE Tony Gonzalezback on track after he was shut out by the=20
Chargers.? I don=01,t think you=01,ll see that again with Grbac under cent=
er.? WR=20
Derrick Alexanderis an excellent target too.? Rookie Sylvester =20
Morrisseems to be fading instead of getting better.? He may be hitting th=
e=20
infamous =01&rookie wall=018.?=20

?

Downside Matchups:? These games favor the Defense?

Dallas Passing Game vs Buccaneer Defense?? Emmitt Smith seems recovered=20
from his =01&knockout slap=018 Thursday and says he=01,ll start.? That=01,=
s good news=20
for all aspects of the Dallas offense.? QB Troy Aikmansquares off again=
st=20
a Tampa defense that's bark is worse than its bite.? Over the last four=20
weeks, they rank # 21 in passing yards allowed per game.? Although they=
=20
have registered 12 sacks over that span which is towards the top of the=20
league.? They=01,re solid though.? WRs Wayne McGarityand James McKnighta=
re=20
showing they=01,re not anything exceptional.? TE Jackie Harriswas injure=
d=20
last week and David LaFluerwoke up with a great game.???

Cleveland Passing Game vs Jaguar Defense?? One has to ask if anyone really=
=20
cares whether QBsDoug Pedersonor Spergon Wynngets the majority of the=
=20
snaps.? I think I can say fairly confidently that neither of these guys ha=
ve=20
been figuring heavily into your plans.? The Jaguar defense has improved=
=20
significantly of late. ?They rank # 17 in passing yards allowed per=20
gameover the last four weeks and they should be plenty good enough to=20
contain the Browns.? This team never really had a chance once Tim Couch an=
d=20
Errict Rhett went down.? Kevin Johnsonand David Patten handle the WR =
=20
duties but I can=01,t advocate either with a clear conscience. TE AaronSh=
ea
will start for the Browns but probably not for your FF Team.?

Green Bay Passing Game vs Bear Defense?? It=01,s hard to know what to thin=
k =20
about Green Bay. One game they look like the Packers of old with Favre=20
working his magic and the next, they look like a shell of their former=20
selves as they did on Monday Night against a Carolina team that had no=20
business handling them as they did.? Brett Favreis still a decent bet t=
o=20
sling a few TDs on any Sunday but he=01,s sadly become just an average Fan=
tasy=20
QB.? Lately, the Bears have been tough against the pass ranking # 12 in=20
passing yards allowed per game over the last four weeks.? Although for th=
e=20
year, they rank # 29 in Fantasy Points allowed to the opposing QB.? Favre=
=20
will have the very disappointing Antonio Freemanto throw to although Bil=
l =20
Schroederis putting up better numbers the last few weeks.? He has another=
=20
advantage in that while Freeman will likely draw CB Thomas Smith, Schroede=
r=20
likely goes against Jerry Azumah.? Remember Schroeder came up huge in the =
=20
week 5 matchup with 2 TDs in the 4th quarter.? For a TE, I=01,d go with Bu=
bba =20
Franksalthough whenever I say that it seems Tyrone Daviscatches a TD=01(=
?

Seattle Passing Game vs Falcon Defense?? This is an interesting game as tw=
o =20
proud coaches in Dan Reeves and Mike Holmgren lead teams that are =20
floundering.? The one bright spot for the Falcons is that they=01,ve yield=
ed=20
few yards passing although the =01&glass is half empty=018 crowd will poin=
t out=20
that the reason for that is the weak rush defense.? Why throw the ball whe=
n =20
you can run on Atlanta?? Regardless of the reason, teams don=01,t throw mu=
ch=20
against the Falcons and I don=01,t look for QB Jon Kitnato completely bre=
ak=20
that trend.? He=01,ll be looking to quiet producers Sean Dawkinsand Derric=
k=20
Mayes.? Dawkins in particular has been exceptional over the last few weeks=
=20
and is probably worth a start.????

Indianapolis Passing Game vs Jets Defense?? I love Peyton Manningbut he=
=01,s=20
a guy that doesn=01,t always post the Fantasy Football numbers to match hi=
s=20
hype.? He=01,s a solid producer who=01,ll very rarely burn you but he=01,s=
also not=20
too subject to the 400 yard / 4 TD day.? With that said, I think you=01,ll =
see =20
another good, solid day from him against a Jet defense that=01,s tough.? Ov=
er=20
the last four weeks, New York ranks # 11 in passing yards allowed per game=
.?=20
For the year, they rank # 7 in Fantasy Points allowed to the opposing QB.=
?=20
Manning will try to jump start his team that=01,s floundering a bit.? The=
y=20
know they need a win and a team like this can be tough when =01&cornered=
=018.? I=01,m=20
not heeding the grumblings about WR Marvin Harrison. He=01,s fine.? He ca=
ught=20
2 TDs last week and has stated he needs to =01&get on a mission=018 althou=
gh he=20
needs some help.? Jerome Pathonhad some horrendous drops.? E.G. Greenhopes =
to=20
be back this week from a knee injury and that will be good news.? Terrenc=
e=20
Wilkins and Pathon just aren=01,t getting it done.? TEs Marcus Pollardand =
Ken =20
Dilgerboth catch just enough to make neither guy very valuable.



Oakland Passing Game vs Steeler Defense?? QB Rich Gannonis garnering lots =
of=20
talk about the league MVP.? Could be.? But he=01,s got a tough matchup th=
is=20
week against a Steeler team playing with confidence.? Pittsburgh ranks # 8=
=20
in passing yards allowed per game over the last four weeks.? For the seaso=
n,=20
they rank # 2 in Fantasy Points allowed to the opposing QB so that=01,s=20
strong.? WRTim Brownis the clear cut target of choice and that makes thing=
s=20
great for Brown owners.? You know he=01,ll get his touches.? Andre Risonand=
=20
James Jettwill get the scraps left over.? TE Ricky Dudleyis a guy who you=
=20
play totally at your own risk.? He=01,s just as liable to go catchless as=
he=20
is score 2 TDs.???

?

Defensive Slam Dunks:? These games heavily favor the Defense



Miami Passing Game vs Bills Defense? Let=01,s see=01(Jay Fiedlercoming =
back=20
from a shoulder injury, in what will likely be horrible weather conditions=
,=20
against the # 2 ranked defense in passing yards allowed per game over the=
=20
last four weeks.? That=01,s what you=01,ve got in this game and it=01,s e=
nough to=20
have me looking elsewhere if I=01,ve got Dolphin passing game players.? I=
=01,d=20
start who ever you did last week if Fiedler is your QB.? If you have to=20
start a Miami WR, I=01,d roll the dice on the unheralded Leslie Shepherdw=
ho=01,s=20
catching more than anyone thought he would.? Slim pickings with this=20
matchup after that.?

Buffalo Passing Game vs Dolphin Defense?? Let=01,s see=01(Rob Johnsoncom=
ing back=20
from his latest injury, in what will likely be horrible weather conditions=
,=20
against the # 3 ranked defense in passing yards allowed per game over the=
=20
last four weeks.? This sounds familiar=01(? Seriously, this game ought to =
be a =20
defensive struggle as two dominant defenses square off in the snow against =
=20
mediocre offenses.? Rob Johnson will get the start but as usual, won=01,t=
=20
finish the game.? Eric Mouldswill gather the majority of catches and is=
=20
probably too good not to start just because he=01,s so talented and he doe=
s=20
grab the lions share of passes thrown.? TE Jay Reimersmais fast regaining =
=20
his place as one of the best TEs in the game and depending on the weather=
=20
here, he could be the best receiving choice.???

Philadelphia Passing Game vs Titan Defense?? Understand that this is a bad=
=20
matchup for Donovan McNabband the Eagles but so was last week against =20
Washington.? And all McNabb did was win Offensive Player of the Week=20
honors.? Outside of McNabb and TE Chad Lewis, I can=01,t recommend any oth=
er=20
players as starters.? Neither WRsCharles Johnsonor Torrance Smallscare=
=20
anyone.? The Titans are an athletic and physical unit that you=01,d think =
would=20
give McNabb trouble. And truthfully, the Washington game would have likely=
=20
been different if "spy" LaVarr Arrington hadn't been hurt early.? The lack=
=20
of a passing game threat really hurts as Tennessee will likely be able to=
=20
handle the WRs with man coverage and commit more personnel to the run and=
=20
McNabb.? Still, if he=01,s by far your best QB, I=01,d roll the dice with =
him as=20
he=01,s made a season out of proving people wrong.



Tennessee Passing Game vs Eagle Defense?? Steve McNairranks # 23 among QB=
s =20
over the last 3 games in Fantasy Points per game.? That=01,s not real solid=
.? I=20
don=01,t see him suddenly improving his play against an Eagle defense that=
=20
ranks # 5 in passing yards allowed per game.? And for the year, they rank =
# =20
3 in Fantasy Points allowed to the opposing QB.?? The Eagles have 15 sacks=
=20
over the last 4 games and while McNair is tough guy to sack, it=01,s obvio=
us=20
the Eagles will pressure him.? His WR corps in Derrick Masonand Chris=20
Sandersaren=01,t the greatest.? As usual, his best option will be TE Fran=
k=20
Wycheck.? Wycheck struggled last week with some uncharacteristic drops, bu=
t=20
this week he could be an asset as McNair likely won=01,t have a lot of tim=
e to =20
throw.? =20

Tampa Bay Passing Game vs Cowboy Defense?? Who knows where the Shaun =20
KingRoller Coaster Ride will take us this week?? He=01,s nursing a back s=
train=20
but practiced Wednesday and looks good to go.? The Cowboys surprisingly hav=
e=20
played decent pass defense ranking # 9 in passing yards allowed per game.?=
=20
Of course, that=01,s largely because no team feels the need to throw the b=
all=20
when they can run at will.? King will spread the ball between WRs Keyshaw=
n=20
Johnsonand Jacquez Green.? I=01,m not especially excited about either bu=
t it=01,
s very hard to turn your back on Keyshawn.? TE Dave Mooreis a fine produc=
er=20
and I=01,d feel comfortable starting him.?=20

?

?


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