Enron Mail

From:bounce-otcjournal-1011326@lyris.otcjournal.com
To:mike.carson@enron.com
Subject:Christmas Trivia and Envoy Year End Wrap Up
Cc:
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Date:Sun, 23 Dec 2001 12:53:48 -0800 (PST)

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[IMAGE] December 23, 2001 [IMAGE] [IMAGE] Volume IV, Issue 109 [IMAGE] =
Email : info@otcjournal.com URL : http://www.otcjournal.com To OTC=
Journal Members: [IMAGE] "Twas the night before Christmas...." [IM=
AGE] In December of 1822 a poem was written by a literature professor at C=
olumbia College (now University) to amuse his children. The poem was orig=
inally entitled "A Visit From St. Nicholas". One year later it was publishe=
d anonymously in the Troy Sentinel, submitted without the author's knowledg=
e by a house guest who obtained a copy. A New York publisher later issued=
the poem, and was advised nearly universally by critics of the time that i=
t was a waste of paper and ink. However, as usual the critics were wrong.=
This unheralded verse managed to hang on, and after the author's death it =
was illustrated with drawings from Thomas Nast and became very famous. Th=
e author was Clement Clarke Moore, and the poem began with the phrase "Twas=
the night before Christmas...." So much for the critics. Have a wonderfu=
l Christmas. Remember, the gifts that are around you are more precious than=
the gifts you unwrap. [IMAGE] Envoy Communications (NASDAQ: ECGI) Anno=
unces Year End Results- Santa in Nowhere to be Found [IMAGE] Over the Lo=
ng Term Market Price Action Always Tells You What's Happening Even When the=
Company Doesn't, and the Market is Rarely Wrong. The Editors of the OTC J=
ournal [IMAGE] Envoy Communications held a conference call this past week=
to discuss its fiscal year end results (end of September). Santa was nowhe=
re to be found. Based on what we learned from the call the stock has droppe=
d from the mid $4 range to just under $1 in the past year because it deserv=
ed to. The company revealed an abdominal 4th quarter where they lost $2.2=
million EBITDA. Although they ended the year with just over $80 million in=
revenues (up 38%) and about $7 million in EBITDA profits (down 30%), the t=
rend towards losses is very disturbing. We have been in a tough market en=
vironment for many companies, and Envoy has not been left out. Of the $2.2 =
million the company lost in the 4th quarter, $.5 million is attributed to s=
hutting down the Communiqu? division, and $1 million was attributed to Sage=
Consulting, their technology division which will probably continue to lose=
money. The only bright spot was the performance of Watt Group, their Int=
ernational design and consulting firm. Watt is profitable and now represent=
s 50% of the company's ongoing revenue stream. As seen in the chart, the =
recent rebound in the stock has dramatically reversed course as a result of=
this disclosure. In our last edition on Envoy we felt the stock was destin=
ed for higher levels. In the short term, this past week's financial disclos=
ure sabotaged our prediction. Sadly, we were wrong. It's not the first time=
and it won't be the last. However, these financial results are a snapsho=
t of the past. We are concerned with the future. In the conference call the=
company indicated they expected to make $8.6 million in EBITDA profits nex=
t year. December quarterly numbers are expected to be lackluster, and the=
y are expecting improvements in the March and June quarters. The editors =
of the OTC Journal are very disappointed that management never gave any ong=
oing public disclosure concerning their 4th quarter performance. Many compa=
nies are falling on hard times, but most of them are choosing to inform the=
public as disappointments occur. It is evident from the performance of t=
he stock that someone knew the company was doing so poorly. Unfortunately, =
it wasn't us. We still believe the stock will rebound to the $2 level, al=
though it may take some time. Recent new contract wins have resulted in sur=
ges in the stock price, suggesting the market wants to believe again. In =
the next week the stock may suffer from the final week of potential tax sel=
ling. If you see the stock down near $1 it should be bought for a January r=
ebound. Still to come: Year end wrap ups on XMLG (big stuff happening the=
re), XMM (our favorite for 2002), and CODX. Charts Provided Courtesy Of T=
radePortal.com The OTC Journal is a proud partner of the SwingWire.com O=
nline Investment Community . A next generation Online Analyst Exchange prov=
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cgi?email=3DMIKE.CARSON@ENRON.COM . =09


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