Enron Mail

From:eservices@tdwaterhouse.com
To:chris.dorland@enron.com
Subject:Market Insight: Economic Recovery to the Rescue
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Mon, 4 Feb 2002 14:26:04 -0800 (PST)


[IMAGE] [IMAGE] =09


[IMAGE]=09


=09Open an IRA and get a year of MONEY from TD Waterhouse Get control of =
your retirement when you open a TD Waterhouse IRA - and receive a complime=
ntary one-year subscription to MONEY magazine. Learn more . =09=09
[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09


[IMAGE]=09
Market Insight for February 4, 2002=09
[IMAGE]=09
[IMAGE] Economic Recovery to the Rescue By Arnie Kaufman, Editor, The Ou=
tlook =09


Stay with a positive investment approach. =09
Corporate accounting and earnings quality issues, high P/Es and fear of a=
dditional terrorism remain a drag on the market. Another restraint: Dynami=
c leadership is absent and may not be seen until signs of improvement in i=
nformation technology spending breathe new life into that deeply depressed=
sector. But barring dramatic new financial irregularity disclosures, the=
chances are good the market will soon start moving forward again. The dri=
ving force, we believe, will be an improving economy. S&P chief economis=
t David Wyss feels that if inventory rebuilding accelerates sharply in the=
period just ahead, it is possible the first quarter will show strong GDP =
growth and the second quarter a relapse into negative territory. He points=
out that the 1990-91 recession was the only one since the 1950s that did =
not have a positive quarter sandwiched between down quarters. Wyss thinks =
the more likely scenario, however, is a smoother pace of inventory accumul=
ation and rising quarter-to-quarter GDP growth through 2002. This forecast=
implies upward-trending earnings this year and next. Investors, burned =
badly by the 2000-2001 bear market, are in a show-me state of mind. Short =
sellers and others who bet stocks will fall have become bolder lately, and=
institutions have been moving cautiously. All of this suggests that a goo=
d deal of fuel for an advance exists. It wasn't a good omen that the S&P=
500 index slipped in January, losing 1.6%. As mentioned a week ago, of th=
e 19 times in the postwar period that the "500" has fallen in January, the=
index then went on to score a gain for the full year only seven times and=
suffered a loss for the year 12 times. That was against a backdrop of 2.4=
up years for each down year for the 56 years from 1946 through 2001. On=
the other hand, a decline in the S&P 500 this year would be the third in=
a row, and that hasn't happened since 1941.=09


As a TD Waterhouse customer, you can view a complete copy of S&P's The Ou=
tlook (a $298 value) for FREE. Just select 'News & Research' when you logi=
n to yourTD Waterhouse account . The Outlook is available under Other Rep=
orts.=09


=09=09 [IMAGE] =09
=09=09 Access Your Tax Documents Online You can now access your tax docume=
nts online. To view and print a FREE copy of your Consolidated 1099 or Yea=
r-End Summary Statement, login to your account , click on 'My Account,' t=
hen 'eServices.' =09
[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09[IMAGE]=09


Your feedback is important to us! E-mail us with any questions or comment=
s at eServices@tdwaterhouse.com TD Waterhouse Investor Services, Inc.=
Member NYSE/SIPC. Access to services and your account may be affected by=
market conditions, system performance or for other reasons. Under no circ=
umstances should the information herein be construed as a recommendation, =
offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy a particular security. Th=
e article and opinions herein are obtained from unaffiliated third parties=
and are provided for informational purposes only. While the information i=
s deemed reliable, TD Waterhouse cannot guarantee its accuracy, completene=
ss or suitability for any purpose and makes no warranties with regard to t=
he results to be obtained from its use. To unsubscribe to this service,=
login to your account and select 'My Account' then 'My Info.' Or e-mail =
us at eServices@tdwaterhouse.com =09