Enron Mail

From:webmaster@cera.com
To:clients@cera.com
Subject:Falling Gas Prices Trigger Active Rig Count Decline - CERA Decision
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 21 Nov 2001 19:02:16 -0800 (PST)

Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
X-From: webmaster@cera.com@ENRON
X-To: clients@cera.com
X-cc:
X-bcc:
X-Folder: \SHARRIS1 (Non-Privileged)\Harris, Steven\Deleted Items
X-Origin: Harris-S
X-FileName: SHARRIS1 (Non-Privileged).pst


Title: Drilling Activity Downturn Means Tighter Gas Supply
URL(s):

http://www.cera.com/eprofile?u=35&;m=2808;


***********************************************************************

FALLING GAS PRICES TRIGGER ACTIVE RIG COUNT DECLINE

The economic downturn, lower industrial demand, moderate weather, and falling
gas prices have combined to hit gas-directed drilling activity hard. Gas prices
briefly fell below $2.00 per MMBtu in October. From a midsummer peak of 1,068
gas-directed rigs, the US industry active rig count plummeted to 834 by
November 9 and could fall as low as 700-750. Producers' drilling plans for the
2002 budget year are already being curtailed.

* The drilling downturn could mean as many as 8,000 fewer gas wells in the
United States over the next 12 months and 1.5 to 2.0 billion cubic feet per day
of lost production.

* The majority of the activity reduction is onshore, but the significant drop
in Gulf of Mexico shallow shelf drilling will have a huge impact on productive
capacity.

* Gas supply could be extremely tight once again next year just as the economy
recovers, and gas demand is expected to rebound with it.

**end**

Follow above URL for complete report.

E-mail Category: Decision Brief
CERA Knowledge Area(s): North American Gas


***********************************************************************
**************************************************************************************
CERAWeek February 11-15, 2002 - http://www.cera.com/ceraweek

SPECIAL OFFER: Register on-line before November 30th, and a 2-Day Pass
will be upgraded to a 4-Day Pass (maximum $1,800 value).
Day 1: Global Oil/Refined Products;
Day 2: Natural Gas/Global Energy;
Day 3 & 4: Electric Power
**************************************************************************************



To make changes to your cera.com profile go to:
http://www.cera.com/client/updateaccount

Forgot your username and password? Go to:
http://www.cera.com/client/forgot

This electronic message and attachments, if any, contain information
from Cambridge Energy Research Associates, Inc. (CERA) which is
confidential and may be privileged. Unauthorized disclosure, copying,
distribution or use of the contents of this message or any attachments,
in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited.
Terms of Use: http://www.cera.com/tos
Questions/Comments: webmaster@cera.com
Copyright 2001. Cambridge Energy Research Associates