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From:bounce-app-ippexecs-33275@ls.eei.org
To:app-ippexecs@ls.eei.org
Subject:Alliance Info Alert: FERC Report on Western Markets
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Date:Wed, 1 Nov 2000 09:13:00 -0800 (PST)

At its special meeting today, FERC released the results of its eagerly
awaited probe into California's summer power crisis, concluding that under
certain circumstances, California ratepayers were subjected to unjust and
unreasonable power rates due to California's "seriously flawed" market
structure and rules in conjunction with tight demand and supply conditions
throughout the West.

The FERC staff report on western markets and the causes of the Summer 2000
Price Abormalities, entitled, Part I of Staff Report on U.S. Bulk Power
Markets, is available at the following website:
http://www.ferc.fed.us/electric/bulkpower.htm

In response, FERC issued an order proposing a series of sweeping structural
changes to the California ISO and PX to help remedy the pricing problems, and
solicited public comment by November 22. A technical conference has also
been scheduled for November 9, to discuss the proposed solutions and other
remedies that might be suggested (details TBA). While all four commissioners
supported the order, the order stretched the Commission. Chairman Hoecker
and Comm. Breathitt expressed strong endorsements, while Comms. Hebert and
Massey concurred, citing areas where they felt the Commission had either
"over-reached" or not gone far enough, as discussed below. A final order is
expected to be issued by year's end.

At the same time, the Commission warned California consumers of their
continued risk of paying higher prices unless policy makers there resolve
state issues, such as: (1) immediately implementing the availability of day
ahead markets for power purchases; (2) development of demand responses; (3)
siting of generation and transmission; and (4) assurance of sufficient
reserve requirements.

Highlights of Proposed California Structural Remedy

In its order, FERC proposed a series of market overhauls, including:

(1) Eliminating the state's mandatory requirement that the state's
investor-owned utilities buy and sell electricity through the PX, and allowing
these utilities to purchase electricity through forward contracts and other
alternative mechanisms to manage supply risks.

(2) Requiring market participants to schedule 95 percent of their
transactions in the day-ahead market and instituting a penalty charge for
under-scheduling (in excess of five percent of hourly load requirements), in
order to discourage over-reliance on the real-time spot market.

(3) Establishing independent, non-stakeholder governing boards for the ISO
and PX.

(4) Modifying the current single price auction system by (a) imposing a
temporary $150/MWh "soft cap" that prohibits supply bids in excess of $150
from setting the market-clearing price for all bidders; (b) requiring sellers
bidding above $150/MWh to report their bids to FERC on a confidential, weekly
basis and provide certain cost support; and © requiring the ISO and PX to
report monthly information on such bids. The Commission's price mitigation
measures would remain in effect through December 31, 2002.

(5) Declining to order retroactive refunds for the state's ratepayers and
utilities, citing insufficient authority to do so, but subjecting sellers to
potential refund liability for transactions from October 2, 2000 until
December 21, 2002, but no lower than their marginal or opportunity costs, if
FERC finds non-competitive behavior.

(6) Encouraging accelerated state siting approval and introduction of demand
response management programs.

Separately, the draft order rejected the ISO's request for an extension of
its current purchase price cap authority, and the PX's request for price
capping authority.

Commissioner Responses

Comm. Herbert reluctantly concurred, noting that his decision may change when
a final order is considered based on comments filed or testimony offered at
the November 9 meeting. He stressed that he would have preferred that the
order address four areas: (1) eliminate all price controls in California
markets; (2) abolish the single price auction entirely; (3) terminate the
"buy and sell" mandate in the PX; and (4) direct the ISO to address a long
list of cited problems in its January 2001 RTO filing, rather than having the
Commission prescribe specific remedies.

Hebert stated that while he was opposed in principle to the "soft cap"
concept, if one had to be adopted, then the soft cap should increase
incrementally increase over time at specific pre-announced dates. He
believes that this would serve to both encourage greater investment in
facilities and additional forward contracting as well as provide an incentive
for California regulators to address market design and other flaws. Also, he
would not have disbanded the stakeholder governing boards at this time, but
allow the ISO and PX to address this issue in their January 2001 RTO
filings. In addition, he would not dictate risk management methods,
preferring instead that market participants determine appropriate actions on
their own. Finally, he advised Californians not to be so environmentally
focused that they do not realize their tremendous need for generation
capacity.

Comm. Breathitt stated her approval of the Order while warning that FERC
cannot allow the events of this past summer to reverse or slow the progress
towards open and competitive markets. She noted that it was the Commission's
job to guide the market to self-correct and not to conduct "command and
control." She also commended the managers of the ISO and PX, saying that
they have performed admirably. However, she noted she is awaiting comments
on the single price auction remedy and its accompanying confidential
reporting requirements.

Comm. Massey concurred, but emphasized that he advocates a more aggressive
approach. He feels that the Congress has "put its thumb on the scale" in the
Federal Power Act to protect consumers. Stating that prices will continue to
be unreasonable in the future, he believes that this Order moves in the right
direction, by proposing solutions to identified problems such as an over
reliance on the spot market, lack of demand response, the need to
reconstitute governance of the ISO and PX and the elimination of the buy/sell
mandate. Comm. Massey specifically called for comments regarding whether the
$150/MWh soft cap went far enough, whether FERC has the legal authority to
issue refunds and to determine whether there should be a requirement for a
certain percentage of forward contracting to hedge against the spot market
price volatility.

Finally, Chairman Hoecker stated his strong support of the Order, but noted
that this is "no time to pull punches." He emphasized that the Commission
needed frank comments from the industry. He echoed Comm. Breathitt's warning
that competition is at risk and that they needed to get the markets back on
track. Noting that the Commission lacked authority to order refunds, he
stated that the responsibility rests with Congress. Addressing
jurisdictional issues, he stated that siting problems encountered at the
state level are slowing the "meandering transition" to competition. He feels
that the state of California and FERC need to work together to resolve these
problems and that FERC is not attempting to usurp power. Rather, California
is part of a broader interstate market and is dependent on the western region
for reliable energy, thus placing the burden on federal action to make things
work, Hoecker maintained. The Chairman also said that the Commission will
fully investigate and act upon complaints of market power abuse or further
evidence provided by staff's ongoing investigation.

If you have any questions or comments, please call Jack Cashin at
202/508-5499.