Enron Mail

From:anjam.ahmad@enron.com
To:vince.kaminski@enron.com
Subject:Benzene Forward Curve & Hedge Calculator
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 14 Mar 2000 02:36:00 -0800 (PST)

New market we are trying to develop in Benzene swaps - possibly hedging with
financial naphtha and physical toluene.

Rgds,

Anjam
---------------------- Forwarded by Anjam Ahmad/LON/ECT on 14/03/2000 10:35
---------------------------


Anjam Ahmad
14/03/2000 10:34
To: Robert Brewis/LON/ECT@ECT, Stuart Bland/LON/ECT@ECT
cc: Dale Surbey/LON/ECT@ECT, Hrvoje Paver/LON/ECT@ECT, Stinson
Gibner/HOU/ECT@ECT, Tracy Wallace/LON/ECT@ECT

Subject: Benzene Forward Curve & Hedge Calculator

Dear All,

Attached is the spreadsheet "BenzeneCurves.xls" (also available in
S:\RESEARCH\GLOBALPRODUCTS) that will hopefully allow you to derive a
mid-curve for Benzene based upon our existing naphtha curve produced by
Tracy. The previous hedge ratio analysis is still part of the new
spreadsheet.

For clarity a graph of the curve based on 1996 through 2000 data is depicted
below:



I can also provide confidence bands on the regression model, if this can
assist in deciding the bid-offer spread for the forward curve, but this is
slightly more involved - let me know you'd like this.

Regards,

Anjam
x35383

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