Enron Mail

From:michael.tribolet@enron.com
To:rabi.de@enron.com, martin.o'leary@enron.com, connie.estrems@enron.com,william.bradford@enron.com
Subject:RE: Credit Reserve Simulation for EES
Cc:tanya.tamarchenko@enron.com, amitava.dhar@enron.com,vince.kaminski@enron.com, seksan.kiatsupaibul@enron.com, paulo.issler@enron.com
Bcc:tanya.tamarchenko@enron.com, amitava.dhar@enron.com,vince.kaminski@enron.com, seksan.kiatsupaibul@enron.com, paulo.issler@enron.com
Date:Thu, 22 Feb 2001 10:54:00 -0800 (PST)

One the outputs would be expected loss for each of the trials (flat file) and
a graph depicting the distribution (example below from an early Owens
Illinois model)

















-----Original Message-----
From: De, Rabi
Sent: Thursday, February 22, 2001 3:20 PM
To: O'Leary, Martin; Tribolet, Michael; Estrems, Connie; Bradford, William
Cc: Tamarchenko, Tanya; Dhar, Amitava; Kaminski, Vince; Kiatsupaibul, Seksan;
Issler, Paulo
Subject: Credit Reserve Simulation for EES

Amitava and Seksan have identified the source of the discrepancy between the
option prices calculated by the credit-reserve model and the stand-alone
spreadsheet model used in deal pricing. We expect to put a fix in place by
tomorrow.

In response to your desire to see more output from credit reserve simulation,
I have identified a list of possible items that may be of interest to you for
credit pricing.

1. Potential Exposure across time

2. For each simulated credit event, display:
default time
exposure -- is deal-by-deal breakdown of any interest?
commodity forward curves (or spot price ?) at default time

I would appreciate it if you could let me know your wish list at your
earliest.
Thanks,
Rabi De
5-4593