JAMES ELSNER'S VISIT: FEBRUARY 22

Please, put on my calendar

Vince
---------------------- Forwarded by Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT on 02/15/2001
01:30 PM ---------------------------
From: Todd Kimberlain/ENRON@enronXgate on 02/15/2001 12:50 PM
To: Kyle Berryman/ENRON_DEVELOPMENT@ENRON_DEVELOPMENT, Bob
Beyer/ENRON@enronXgate, Reno Casimir/ENRON@enronXgate, Huy
Dinh/ENRON@enronXgate, Partho Ghosh/ENRON@enronXgate, "Gil, Eduardo"
<Eduardo.Gil@ENRON.com<@SMTP@enronXgate, D Todd Hall/ENRON@enronXgate, Joseph
Hrgovcic/ENRON@enronXgate, Michael Nguyen/ENRON@enronXgate, Timothy M
Norton/ENRON@enronXgate, Sandeep Ramachandran/ENRON@enronXgate, Claudio
Ribeiro/ENRON@enronXgate, Rajib Saha/ENRON@enronXgate, Valter
Stoiani/ENRON@enronXgate, Mark Tawney/ENRON@enronXgate, Gary
Taylor/ENRON@enronXgate, Yannis Tzamouranis/ENRON@enronXgate, Steven
Vu/ENRON@enronXgate, Catherine Woolgar/ENRON@enronXgate, Stephen
Bennett/NA/Enron@ENRON, Todd DeCook/Corp/Enron@Enron, Vince J
Kaminski/HOU/ECT@ECT, Jose Marquez/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Andy
Pace/NA/Enron@Enron, Mike A Roberts/HOU/ECT@ECT, David Ryan/Corp/Enron@ENRON
cc:
Subject: JAMES ELSNER'S VISIT: FEBRUARY 22

Professor Jim Elsner from the Department of Meteorology/Geography at Florida
State University will be visiting the Weather Risk Management group on
Thursday, 22 February 2001. Professor Elsner is a leading expert in
hurricane climate studies. who is currently investigating
interannual/decadal/multi-decadal hurricane variations and shifts/trends in
hurricane landfall probabilities and their relationship to climate and
climate change; he also issues seasonal predictions for number of hurricanes
and landfall probabilities along segments of the U.S. coastline. Moreover,
he is a leading authority in non-linear dynamics and chaos theory and has
published a number of papers on these topics.

His talk will focus on a proposed research topic, which will provide Enron
with climatological instruments for use in the insurance and long-term
derivative markets. The research involves a
Bayesian analysis of the longest available record of hurricane activity along
the U.S. coastline. Deliverables will address the hurricane threat in the
United States, but the methodology can be applied elsewhere. The techniques
also can be applied to climate extremes including precipitation and
temperature.

The talk is scheduled for 9 a.m. and the room assignment will be announced.

All are cordially invited to attend.

Best regards,
Todd Kimberlain