Presentation on Equilibrium Modeling for Gas Market

Krishna,

We should invite Kim Watson and her associates as well.

Vince

---------------------- Forwarded by Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT on 02/15/2000=
=20
08:54 AM ---------------------------

Shirley Crenshaw
02/14/2000 11:27 AM
To: Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT@ECT, Stinson Gibner/HOU/ECT@ECT, Pinnamaneni=
=20
Krishnarao/HOU/ECT@ECT, Vasant Shanbhogue/HOU/ECT@ECT, Mike A=20
Roberts/HOU/ECT@ECT, Joseph Hrgovcic/HOU/ECT@ECT, Grant Masson/HOU/ECT@ECT,=
=20
Tanya Tamarchenko/HOU/ECT@ECT, Zimin Lu/HOU/ECT@ECT, Jason=20
Sokolov/HOU/ECT@ECT, Vincent Tang/HOU/ECT@ECT, Alexios Kollaros/HOU/EES@EES=
,=20
Martin Lin/HOU/ECT@ECT, Maureen Raymond/HOU/ECT@ECT, Osman=20
Sezgen/HOU/EES@EES, Paulo Issler/HOU/ECT@ECT, Michael Sergeev/HOU/ECT@ECT,=
=20
Patricia Tlapek/HOU/ECT@ECT, Farouk Lalji/HOU/ECT@ECT, Roman=20
Zadorozhny/HOU/ECT@ECT, Samer Takriti/ENRON_DEVELOPMENT@ENRON_DEVELOPMENT,=
=20
Amitava Dhar/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Alex Huang/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Ronnie=20
Chahal/HOU/EES@EES, Kevin Kindall/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Kevin G=20
Moore/HOU/ECT@ECT, Clayton Vernon/Corp/Enron@ENRON, William=20
Smith/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Ravi Thuraisingham/Enron Communications@Enron=20
Communications, Leandro Ibasco/Corp/Enron@Enron, Yanna=20
Crystal/Corp/Enron@ENRON
cc: =20
Subject: Presentation on Equilibrium Modeling for Gas Market

The following presentation will be this Friday, the 18th of February from
1:00 pm to 3:00 pm in EB 19C2 (Our large conference room).

Please plan to attend this presentation by ICF Consulting. Time: Friday 18t=
h,=20
1PM

Agenda for Presentation by ICF Consulting

1. Qualifications for ICF Consulting (6 slides)

A. Energy consulting background (2 slides)
B. Experience with computational market equilibrium modeling methodolgies =
(2=20
slides)
C. Experience of key ICF individuals (2 slides)

2. Description of Enron=01,s Modeling Interests (to be discussed with Enron=
)

3. ICF=01,s Intertemporal, Interregional Equilibrium model of the North Ame=
rican=20
Natural Gas Analysis
System (NANGAS) (14 slides)

A. Overview of NANGAS (2 slides)
B. Upstream components (3 slides)
C. Downstream components (4 slides)
D. Computation of market equilibrium prices, quantities, and flows (5 slid=
es)

4. Potential Modeling Consulting (9 slides)

A. Assistance in developing market equilibrium models for the energy secto=
r=20
(1 slide)
B. Investigate alternative market equilibrium models for energy applicatio=
ns
i. Models of imperfect competition (e.g., Nash-Cournot, etc.) (3 slides)
ii. Models of auctions in market forecasting (1 slide)
ii. Models that incorporate stochastic inputs (e.g., stochastic=20
programming) to take into account risk (2 slides)

C. Actions Items (to be completed in consultation with Enron) (2 slides)