Enron Mail

From:suzanne_nimocks@mckinsey.com
To:skean@enron.com
Subject:California Power Crisis Update (No. 10)
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Tue, 27 Mar 2001 19:42:00 -0800 (PST)

We have been pulling together these weekly(sometimes more often) summaries
for internal purposes. Would you find it helpful to be on the distribution
list? Hope you are doing well. Look forward to touching base soon.
----- Forwarded by Suzanne Nimocks/HOU/NorthAmerica/MCKINSEY on 03/28/2001
03:41 AM -----
Memorandum

TO: Pru Sheppard
BCC: Suzanne Nimocks


FROM: Pru Sheppard
B. Venki Venkateshwara
DATE: March 27, 2001

California Power Crisis Update (No. 10)

DEVELOPMENTS THIS WEEK, 3/23/2001

The weeks highlights include:


? Continued indications that the issue of market power and possible
remedies for it is likely to remain a high profile issue in
California and elsewhere (both retroactively and prospectively)
? An ironical situation with respect to QFs in which QF power under
contract is effectively being released into the market at higher
prices
? A court order requiring Reliant to continue to sell power to the
ISO even if it is not being paid in a full and timely manner
? Another Stage 3 emergency and rolling blackouts

Market power


There are continued indications that the issue of market power
will not be settled simply. This week there was a lengthy and
politically influential front page story in the New York Times about
FERCs passive approach to policing generators (Critics Say U.S.
Energy Agency Is Weak in Oversight of Utilities). The story was by
Jeff Gerth and Joseph Kahn. (Jeff Gerth's 1992 story on the
Whitewater deal is viewed by journalists to have been the origin of
what eventually became a multi-year investigation of Bill Clinton.)


The key issues are familiar:


? Does market power exist to a degree that warrants remedies such
as price caps, refunds, and so on?
? If so, what is the basis for asserting that market power exists
and what is the remedy? (See the discussion in the New York Times
article on the "good hours" vs. "bad hours" approach and the
associated political decision not to deal with "good hours").
? Can market power be used as leverage to eventually settle
generator bills in California at something less than 100 cents on the
dollar. (The California ISO filed a complaint claiming $6 billion
in overcharges this week.)

The QF irony


Through the 1990s, QF contracts were projected to be the source
of stranded costs because they were priced "way above market." In
recent months, in California, they look like a bargain (although some
are not such great bargains because a portion of their price is tied
to gas). You would think that the utilities would request QFs to
maximize their output. But credit problems have created an ironical
situation. The facts:


? PG&E and Edison have not been paying the QFs fully and promptly
for some time.
? The QFs form a creditors committee and threaten to push PG&E and
Edison into bankruptcy. (Some gas-fired QFs had to shut down because
they did not have money to pay for the gas.)
? Last week's court decision allows MidAmerican/CalEnergy to
essentially sell its power to others even though the QF contract
"dedicates" the output to the purchasing utility.
? CalEnergy does so immediately, selling to El Paso.

The Reliant Order


A court ordered Reliant to continue to sell to the ISO, when
requested, regardless of whether Reliant had been paid fully and
promptly for past deliveries to the ISO. Reliant announced it will
appeal the order.


This is somewhat of a contrast to the QF situation except that
the circumstances governing the 2 situations are probably different.
The QF contracts pre-date the ISO and are with the utilities and most
likely make no reference to providing power during emergencies. In
fact, many QF contracts have the opposite provision: authority for
the utility to cut takes during so-called "light load" periods.


Stage 3 emergency and rolling blackouts--again


There was another Stage 3 emergency in California ? with rolling
blackouts this week. This prompted everyone to wonder why this was
happening in March. Among the factors:


? Increased demand from summer-like temperatures
? Cutbacks in imports
? Loss of 1400 MW due to a transformer fire at an Edison plant
? Loss of about 3100 MW from QF plants that were forced to shutdown
because they could not afford gas bills (VV)


MARKET COMMENTARY

(For easier printing of all the articles in this section use the file
at the end of the section)


Critics Say U.S. Energy Agency Is Weak in Oversight of Utilities
By JEFF GERTH and JOSEPH KAHN
03/23/2001
The New York Times
Page 1, Column 1
c. 2001 New York Times Company

WASHINGTON, March 22 -- The pressure was intense when federal
regulators met
privately last month to debate remedies for soaring electricity
prices in
California.
Officials of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, the agency
whose mandate
is to ensure ''just and reasonable'' electricity rates nationwide,
had evidence
that a few companies had been selling electricity to California at
prices far
above the cost of generating it. The agency faced an imminent
deadline to
challenge those prices or let the companies possibly pocket hundreds
of millions
of dollars in unfair profits.

An internal memorandum laid out two choices. The agency could audit
and punish
''bad actors,'' the companies that were exploiting the market. Or it
could
identify ''bad hours,'' when electricity shortages were most acute
and spiking
prices were arguably nobody's fault, and order refunds for only the
most
exorbitant prices.
''It may be easier to identify bad hours than bad actors,'' the
memorandum said.

The commission took the easier way. It decided not to investigate
reports of
abuses by companies, but issued an order that could require them to
refund to
the state utilities up to $124 million collected during a relatively
few ''bad
hours'' in January and February. That is hundreds of millions of
dollars less
than California might have claimed, since the most potential
overcharging
occurred during ''good hours,'' when power was more plentiful but
prices were
often just as extreme. The order ignored those hours.
Today, in a criticism of the agency's lack of aggressiveness,
California
regulators estimated that generators had charged $6.2 billion above
competitive
levels over 10 months. They urged the agency to dig deeper, hoping it
would
demand more refunds or other stiff remedies. But the agency's track
record --
one of complacency in the eyes of state officials -- leaves
California
regulators skeptical that Washington will confront the big power
producers.
The small, obscure agency, tucked behind the rail yard of Union
Station here,
has largely soft-pedaled its role as the electricity industry's top
cop, even
though it has wide authority to keep power companies in line. To keep
rates
reasonable, it can impose price caps, strip companies of the right to
charge
market rates, force them to return excessive profits and even suspend
deregulation altogether.
Instead, the agency has largely left it to private companies to pry
open the
$250 billion electricity industry, which has historically been
controlled by
monopoly utilities and state officials. The agency's defenders,
including its
chairman, Curt Hebert Jr., a fierce advocate of unfettered markets,
say that its
largely hands-off approach reflects the delicate balancing of
competing
interests -- a commitment to protect consumers while not stifling
market forces.

But politicians, utility executives, energy economists and local
regulators say
California's rolling blackouts and skyrocketing electricity prices
are the signs
of a market running amok. They accuse the agency of standing aside as
companies
manipulate their way to windfall profits. The agency's critics, who
include one
of its own commissioners and numerous staff members, say that its
enforcement
mission has been blunted by free-market passions and the influence of
industry
insiders in its ranks.
When the agency began its first national investigation of high
electricity
prices last year, it named a newly recruited industry insider, Scott
Miller, to
lead the effort. Mr. Miller and his colleagues said in their report
that there
was ''insufficient data'' in California to prove any profiteering by
generating
companies. Yet his own former employer, PG&E Energy Trading, was at
the time a
subject of a civil antitrust investigation by the Justice Department
that
focused on electricity market abuses in New England.
The agency has given state regulators a lead role in monitoring local
power
markets. Yet even as these regulators have urged the agency to be
more
aggressive in investigating suspicions that companies have abused
their power in
California, New England, the Midwest and the mid-Atlantic, they have
frequently
been ignored or rebuffed.
Critics say that the agency began deregulation before it was ready or
willing to
make sure the markets worked effectively. They accuse it of showing
favoritism
to industry -- allowing companies, for example, to ignore
requirements to file
detailed reports of market transactions that are critical to proving
accusations
of market abuses.
''We need to wake up to the fact that this is a dysfunctional market
that is
being gamed and manipulated by those who participate in it,'' said
William
Massey, a commissioner of the agency who has become one of its
leading critics.
The agency's inaction, the critics say, leads to ''gaming'' --
jockeying for
profits that does not necessarily involve illegality -- and outright
market
manipulation. Consumers and utilities are the victims, paying
billions of
dollars more for electricity than if the markets were truly
competitive.
Agency officials acknowledge that enforcement of market rules to curb
gaming and
manipulation had not been a high priority in previous years. But they
defended
their recent California order as proof that they intend to keep
markets free of
abuse. They add that the agency is also pressuring two generators to
refund
almost $11 million for possibly manipulating the California market
last spring.
Agency officials and some outside analysts say that poorly conceived
deregulation plans by states, a shortage of power plants, rising
natural gas
prices, and even the weather have had more impact on electricity
prices than
abuses by companies or any failings by the agency. They say the
agency must
balance the competing interests of generators, local regulators and
utility
companies if it is to keep deregulation on track.
''We're trying to craft a system that gives breathing room to develop
a market,
but not so much room that undue market power punishes consumers,''
Mr. Hebert
said.
Fight Over Deregulation
Today's debate traces back to the 1930's, when President Franklin D.
Roosevelt
backed legislation to break up utility monopolies. The Federal Power
Act of 1935
gave the Federal Power Commission a mandate to ensure ''just and
reasonable''
electricity rates. The Federal Power Commission was abolished in 1977
and
replaced by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, an independent
agency with
1,200 employees that also oversees oil pipelines and the natural gas
market. The
president appoints the chairman and four commissioners -- two
Democrats and two
Republicans with staggered terms of five years. Two Republican seats
are
currently unfilled.
The deregulation of the electricity markets began in the late 1980's,
after the
agency had begun opening the gas markets. By 1996, the commissioners
issued a
landmark order that forced utility companies to open their
transmission lines to
other utilities and electricity wholesalers. The commission and many
private
economists expected that by prying open protected markets,
electricity prices
would immediately fall.
That possibility set off a deregulation frenzy, most prominently in
California,
New York, New England and the mid-Atlantic states. Generating
companies rushed
to expand in the new, borderless market.
But the agency's balancing act has grown more difficult as
electricity
deregulation has spread nationwide. Congress has forced it to trim
its staff in
recent years. Officials complain that investigating abuses in
electricity
markets strains their resources.
And as the California crisis has worsened, the commissioners have
begun sparring
publicly among themselves about what to do. This week, Mr. Massey, a
Democratic
commissioner, and Mr. Hebert (pronounced AY-bear), a Republican, sat
side by
side before a House panel and argued diametrically opposed positions.
Mr. Hebert
said high prices in California ''were sending the right signals to
get supply
there.'' Mr. Massey called the prices that generators were charging
''unlawful''
and said that his agency, by not reining them in, ''is simply not
doing its
job.''
The agency's leadership has been in flux for months. Congressional
and industry
officials in Washington say President Bush is considering replacing
Mr. Hebert,
whom he named to the top post less than two months ago, with Pat
Wood, who runs
the Texas public utility commission. A White House spokeswoman had no
comment on
the reports.
Though Mr. Hebert's positions are not far from those of the Bush
administration,
his relations with California leaders may have made his position
tenuous. Mr.
Hebert, a Mississippian who is a close ally of the Senate majority
leader, Trent
Lott, has warred with California politicians who have proposed new
solutions to
the crisis there.
Mr. Hebert, who has served as a commissioner since 1997, has often
taken the
most ideologically free-market position of any commissioner. He
flatly rejects
the idea of price caps on electricity as hopelessly ineffective and
contrary to
market forces. When Gov. Gray Davis outlined a plan to have the state
buy
transmission lines to relieve utility companies' debt, Mr. Hebert's
response was
dismissive. ''It's not in the interest of the American public,'' he
pronounced.
Even as new electricity markets opened in the summer of 1999, they
started
producing nasty shocks. The mid-Atlantic region experienced some
early
volatility.
As the turmoil grew, economists began raising the alarm about a
phenomenon
called ''market power,'' the ability of energy traders in the new
national
market to sustain prices above the competitive level. Proving such
abuses is
difficult, because it requires comparing tens of thousands of
separate
electricity transactions with the costs of the generators that
initiated them.
Joseph Bowring, who heads the market monitoring unit of the nonprofit
entity
that operates the mid-Atlantic transmission system, said that power
companies
there had exercised some market power. But only the Federal Energy
Regulatory
Commission, not local regulators, had the authority to collect the
data to
determine how much market power had been exercised and whether it had
been
abusive or not, he said.
Mr. Bowring said he talked to agency officials about doing so. In the
end, Mr.
Bowring and several agency officials said, the agency chose not to
investigate.
The decision roiled some agency officials.
Ron Rattey, a veteran agency economist, wrote a memorandum last June
describing
the staff as ''impotent in our ability to monitor, foster, and ensure
competitive electric power markets.'' The staff, the memorandum said,
did not
even enforce a requirement that power companies file detailed
quarterly reports
listing essentially every sale they make. Such data would have been
useful to
Mr. Bowring.
Local-Federal Clash
Local regulators who want to ensure competitive prices often have to
act on
their own. Monitors in New England have intervened about 600 times
since 1999 to
correct prices they determined had been caused, at least in part, by
market
manipulation.
The federal agency has sometimes chastised them for interfering too
much.
The industry, not surprisingly, shares that view. One vocal critic
was Mr.
Miller. Before the agency recruited him last July to head its
division of energy
markets, he was director of policy coordination for the national
energy-trading
unit of PG&E Corporation, the California holding company whose assets
also
include Pacific Gas and Electric, the California utility.
Although the utility has lost billions of dollars during California's
crisis,
Mr. Miller's former unit has become one of the most profitable new
energy
traders nationwide. PG&E Energy Trading, by several estimates, is now
the
second-largest seller of electricity in New England.
The company has had a rocky relationship with regulators. They
intervened
several times in 1999 and 2000 to retroactively cancel auctions they
said
produced excessive profits for PG&E and other companies. Mr. Miller
denounced
the practice, though he acknowledged in public testimony that his
company
sometimes charged ''very high'' prices when it could.
''One person's predatory pricing is another person's competitive
advantage,''
Mr. Miller said at a public hearing on deregulation in Texas in 1999.
New
England regulators too often acted as ''judge, jury and executioner''
when
overseeing the market, he said.
One year later, Mr. Miller and his new colleagues at the federal
agency got a
chance to examine New England's problems from the regulators'
perspective. Their
Nov. 1 report attributed New England's frequent price gyrations to
technical and
regulatory flaws.
As Mr. Miller's team was preparing its report, the Justice
Department, whose
threshold for stepping into possible industry wrongdoing is far
higher than the
agency's, began looking into whether price spikes in New England
pointed to
unlawful monopoly power or collusion, people contacted by the
department during
that inquiry said.
One subject of the civil inquiry is possible price manipulation in
one of New
England's ancillary services markets, people contacted by the
department said.
They said the department was examining whether PG&E and two other
companies
tried to corner that market for several months early last year. PG&E
confirmed
that the Justice Department had contacted it, but denies wrongdoing
and says it
has cooperated with the department's requests.
Mr. Miller has declined to comment on his role at PG&E or at the
agency. His
supervisors defended his work and said they had detected no conflict
of interest
between his work at PG&E and his duties at the agency.
Those duties brought Mr. Miller to California last August. With
electricity
prices there soaring, he and his colleagues sat down with several
utility
executives at the agency's San Francisco office.
One executive, Gary Stern, director of market monitoring for Southern
California
Edison, wanted the agency to stop what he suspected were market
abuses by power
generators. He provided a road map to help investigators figure out
how power
companies traded power contracts -- and whether they had manipulated
the
markets.
But when Mr. Miller and his team approached 11 generators and
marketers --
including his old employer -- a few weeks later, they did it their
way. They
asked eight questions, many of them imprecise, like: ''Describe your
strategy
for bidding generation resources into market.''
This question, Mr. Stern said in a recent interview, ''was equivalent
to asking
a suspected burglar how he spent his day.''
Some agency officials also thought the team should probe deeper. Mr.
Rattey
recommended that Mr. Miller seek the quarterly pricing reports that
marketers
were supposed to file. But his suggestion was not adopted, agency
records show.
Daniel Larcamp, Mr. Miller's supervisor, said ''there might have been
more
information that could have been obtained'' in the California
inquiry. But he
said the commission gave the staff only three months to finish,
making it
impossible to collect and analyze the reams of data involved.
For Mr. Miller, agency documents show, the investigation was so
time-consuming
that he had no time to fill out the financial disclosure form
required of new
federal employees. Mr. Miller submitted his form in late January,
after a
reporter requested it. Agency lawyers approved the form, but only
after he
provided additional information about his job and compensation from
PG&E. The
lawyers said Mr. Miller's participation had been permissible because
PG&E was
not the subject of the investigation.
When the staff report was issued on Nov. 1, it found high prices and
problems in
the design of the California market. But while the companies ''had
the potential
to exercise market power,'' the commission said, there was
''insufficient data''
to prove that they did.
Some marketers saw the report as an exoneration.
''This has been looked at several times, most notably by the FERC and
nobody has
found any evidence of market manipulation and profiteering,'' Rob
Doty, the
chief financial officer of Dynegy Inc., told a reporter earlier this
year.
California Inquiry
The agency has recently shown signs of wanting to apply pressure on
generators.
But its early efforts show how it is treading on new and uncertain
turf.
When the California crisis grew severe last December, the commission
issued a
refund order, a shot across the bow for generators charging high
prices. It
required them to submit detailed data any time they sold electricity
in
California for more than $150 per megawatt hour, considered at the
time a fair
estimate of the highest costs any of them faced.
It also told generators that for the next several months, they could
be forced
to give refunds if the agency found that they had charged excessive
prices. The
commission also said that it would examine bidding practices and
strategies for
withholding generating capacity to ferret out any efforts to
artificially raise
prices.
When the agency's own 60-day deadline for examining market data in
January
approached, however, it became clear that staff members had not made
any
detailed examination. Instead, staff members said, the agency
scrambled to forge
a last-minute compromise that would allow it to issue a statement
opposing high
prices in the state without a time-consuming investigation.
During this scramble, a senior staff member, Kevin Kelly, suggested
focusing on
bad hours instead of bad actors.
''Our attempts to find illegal behavior or legal 'misbehavior' by
sellers ('bad
actors') always seems to fail,'' his memorandum said. It said that
the agency
could more easily blame high prices on acute shortages during the
most critical
hours.
The suggestion won the day. The commission decided to limit its order
to the
hours when California declared a Stage 3 emergency, when supplies are
critically
low.
Mr. Stern of Southern California Edison and several private-sector
economists
have attacked the economic logic of that order. They said that the
commission
has focused on times when prices might be legitimately high. The
bigger worry:
Generators can and often do sustain artificially high prices when
supplies are
not as tight, they say.
Mr. Massey, the Democratic commissioner, dissented from the decision
for those
reasons. Because most high-priced transactions in January and
February did not
occur during bad hours, he argued, the commission effectively chose
to bless as
''just and reasonable'' the hefty profits generators are making from
the
California crisis.
''The problem with my agency is that we're so carried away with the
rhetoric of
markets that we've gotten sloppy,'' Mr. Massey said. ''We're talking
about
electricity. It's the juice of the economy, so it's got to be
available and
reasonably priced.''


Williams defends pricing of electricity
03/23/2001
Associated Press Newswires
Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

TULSA, Okla. (AP) - Williams Cos. Inc. says it can justify the rates
it charged
for wholesale power, despite accusations from federal regulators that
it sold
over-priced electricity to California.
Federal regulators claim Williams Energy Marketing and Trading Co., a
unit of
Tulsa-based Williams, owes California more than $40 million in
refunds for power
it sold to the state's Independent System Operator.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission says that Williams is one of
several
power providers responsible for $124 million in overcharges from
transactions in
January and February.
The Independent System Operator, which manages the state's power
grid, claims
the state was overcharged $6.2 billion by 21 wholesale power
providers,
including Williams, between May and February.
Williams says the rates it charged California were fair and were
based on
production costs and market conditions.
"Williams is confident that it performed within the guidelines
established by
the ISO," said Williams spokeswoman Paula Hall Collins. "We felt like
we had
worked within the regulations set up by ISO."
According to the commission, power prices levied by Williams in
January and
February exceeded federal price ceilings based on the cost of natural
gas and
other market conditions.
However, the price ceilings were established after the ISO accepted
Williams'
power prices, Collins said.
The commission will review Williams' explanation and either accept
the
justification or order the company to pay refunds.



Allegheny Energy makes big California connection
03/23/2001
Associated Press Newswires
Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

HAGERSTOWN, Md. (AP) - Allegheny Energy Inc. said Thursday it has
agreed to sell
$4.5 billion worth of power to California's electricity-purchasing
agency over
the next 10 years.
The company said the contract call for Allegheny to provide up to
1,000
megawatts that the Hagerstown-based company has secured from western
generating
plants through its new energy trading division, Allegheny Energy
Global Markets
- formerly Merrill Lynch Global Energy Markets.

"This is a win-win for both the state of California and Allegheny
Energy. It
provides a long-term source of fixed-price energy and should help to
stabilize
prices in California," said Michael P. Morrell, president of the
Allegheny
Energy Supply division.
Allegheny Energy is the parent of Allegheny Power, which delivers
electric
energy and natural gas to parts of Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania,
Virginia and
West Virginia.


Williams plans expansion of pipeline to help power Calif.
03/23/2001
Associated Press Newswires
Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - The Williams Cos. plans to expands its Kern
River
pipeline, which runs through Utah, to provide more natural gas for
generating
plants in California.
Williams' gas pipeline unit in Salt Lake City said Thursday that it
plans to
construct nearly 700 miles of additional pipeline that will run
parallel to its
existing Kern River line.

Construction on the $1 billion project is expected to begin next year
and is
scheduled for completion in May 2003, said Kirk Morgan, director of
business
development for Kern River pipeline.
"Shippers are seeking more access to natural gas from the Rocky
Mountain basin,
where producers are aggressively stepping up production," Morgan
said.
The new pipeline is expected to deliver about 900 million cubic feet
of natural
gas per day to markets in Utah, Nevada and California.
Most of the gas will be used for generating plants planned in
California. If all
of the pipeline's capacity were used to generate electricity, it
could produce
about 5,400 megawatts. "That is enough to light around 4.5 million
homes,"
Morgan said.
The original Kern River line was completed in 1992. It enters Utah
from Wyoming
then crosses into the Salt Lake Valley near Bountiful. It turns south
near the
Salt Lake City International Airport then runs the length of the
state before
passing into southern Nevada and winding up near Bakersfield, Calif.
It currently transports 700 million cubic feet of natural gas per
day. Williams,
based in Tulsa, Okla., recently filed an emergency application with
federal
regulators to install additional pumping stations on the line to
increase its
capacity by 135 million cubic feet per day. That $81 million pumping
station
project should be completed by July 1.
During the 2002 construction period, the Kern River project will
employ between
1,500 and 1,800 people. The company estimates annual property taxes
it pays to
Utah counties will increase from $3.5 million to about $7 million.
Questar will be one of the customers on the new pipeline, Morgan
said.
The utility wants to supply additional gas to southern Utah cities,
including
St. George and Cedar City.
"Our own pipelines serving southern Utah are at full capacity so this
is an
opportunity to transport additional gas into those areas from
company-owned
supplies in Wyoming," said Questar Gas spokeswoman Audra Sorensen.



Calif Energy Commission OKs 3 Pwr Plants Worth 2,076 MW
03/23/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

(This article was originally published Thursday)

LOS ANGELES -(Dow Jones)- The California Energy Commission Wednesday
approved
three power plants worth 2,076 megawatts, two of which are scheduled
to come on
line by the end of 2002, a CEC spokesman said Thursday.

The plants approved include BP Amoco PLC (BP) unit ARCO Western
Energy's 500
megawatt Western Midway Sunset Project, slated to come on line in
October 2002;
Caithness Energy's 520 MW Blythe Power Plant, to come on line by Dec.
31, 2002;
and Thermo Ecotek's 1,056 MW Mountainview Power Plant, scheduled to
come on line
in April 2003.
All three of the new plants will be natural gas-fired combined-cycle
plants.
The $550 million Mountainview plant will be located in Southern
California, near
San Bernadino. The $300 million Western Midway-Sunset plant will be
located in
central Kern County, while the $250 million Blythe plant will be
located in the
city of Blythe in Riverside County.
The latest approvals bring to 13 the total number of plants approved
since April
1999 by the CEC, a spokesman said. Those plants will supply 8,405 MW
to the
state, which has seen rolling blackouts and spiking wholesale power
prices in
the last six months, in part due to lack of supply.
-By Jessica Berthold, Dow Jones Newswires; 323-658-3872;
jessica.berthold@dowjones.com


Some CalEnergy Power Could Be Sold Outside Calif - CEO
03/23/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

(This article was originally published Thursday)

LOS ANGELES -(Dow Jones)- Some of CalEnergy Operating Corp's power
could end up
being sold outside of California, though that is not the company's
intent,
CalEnergy Chairman and CEO David Sokol said in a conference call
Thursday.

CalEnergy, an affiliate of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co, which is
majority
owned by Warren Buffett's Berkshire-Hathaway (BRKA), was given legal
authority
Thursday to suspend 270 megawatts of power delivery to Edison
International
(EIX) utility Southern California Edison and sell on the open market,
because
SoCal Edison has not paid its bills since November.
CalEnergy stopped supplying power to SoCal Ed immediately following
the court
ruling.
"We stopped supplying power at 1 PM (PST) and have been selling to
parties that
will pay since then....We are selling it to marketers; our current
marketing
agent is El Paso Corp (EPG) and they will sell it for us," Sokol
said.
Sokol added that while it was his company's intention to have its
power sold to
California, that could not be guaranteed.
"We leave the energy selling to El Paso....We've directed them that
we would
like the power to stay in California but we can't stop them," from
selling out
of state, Sokol said.
Wholesale prices on the open market are about $400-$500 a
megawatt-hour, three
times more than what the company had received under its contract with
SoCal Ed.
The court's ruling did not address the $45 million SoCal Ed still
owes CalEnergy
for November and December power, and Sokol said that his company's
separate
lawsuit on that matter sought to attach the utility's assets as
payment for that
debt.
Sokol said the court's ruling had "significant implications" for the
entire
community of small, independent generators, known as qualifying
facilities or
QFs, who have not received payment from SoCal Ed.
"Edison's own lawyer said it best....that every QF in the state will
begin to
mitigate if the judge allowed us (to sell on the open market)," Sokol
said.
Sokol said his company was prepared to push SoCal Ed into involuntary
bankruptcy
Friday if CalEnergy hadn't won the case, but said he couldn't
speculate whether
other QFs may be more or less inclined to do so as a result of the
court
outcome.
A group of renewable power suppliers, owed more than $100 million
from SoCal Ed,
said late Wednesday they want state lawmakers to release them for
their supply
contracts with PG&E Corp. (PCG) unit Pacific Gas & Electric and SoCal
Ed until
the utilities are restored to financial stability.
The utilities claim close to $13 billion in undercollections due to
an inability
to pass high wholesale power costs to customers under a rate freeze.
In a statement, SoCal Ed said it opposed CalEnergy's bid to suspend
its QF
contract because the utility believed Gov. Gray Davis and state
regulators are
close to resolving "very legitimate financial concerns of CalEnergy
and other QF
suppliers."
SoCal Ed said it was concerned that CalEnergy's request to sell to
third parties
would lead to a major supply shortage in California.
The utility said it has informed the QFs that it is working to
resolve the issue
without giving unfair advantage to one class of creditors.
While many of the state's large power suppliers have been paid by on
a forward
basis for the power they sell into California, the QFs, which make up
one-third
of the state's total power supply, haven't been paid by SoCal Ed
since November.
PG&E has made partial payments to its QFs.
-By Jessica Berthold, Dow Jones Newswires; 323-658-3872,
jessica.berthold@dowjones.com
(Jason Leopold contributed to this article.)


California and the West Judge Frees Small Firm From Edison Contract
KEN ELLINGWOOD; DAN MORAIN
TIMES STAFF WRITERS
03/23/2001
Los Angeles Times
Home Edition
A-3
Copyright 2001 / The Times Mirror Company

El CENTRO -- California's balance of electrical power shifted
slightly Thursday
when an Imperial County judge temporarily freed a small geothermal
energy
producer from its contract with Southern California Edison, allowing
it to sell
power on the open market.
The ruling by Superior Court Judge Donal B. Donnelly could lead to a
mass exodus
by hundreds of small energy producers that have been selling power to
the
state's financially troubled utilities for months without getting
paid.

At the same time, it may have staved off plans by a group of the
small
generators to send Edison into involuntary bankruptcy as early as
today.
In Sacramento, energy legislation pushed by Gov. Gray Davis passed in
the state
Senate but foundered in the Assembly. The measure was intended to
ensure that
the state gets repaid for the electricity that it has been buying on
behalf of
Edison and Pacific Gas & Electric, which say they lack the cash and
credit to
purchase power. The bill also was supposed to guarantee that the
small,
alternative energy producers--which together provide nearly a third
of the
state's power--get paid. But Assembly Republicans opposed it, saying
it hadn't
been given sufficient scrutiny.
The impact of the small producers was made clear in Imperial County,
where
Edison's failure to pay CalEnergy, the county's biggest property
taxpayer, had
outsize implications. CalEnergy had put county officials on notice
that it was
about to miss a $3.8-million property tax payment. The uncertainty
had prompted
the tiny Calipatria Unified School District to postpone a bond issue
for badly
needed school repairs.
Among CalEnergy Chairman David Sokol's first acts after the judge's
ruling
Thursday was to promise Imperial County Supervisor Wally J.
Leimgruber that the
company would pay its property taxes on time.
"That is great news," Leimgruber said.
Within hours of its court victory, CalEnergy had stopped transmitting
geothermal
power to Edison and begun selling it to El Paso Energy, a marketing
company that
purchased the energy at prevailing rates and resold it on the spot
market.
Some of the more than 700 other small energy producers in the state
said they
were considering similar action against Edison and Pacific Gas &
Electric.
"We absolutely need the right to sell to third parties," said Dean
Vanech,
president of Delta Power, a New Jersey company that owns five small
gas-fired
plants in California and is owed tens of millions of dollars by
Edison.
Sokol praised the Imperial County judge and said his company simply
wanted the
authority to sell its power "to a credit-worthy company that, in
fact, pays for
the power."
An Edison spokesman said the company was disappointed with the
ruling, but
sympathized with CalEnergy and other small producers because
"California's power
crisis has placed [them] in financial distress, just as it has placed
utilities
in financial distress."
Edison expressed concern that the ruling would prompt CalEnergy and
other small
producers to sell their power out of state. Sokol said CalEnergy had
specifically told El Paso Energy that it hoped its power would remain
in
California, "but if someone wants to pay a higher price out of state,
we can't
stop them."
Sokol said that Edison still owes CalEnergy $140 million and that the
company--along with seven other small producers--had been prepared to
file a
petition in federal bankruptcy court in Los Angeles today forcing the
utility
into involuntary bankruptcy. He said his company no longer intends to
do so, and
he believed--but wasn't certain--that the other companies would
shelve their
plans.
Edison filed papers Thursday with the federal Securities and Exchange
Commission
showing that it owed $840 million to various small electricity
producers, many
of which rely on renewable energy sources such as geothermal steam,
solar energy
or wind.
The alternative energy producers--and utilities--strenuously objected
to the
legislation considered in Sacramento on Thursday. The bill, spelling
out how the
utilities are to pay the state and the small producers, passed the
Senate on a
27-9 vote, the exact two-thirds margin required. But it stalled in
the Assembly
on a 46-23 party-line vote, well short of two-thirds.
"When I was a citizen back in Lancaster, I heard these stories about
pieces of
legislation that were cooked up late at night, that . . . were cut
and pasted
together and were rammed through by the Legislature," Assemblyman
George Runner
(R-Lancaster) said. "That's exactly what we have before us."
The alternative electricity generators, including oil companies,
warned that
they would lose money under the Davis proposal, while representatives
of Edison
and PG&E, which have amassed billions in debt in the worsening energy
crisis,
said the legislation would push them deeper into the hole.
"There isn't enough money," Edison attorney Ann Cohn testified at a
Senate
hearing on the bill Thursday. "It is a very simple question: Dollars
going out
cannot be greater than dollars coming in."
The bill, AB 8X, combined several proposals. First, it sought to
clarify earlier
legislation by spelling out that Edison and PG&E must pay the state
all money
collected from consumers for electricity that the state has been
buying.
Additionally, the bill would turn over to the California Public
Utilities
Commission the thorny issue of how much to pay alternative energy
producers for
their electricity.
Wind, solar and geothermal producers might agree to the prices
offered by the
administration. But most of the alternative energy producers,
including Chevron
and British Petroleum, use natural gas to generate electricity
through
"cogeneration," a process of creating steam for both electric
generation and
heat. With natural gas prices high, they contend, they would lose
money at the
prices Davis is offering.
*
Ellingwood reported from El Centro, Morain from Sacramento. Times
staff writers
Mitchell Landsberg in Los Angeles and Jenifer Warren, Nancy Vogel and
Carl
Ingram in Sacramento contributed to this story.
(BEGIN TEXT OF INFOBOX / INFOGRAPHIC)
Power Points
Background
The state Legislature approved electricity deregulation with a
unanimous vote in
1996. The move was expected to lower power bills in California by
opening up the
energy market to competition. Relatively few companies, however,
entered that
market to sell electricity, giving each that did considerable
influence over the
price. Meanwhile, demand has increased in recent years while no major
power
plants have been built. These factors combined last year to push up
the
wholesale cost of electricity. But the state's biggest
utilities--Pacific Gas &
Electric and Southern California Edison--are barred from increasing
consumer
rates. So the utilities have accumulated billions of dollars in debt
and,
despite help from the state, have struggled to buy enough
electricity.
*
Daily Developments
* Overcharges by major electricity suppliers were estimated at $6.3
billion, up
from the $5.5 billion first thought, California's power grid operator
said.
* Electricity producers denied that they have profiteered and argued
that
Cal-ISO's figures don't take into account all their costs.
* A Superior Court judge's ruling Thursday freeing a small producer
from its
contract with Edison could lead to a mass exodus by small energy
producers that
have been selling to the utilities without getting paid.
*
Verbatim
"If these guys have such high costs ... how come they're making so
much money?"
--Gary Stern, Edison's director of market monitoring and analysis,
referring to
power producers
Complete package and updates at www.latimes.com/power


Grid Operator Says California Paid Too Much for Power
By Rebecca Smith and John R. Emshwiller
Staff Reporters of The Wall Street Journal
03/23/2001
The Wall Street Journal
A2
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

California's electric-grid operator said power suppliers may have
overcharged
the state and its utilities by $6.2 billion, or a total of 30%, in a
10-month
period, and has asked federal regulators to step up their policing of
electricity markets.
Meanwhile, a California state judge handed down a decision involving
small power
producers that could result in more electricity being made available
in the
energy-starved state, but likely at greater cost to the state
government.

The $6.2 billion figure was contained in a market analysis by the
California
Independent System Operator filed yesterday with the Federal Energy
Regulatory
Commission. The ISO says it isn't seeking a refund -- for the May
through
February period -- because its analysis lacked important market data.
For example, it estimated costs for 21 suppliers based on published
prices for
natural gas, not on specific data showing what each generator
actually paid for
the fuel. "We don't know how much gas actually was purchased at
spot-market
prices," said Anjali Sheffrin, the ISO's head of market analysis.
Charles Robinson, general counsel for the ISO, said FERC needs to
become "more
aggressive about market-power mitigation." The ISO's filing, he said,
was
intended to push the agency in that direction, since FERC is
responsible for
policing deregulated electricity and natural-gas markets.
He said that if the FERC doesn't act, the state of California may
find ways to
discipline the market, such as through the state attorney general's
office. The
attorney general has been investigating the state's electricity
market for many
months but hasn't brought any court action.
Dynegy Inc., a big owner of power plants in California, said it will
provide
additional information to FERC supporting its position that the
prices it has
charged for power have been "just and reasonable." The Houston
company was one
of 13 energy suppliers that the FERC this month ordered to pay
refunds totaling
$124 million or "show cause" why it should be excused. Dynegy said
the FERC
analysis was flawed, because it used "inaccurate" prices for natural
gas and
pollution credits.
While big power producers such as Dynegy came under attack, small
power
producers won a potentially significant victory in a state court in
Southern
California's Imperial County. A judge granted 10 geothermal plants
operated by
the CalEnergy Co. unit of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., a unit of
Berkshire
Hathaway Inc., of Omaha, Neb., permission to suspend deliveries of
electricity
to Southern California Edison Co. and instead seek other buyers.
These plants, known as "qualifying facilities," are under long-term
contract to
Edison and other utilities but haven't been paid for months. Edison,
a unit of
Edison International, of Rosemead, Calif., says it has been unable to
pay
hundreds of millions of dollars in power bills to CalEnergy and
others because
it has been driven to the brink of insolvency by the state's failed
utility-deregulation plan.
While the CalEnergy case involves only about 320 megawatts of power,
the
repercussions could be far greater. Collectively, hundreds of
qualifying
facilities, or QFs, produce as much as 30% of California's
electricity needs.
QFs totaling 3,000 megawatts cut their production in recent weeks for
lack of
payment. This loss of output was a significant cause of the blackouts
that hit
California this week.
Observers believe the CalEnergy court decision could give other QFs
an
opportunity to sell power in the open market, presumably to the state
government
that now is California's biggest energy buyer. An hour after the
court decision
yesterday, some 400 megawatts of power came back into the market, the
ISO said.
However, additional QF power sales on the open market could
substantially
increase the state's tab. Already, the state has allocated more than
$4 billion
for electricity purchases.
Separately, Edison said in a Securities and Exchange Commission
filing that its
unpaid power bills could contribute to a write-off of as much as $2.7
billion
for 2000. Because of uncertainty caused by the energy crisis, the
company hasn't
yet reported year-end earnings.



Power regulators debate who should be exempted from blackouts
By KAREN GAUDETTE
Associated Press Writer
03/22/2001
Associated Press Newswires
Copyright 2001. The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - State power regulators said Thursday they are
working to
exempt all California hospitals, regardless of size, from rolling
blackouts.
The Public Utilities Commission met with representatives from
hospitals and
investor-owned utilities after Los Angeles lawyer David Huard filed
an emergency
motion with the PUC on behalf of more than 500 hospitals throughout
the state.

Under PUC rules, hospitals with more than 100 beds are exempt from
losing
electricity during power emergencies. But during rolling blackouts
Monday, at
least a dozen hospitals from Long Beach to Clearlake were forced to
use their
backup generators.
Pacific Gas and Electric Co. and Southern California Edison Co. say
they blacked
out those hospitals specifically because they have backup generators.
Both
utilities said the temporary blackouts were part of their overall
efforts to
spread the burden of blackouts over more of their customers.
Linda Ziegler, director of business and regulatory planning for SoCal
Edison,
said the utility is following state law and will implement new
guidelines if the
PUC changes them.
But hospitals say there is a 10-second lapse before emergency
generators kick
in, which could harm patients in the midst of delicate surgical
procedures such
as organ transplants or brain surgery.
"You wouldn't fly a plane with only your emergency backup systems in
place,"
said Ann Mosher, a spokeswoman for California Pacific Medical Center
in San
Francisco. "Backup generators are just that, they're not designed to
keep the
hospital up and running at full capacity."
Ziegler said that power still goes out for reasons beyond the energy
crisis,
from incidents like lightning or a knocked-down power pole.
"If it's a serious problem for the hospital it's certainly something
they should
be address just from an ongoing basis," she said.
The exemption would cover all hospitals within the territory of the
state's
investor owned utilities PG&E, Southern California Edison and San
Diego Gas and
Electric.
Hospitals within the range of municipally owned utilities, such as
the Los
Angeles Department of Water and Power, are separately regulated.
For more than two decades, prisons, hospitals with more than 100 beds
and
emergency services such as fire and police departments have been
classified as
"essential" services, and are exempted from blackouts by order of
state power
regulators.
After rolling blackouts began darkening the state in January, many
other public
service groups began seeking relief from power interruptions,
including transit
systems, schools and water districts.
---
On the Net:
http://www.cpuc.ca.gov



Federal Judge Orders Reliant To Keep Selling Pwr To Calif
03/22/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP)--A federal judge issued a preliminary
injunction
Wednesday ordering a major electricity wholesaler to continue selling
to
California despite its fear that it will not get paid.
U.S. District Judge Frank C. Damrell Jr. said Californians were at
risk of
irreparable harm if Reliant Energy (REI) stopped selling power to the
Independent System Operator, which oversees the state's power grid.
The ISO buys
last-minute power on behalf of utilities to fill gaps in supply.

Damrell dismissed Reliant's attempt to force the state Department of
Water
Resources to back the ISO's purchases for the state's two biggest
utilities. The
state has been spending about $50 million a day on power for Pacific
Gas and
Electric Co. and Southern California Edison, both denied credit by
suppliers
after amassing billions of dollars in debts.
The judge said he had no authority to force the DWR to pay for that
power.
Gov. Gray Davis has said the state isn't responsible for purchasing
the costly
last-minute power ISO buys for Edison and PG&E, despite a law
authorizing state
power purchases on the utilities' behalf.
ISO attorney Charles Robinson said the ruling gives ISO operators "a
tool to
assist them in keeping the lights on in California."
"Had the decision gone the other way, one could expect other
generators to
simply ignore emergency orders," Robinson said.
Damrell's preliminary injunction will remain in effect until the
Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission rules on the matter.
Damrell denied the ISO's request for preliminary injunctions against
three other
wholesalers - Dynegy Inc. (DYN), AES Corp. (AES) and Williams Cos.
(WMB) - which
agreed to continue selling to the ISO pending the FERC ruling.
Spokesmen for Reliant, Dynegy, AES and Williams were out of the
office Wednesday
night and didn't immediately return calls from The Associated Press
seeking
comment on the ruling.
The ISO went to court in February after a federal emergency order
requiring the
power sales expired. The judge then issued a temporary restraining
order,
requiring the sales, but dropped it after the suppliers agreed to
continue sales
to California pending his Wednesday ruling.
The ISO said it would lose about 3,600 megawatts if the suppliers
pulled out,
enough power for about 2.7 million households. One megawatt is enough
for
roughly 750 homes.
Grid officials said Reliant's share alone is about 3,000 megawatts.
Reliant said
the amount at issue actually is less than a fourth of that, because
most of its
output is already committed under long-term contracts.
Reliant, which currently provides about 9% of the state's power,
worries it
won't get paid due to the financial troubles of PG&E and Edison. PG&E
and Edison
say that together they have lost about $13 billion since June due to
soaring
wholesale electricity costs that California's 1996 deregulation law
bars them
from passing onto customers.


Calif Small Pwr Producers To Shut Plants If Rates Capped
By Jason Leopold
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
03/22/2001
Dow Jones Energy Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

LOS ANGELES -(Dow Jones)- Many of California's independent power
producers late
Wednesday threatened to take their small power plants offline this
week if state
lawmakers pass legislation that would cap the rates the generators
charge for
electricity they sell directly to the state's three investor-owned
utilities.
At issue is a bill that would repeal a section of the state's Public
Utilities
Code, which links the 688 so-called qualifying facilities'
electricity rates to
the monthly border price of natural gas.

Lawmakers, however, are poised to pass the legislation.
State regulators are then expected to approve a measure that would
restructure
the fluctuating rates the QFs charge PG&E Corp. (PCG) unit Pacific
Gas &
Electric, Edison International (EIX) unit Southern California Edison,
and Sempra
Energy (SRE) unit San Diego Gas & Electric from $170 a megawatt-hour
to
$69-$79/MWh, regardless of the price of natural gas.
Whereas each of the 688 QF contracts differed, largely because
natural gas
prices are higher in Southern California than Northern California,
the state
wants the QFs to sign a general contract with the utilities.
The cogeneration facilities, which produce about 5,400 megawatts of
electricity
in the state, said the rates are too low and they won't sign new
supply
contracts with the utilities.
"For $79/MWh, natural gas would have to be $6 per million British
thermal unit
at
the Southern California border," said Tom Lu, executive director
of
Carson-based Watson Cogeneration Company, the state's largest QF,
generating 340
MW. "Our current gas price at the border is $12.50."
Other gas-fired QFs said the state could face another round of
rolling blackouts
if lawmakers and state regulators pass the legislation, which is
expected to be
heard on the Senate floor Thursday, and allow it to be implemented by
Public
Utilities Commission next week.
Lu, whose company is half-owned by BP Amoco PLC (BP) and is owed $100
million by
SoCal Ed, said the proposals by the PUC and the Legislature "will
only make
things worse."
David Fogarty, spokesman for Western States Petroleum Association,
whose members
supply California with more than 2,000 MW, said the utilities need to
pay the
QFs more than $1 billion for electricity that was already produced.
State Loses 3,000 MW QF Output Due Of Financial Reasons


The QFs represent about one-third, or 9,700 MW, of the state's total
power
supply. Roughly 5,400 MW are produced by natural gas-fired
facilities. The rest
is generated by wind, solar power and biomass.
About 3,000 MW of gas-fired and renewable QF generation is offline in
California
because the power plant owners haven't been paid hundreds of millions
of dollars
from cash-strapped utilities SoCal Ed and PG&E for nearly four
months.
Several small power plant owners owed money by SoCal Ed have
threatened to drag
the utility into involuntary bankruptcy if the utility continues to
default on
payments and fails to agree to supply contracts at higher rates.
The defaults have left many of the renewable and gas-fired QFs unable
to operate
their power plants because they can't afford to pay for the natural
gas to run
their units. Others continue to produce electricity under their
contracts with
the state's utilities but aren't being paid even on a forward basis.
The California Independent System Operator, keeper of the state's
electricity
grid, said the loss of the QF generation was the primary reason
rolling
blackouts swept through the state Monday and Tuesday.
Gov. Gray Davis, recognizing the potential disaster if additional QFs
took their
units offline, held marathon meetings with key lawmakers Monday and
Tuesday to
try and hammer out an agreement that would get the QFs paid on a
forward basis
and set rates of $79/MWh and $69/MWh for five and 10 year contracts.
He also
said he would direct the PUC to order the utilities to pay the QFs
for power
they sell going forward.
"After next week the QF problem will be behind us," Davis said
Tuesday. "We want
to get the QFs paid...the QFs are dropping like flies...and when that
happens
the lights go out."
But this just makes the problem worse, said Assemblyman Dean Florez,
D-Shafter,
a member of the Assembly energy committee.
"I don't know how we are going to keep the lights on," Florez said in
an
interview. "Many of these congenerators are in my district. They said
if the
legislation doesn't change they are going offline. This compounds the
issue of
rolling blackouts, especially now when we need every megawatt."
Davis, who didn't meet with people representing the QFs, said he was
handing the
QF issue to the PUC because lawmakers failed to pass legislation that