Enron Mail

From:kristin.walsh@enron.com
To:john.lavorato@enron.com, louise.kitchen@enron.com
Subject:California Update 4/23/01
Cc:phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com,chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com, rob.milnthorp@enron.com, kevin.presto@enron.com, clau
Bcc:phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com,chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com, rob.milnthorp@enron.com, kevin.presto@enron.com, clau
Date:Mon, 23 Apr 2001 07:07:00 -0700 (PDT)

Executive Summary
? FERC Considers Price Caps in the West
? Davis/SoCal Ed MOU subject to legislative revisions (we still stand by our
early reports that the SoCal/Davis transmission deal will most likely fail
and that SoCal will follow PG&E into bankruptcy court)

FERC mitigates price spikes in the West
FERC Chairman Hebert has placed a RTO West proposal onto the agenda for this
week's meeting. The proposal would "mitigate" price surges by requiring
generating companies to sell power into California and other western states
during Stage 3 emergencies (when there is less than 1% surplus electricity in
the grid) and cap the price generators could charge during these highest
states of emergency.
1) The FERC proposal would not set price caps for any other time than Stage
3 emergencies
2) It would expire after a year
3) It would set the top reference rate at "cost plus" based on the cost to
produce electricity by the most inefficient producer
FERC is also looking at initiatives that would encourage the agriculture
industry to possibly sell their power and natural gas contracts instead of
using them to produce their products. Although this proposal has not been
formally approved or voted on at this time, the Chairman's control over
FERC's agenda is absolute and nothing gets on the agenda he does not want to
consider. Thus, if it stays on the agenda through meeting time, the odds of
it passing are quite high if the meeting avoids total breakdown into
hard-headed chaos. The key has been Commissioner Breathitt. The two recently
nominated Commissioners have not yet been approved by the Senate and so
cannot vote this week. Thus any change in Breathitt's position definitively
tips the balance of power in FERC.
Davis & SoCal. MOU not a Done Deal
According to sources, the first legislative alteration to the Davis/SoCal MOU
will involve removing the dedicated rate component necessary to repay SoCal's
creditors. This point only highlights the Senates' indecision on how to deal
with paying off generators. Solutions currently range from seizing assets to
seeking legal relief for corporate price gouging and sources indicate that
the QFs are still likely to file involuntary bankruptcy against SoCal upon
the Senate's first official sign of unwillingness to work with creditors.