Enron Mail

From:kristin.walsh@enron.com
To:john.lavorato@enron.com, louise.kitchen@enron.com, phillip.allen@enron.com,tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com, ro
Subject:California Update 5/09
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 9 May 2001 09:49:00 -0700 (PDT)

Please contact Kristin Walsh (713) 853-9510 or Britt Whitman (713) 345-4014
for questions.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
? California's Bond Inevitability
? Davis Faces Even Greater Financial Woes
? California's Creditor Status Debated by Court
? Windfall Profits Tax Bill (SB 1X/AB 128X) Passes Senate Vote, Davis
expected to Sign Off

California Bond Battle
SB 31X passed the Senate today by a simple majority vote, initiating the 90
day wait period on the revenue bonds issuance. Sources indicate that
contrary to media reports, a possible referendum on the SB 31X would be
unlikely for Harvey Rosenfield to produce within 90 days due to insufficient
funding. He reportedly would need to raise $250,000 - $500,000 very
quickly. Sources believe that it is more likely that Harvey will attempt to
set up an initiative later this year or in 2002.

Davis Financial Woes Just Beginning
It is unclear whether Governor Davis truly will be able to move money around
within the state budget to cover power purchases until August. Of the $13.4
billion bond amount authorized, approximately $6.7 billion has already been
spent on power. It is likely that the state will spend more than the
remaining $6.7 billion on power before the bonds are even issued. Sources
indicate that most of the long-term contracts Davis talks about are unsigned
and not really in place. This means that the state may still have to
purchase the majority of power on the spot market, which further complicates
the situation. As reported earlier, this explains why the Republicans wanted
to wait for Davis to disclose the terms of the contracts before authorizing
the bond issuance. Given the lack of contracts in place, it appears that the
bridge loan and the bonds will be inadequate for all of the state's power
purchases.

"To Be or Not to Be," Is California a Creditor?
Sources indicate that lawyers and members of the generator community
reviewing California's revenue bond bill SB 31X, are unclear as to whether
the state of California has claims as a creditor. It appears at this time,
that the Assembly re-wrote Senator Bowen's language so that the bill relies
on the existing interpretation of AB 1X as to when the state gets paid by the
utilities. This exact issue is currently being reviewed in the PG&E
bankruptcy case and will most likely settle this ongoing dispute between
legislatures and utilities.

Windfall Profits Tax
According to sources, the windfall profits tax bill, SB 1X, still remains in
committee in the Assembly. It is unclear if this bill could be brought to a
vote tomorrow given that each house has not reviewed the other's version of
the bill. Sources further indicate that the Senate version SB 1X, has not
yet been referred to an Assembly policy committee and that a "significant
reconciliation process" between the two bills must occur. For example,
unlike the Senate version, the Assembly version reportedly does not set a
price cap based on a firm dollar amount, but instead leaves the decision up
to a regulatory committee such as the PUC. Once the bond issuance passes the
Senate and is officially authorized, the state will likely be able to get its
bridge loan from the lenders. However, sources indicate that the bridge loan
is "dead" unless the Senate moves before Thursday.