Enron Mail

From:kristin.walsh@enron.com
To:john.lavorato@enron.com, louise.kitchen@enron.com
Subject:California Update 5/16/01
Cc:phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com,chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com, rob.milnthorp@enron.com, kevin.presto@enron.com, clau
Bcc:phillip.allen@enron.com, tim.belden@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com,chris.gaskill@enron.com, mike.grigsby@enron.com, tim.heizenrader@enron.com, vince.kaminski@enron.com, steven.kean@enron.com, rob.milnthorp@enron.com, kevin.presto@enron.com, clau
Date:Wed, 16 May 2001 09:33:00 -0700 (PDT)

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
? Of the four =01&Plan Bs=018 introduced recently by California legislature=
, only=20
two proposals appear viable for SoCal, and surprisingly, PG&E. The others=
=20
either establish vulture funds for when So Cal goes under, or propose new=
=20
ways of funding the transmission line deal. The California legislature's=
=20
inability to identify an immediate solution has cued the media to limit the=
=20
publicity of the lesser =01&plan Bs.=018
? At this point, SoCal is interested in a making a deal. Not only are they=
=20
are the on the verge of bankruptcy, but (unlike PG&E) SoCal has also=20
significantly exposed its parent company to bankruptcy by not taking the=20
necessary steps to protect its assets. As reported earlier with PG&E, we a=
re=20
monitoring all activities surrounding SoCal assets, which could signal=20
imminent bankruptcy.

The Infamous =01&Plan B=018
Four hours of debate and the absence of Republican representation on Tuesda=
y=20
night led members of the state Assembly's so-called "Plan B" group to decid=
e=20
backing only legislation introduced by Assemblymen Dean Florez and Joe=20
Nation. A previous proposal by Senate President Pro Tem John Burton that=
=20
poised the state to purchase SoCal=01,s transmission lines for $2.76B to se=
rvice=20
debt and left the Ca. PUC to determine SoCal=01,s unrecovered power costs p=
rior=20
to bond issuance, didn't=01,t win support. As reported earlier, sources=20
indicate that Davis MOU is likely to suffer a similar fate once introduced =
by=20
Senator Polanco later this week.=20

? The Florez Plan
Florez=01,s plan is currently under review in the Assembly Energy Committee=
. =20
The proposal allows PG&E to issue bonds secured by their assets and use the=
=20
revenues to pay creditors. The state would then assess a tax on the bond=
=20
revenues aimed at servicing PG&E=01,s debt with the CADWR. Sources report =
one=20
drawback to the plan is that PG&E bankruptcy Judge Montali would be require=
d=20
to authorize any such a transaction respective of other recommendations=20
available to the court. This may not be the most time-efficient course of=
=20
action. PG&E had shown signs of approval over similar plans in the months=
=20
preceding their bankruptcy. =20

? The Nation Plan
Nation=01,s plan allows SoCal. Ed to sell bonds backed by ratepayer revenue=
s=20
generated from state approved rate hikes. Additionally, the state would ho=
ld=20
a five-year option on buying the transmissions lines for book value (roughl=
y=20
$1.2B), as well as holding to the SoCal concessions previously mentioned in=
=20
Davis' MOU. The drawback to Nation=01,s proposal is that SoCal creditors=
=20
(including banks and generators) would have to collectively agree to take=
=20
debt repayment at $0.75 on the dollar. Sources report that some SoCal=20
creditors favor attempts to recoup dollar for dollar in bankruptcy court ov=
er=20
conceding to a =01&haircut.=018 SoCal. reportedly approves of Nation=01,s =
plan=20
sticking to the principals outlined in Davis=01, MOU. =20