Enron Mail

From:miyung.buster@enron.com
To:ann.schmidt@enron.com, bryan.seyfried@enron.com, dcasse@whwg.com,dg27@pacbell.net, elizabeth.linnell@enron.com, filuntz@aol.com, james.steffes@enron.com, janet.butler@enron.com, jeannie.mandelker@enron.com, jeff.dasovich@enron.com, joe.hartsoe@enron
Subject:Energy Issues
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Fri, 30 Mar 2001 01:17:00 -0800 (PST)

Please see the following articles:

Sac Bee, Thurs, 3/29: "State seeks more money for power buys"
Updated, 4:41pm

Sac Bee, Fri, 3/30: "Guess again: Rate hike impact underestimated"

Sac Bee, Fri, 3/30: "Bush says energy is paramount concern"

San Diego Union, Thurs, 3/29: "California pulls out the stops to attract=
=20
power plants"
San Diego Union, Thurs, 3/29: " California utility must say where blackouts=
=20
will happen"=20

LA Times, Fri, 3/30: "Raft of Bills Aimed at Energy Conservation"

LA Times, Fri, 3/30: "2 Firms Start Repaying State for Power Buys"=20

LA Times, Fri, 3/30: "Ads Support Davis Actions, Legislature in Power Cris=
is=20
"

LA Times, Fri, 3/30: "Take-Charge Governor Forfeits on Energy " =
=20
(Commentary)

SF Chron, Fri, 3/30: "Blackout Warnings For Police=20
PG&E giving notice to ease traffic jams "

SF Chron, Fri, 3/30: "Energy Crisis Dogs State Democrats=20
Conventioneers likely to discuss Davis' troubles "

SF Chron, Fri, 3/30: "Canada seeks to grab bigger role as U.S. energy=20
supplier "

Mercury News, Thurs, 3/29: "Police unsure how to enforce lights-out rule"

Mercury News, Fri, 3/30: "PG&E ordered to share details about blackouts"

Mercury News, Fri, 3/30: "We need power -- in our back yard "

Orange County, Fri, 3/30: " 'Interruptible' penalites may be revived"

Orange County, Fri, 3/30: "2 cities to be warned if blackout is imminent"

Individual.com, Fri, 3/30: "Energy crisis could cost billions, says=20
California's controller"

Individual.com, Fri, 3/30: "[B] FULL/ Edison Intl unit pays $43.5 mln to=
=20
water resources dept"

Individual.com, Fri, 3/30: "EPRIsolutions Tackles California Power Problem=
s"


---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
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--------------

State seeks more money for power buys


Updated: March 29, 2001 - 4:41 p.m.=20
Gov. Gray Davis on Thursday asked lawmakers to approve spending $500 millio=
n=20
more to buy power for two struggling utilities as Republicans escalated the=
ir=20
criticism of the Democrat's handling of the energy crisis.=20

Davis' request, expected to win approval from the Legislature's majority=20
Democrats, would bring the state's power purchases on behalf of credit-poor=
=20
Southern California Edison and Pacific Gas and Electric to $4.7 billion sin=
ce=20
the buying started in early January.=20

Both utilities said they are starting to pay the state back for the previou=
s=20
power purchases, complying with an order Tuesday by the state Public=20
Utilities Commission.=20

Edison paid the state $43 million and PG&E paid $65.2 million for power=20
purchased by the state in January and February.=20

Republicans stepped up their criticism of Davis and his fellow Democrats=20
during an Assembly session Thursday morning.=20

It was the first legislative session since Assembly Republicans chose a new=
=20
minority leader this week, Assemblyman Dave Cox of Fair Oaks, who pledged t=
o=20
take a harder line on energy negotiations.=20

Assemblyman Jay La Suer, R-La Mesa, ridiculed Davis' offer of 20 percent ra=
te=20
cuts for consumers who cut their electricity use 20 percent from last summe=
r.=20

"My people can't save 20 percent. They've already cut to the bone," La Suer=
=20
said.=20

He and others blamed Davis for record rate increases of up to 46 percent th=
e=20
PUC ordered this week for Edison and PG&E customers.=20

Republicans noted that the PUC is dominated by Davis appointees. Davis has=
=20
denied any influence and criticized the rate hike as premature.=20

Eleven Assembly Republicans filed a lawsuit in San Diego Superior Court=20
asking the court to order Davis to provide more details on the state's powe=
r=20
purchases, saying they need the information for state budget decisions.=20

"Governor Davis has an information gray-out," said Assemblyman Tony=20
Strickland, R-Thousand Oaks, who led the lawsuit.=20

The lawsuit, similar to one filed last week by The Associated Press and=20
several newspapers, seeks details on long-term power contracts the state ha=
s=20
signed and the short-term purchases it is making for Edison and PG&E=20
customers.=20

Davis spokesman Steve Maviglio accused Republicans of engaging in political=
=20
"bomb-throwing and obstructionism," saying the information they want to mak=
e=20
public would help power suppliers get higher prices from the state.=20

He joined Assembly Democrats in accusing the Republican Bush administration=
=20
and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission of not doing enough to rein in=20
soaring wholesale electricity costs.=20

"When are we going to realize that we've gotten FERCed?" quipped=20
Assemblywoman Helen Thomson, D-Davis.=20

She said Californians are hearing "a giant sucking sound" as their electric=
=20
payments flow to out-of-state electricity generators.=20

Maviglio said the crisis is the product of the 1996 deregulation law signed=
=20
by then-Republican Gov. Pete Wilson.=20

"To think Governor Davis can clean up this mess in a matter of months is ju=
st=20
ludicrous," Maviglio said.=20

Cox invited Davis to attend a GOP caucus to discuss energy. Davis spent two=
=20
hours briefing Democrats on Wednesday.=20

Also Thursday, the Assembly resumed hearings in its investigation into=20
California's highest-in-the-nation natural gas prices.=20

Southern California Gas Co. Vice President Rick Morrow vehemently denied=20
allegations in a Los Angeles lawsuit that his company conspired with El Pas=
o=20
Gas Co. at a 1996 hotel meeting to drive up California natural gas prices.=
=20

"That allegation is absolutely absurd," Morrow told two Assembly=20
subcommittees investigating the gas price-spike.=20

The companies are defendants in a lawsuit filed last week by the city of Lo=
s=20
Angeles.=20

Chris Garner, director of Long Beach Energy, said the spike has cost his=20
customers between $25 million and $30 million. Long Beach gas prices are ti=
ed=20
to the cost of gas at the California border, which peaked this winter with=
=20
costs up to six times as high as in neighboring states.=20

California has struggled with soaring natural gas prices, rising electricit=
y=20
costs and a tight power supply for months.=20

The state was under a Stage 1 power alert Thursday, with reserves approachi=
ng=20
7 percent.

-- Associated Press
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
------
Guess again: Rate hike impact underestimated
By Carrie Peyton
Bee Staff Writer
(Published March 30, 2001)=20
Whoops.=20
More Californians than anyone first guessed will probably see their electri=
c=20
bills go up within weeks.=20
They will be feeling the brunt of price increases that utility regulators=
=20
said Thursday will soon give California the highest electric rates in the=
=20
continental United States.=20
Pacific Gas and Electric Co. and the Sacramento Municipal Utility District=
=20
have revised their projections about how many customers will probably be=20
paying higher prices for electricity in May.=20
For PG&E, hundreds of thousands more households could be affected, and for=
=20
SMUD, a proposed surcharge could hit every one of its 525,000 ratepayers.=
=20
PG&E, which in January told lawmakers that pending legislation would protec=
t=20
42 percent of its residential customers from rate hikes, now says that 69=
=20
percent will face an increase.=20
The shifting numbers are "amazing," said Paul Clanon, energy division=20
director at the state Public Utilities Commission. "We're still trying to g=
et=20
to the bottom of it."=20
The PUC said PG&E and Southern California Edison had told it that more than=
=20
40 percent of their residential customers would feel no impact from rate=20
hikes if the PUC followed a state law passed in February. That law required=
=20
rates to stay level for thrifty households -- those that use less than 130=
=20
percent of baseline amounts.=20
"Those were estimates. Now we've had more time to refine the estimates," PG=
&E=20
spokesman John Nelson said Thursday.=20
While only 31 percent of PG&E's 4.6 million customers use less than 130=20
percent of the baseline amounts, another 13 percent use a little more. They=
=20
would escape higher rates if they conserve by 5 percent, he said.=20
Edison said Thursday it still believes about 45 percent of its residential=
=20
customers will feel no rate hikes.=20
"We don't have any reason to believe there is a problem with our numbers,"=
=20
company spokeswoman Clara Potes-Fellow said.=20
Wall Street and power sellers have consistently hammered California for=20
charging too little. But the rate hikes approved this week by the PUC will=
=20
drive average power costs statewide to about 12 cents per kilowatt-hour, th=
e=20
California Energy Commission estimated Thursday.=20
With that, California will surpass New York, at 11.2 cents and holding, and=
=20
New Hampshire, which is at 11.6 cents but about to drop, according to utili=
ty=20
regulators in those states. Except for Hawaii, at 13.9 cents, no other stat=
e=20
comes close to California's new rate, according to October statistics=20
complied by the federal Energy Information Administration.=20
"If there was any doubt in any state's mind that the California deregulatio=
n=20
experiment was an ugly one, this should remove that," said Michael Shames,=
=20
head of the Utility Consumers Action Network.=20
California rates had been among the 10 highest in America when big business=
es=20
began calling for deregulation, saying it would force prices down, he said.=
=20
The high wholesale power costs that are driving PG&E and Edison rates up al=
so=20
continue to eat away at SMUD.=20
The ratepayer-owned utility district has concluded that rainfall this year=
=20
was so light that every SMUD customer should have to pay a special surcharg=
e,=20
which it estimates will add $2 a month to a typical household electric bill=
.=20
That will come on top of a $5 monthly "customer charge" to be added to ever=
y=20
standard household bill. Low-income households will see a $3 customer charg=
e.=20
SMUD directors won't vote on a proposed hike until next month, but when the=
=20
plan was first unveiled, the utility estimated about 70 percent of househol=
ds=20
use so little power that they would face no increase. Later, it said only=
=20
half the households would see no hike.=20
And now, SMUD officials are proposing that every customer pay roughly an=20
extra 3 percent for the next year -- one-quarter cent for every kilowatt-ho=
ur=20
they use -- because power production will dwindle at its hydroelectric plan=
ts=20
on the upper American River.=20
That decision came "about when I was able to go out and play tennis for the=
=20
third weekend in a row in March," said Jim Tracy, SMUD planning director,=
=20
referring to the unusually dry month. The surcharge will raise about $24=20
million and should expire in 12 months, he said.=20
Altogether, SMUD is now forecasting that an average household bill of $67=
=20
would increase to $78 beginning in May.=20
If the current rate proposals are approved by directors at their April 19=
=20
meeting, even those with small SMUD bills who do everything they can to=20
conserve would pay at least an extra $3 to $5 per month, and probably more.=
=20
"I'm comfortable with that," said SMUD board President Larry Carr. "There i=
s=20
a cost associated with serving each customer, (even) if they never turn on=
=20
their electricity."=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
------
Bush says energy is paramount concern

Bee Staff and News Services
(Published March 30, 2001)=20
WASHINGTON -- Declaring that "we are now in an energy crisis," President Bu=
sh=20
on Thursday defended his decision to roll back environmental measures=20
proposed by the Clinton administration and to reject a treaty designed to=
=20
inhibit global warming.=20
"I'm worried about the economy; I'm worried about the lack of an energy=20
policy; I'm worried about rolling blackouts in California," he said. "It's =
in=20
our national interests that we develop a strong energy policy with realisti=
c,=20
common-sense environmental policy."=20
The administration's rebuff of the international agreement on climate chang=
e,=20
a centerpiece of the Clinton administration's environmental agenda, brought=
=20
sharp criticism from European countries, environmentalists and church group=
s.=20
Negotiated in Kyoto, Japan, in 1997, the agreement has not been ratified by=
=20
the Senate. International efforts last November to work out issues=20
surrounding the treaty failed because of a rift between the United States a=
nd=20
Europe.=20
On another environmental matter, the president conceded for the first time=
=20
that he may not be able to persuade Congress to open the Arctic National=20
Wildlife Refuge to oil and gas development.=20
"I think it's important for us to open up ANWR. Whether or not the Congress=
=20
sees it that way is another matter," Bush said.=20
"I think it would be a mistake not to," he added. "We've got a shortage of=
=20
energy in America. It doesn't matter to me where the gas comes from in the=
=20
long run, so long as we get gas moving into the country."=20
He also said he expects to tighten the arsenic standard for drinking water,=
=20
but won't do so until further scientific studies are completed. Bush recent=
ly=20
withdrew new arsenic regulations issued by the Clinton administration.=20
Bush said he remains open-minded and willing to consult with other nations =
on=20
how to address climate change, but he made clear that the mandatory=20
greenhouse-gas reductions stipulated in the Kyoto accord were off the table=
.=20
"We will not do anything that harms our economy," declared Bush, again citi=
ng=20
concerns about soaring natural gas prices and power shortages in the West.=
=20
"We'll be working with our allies to reduce greenhouse gases. But I will no=
t=20
accept a plan that will harm our economy and hurt American workers," said=
=20
Bush.=20
Later, he expressed a similar view in a meeting with German Chancellor=20
Gerhard Schroeder, who told reporters afterward that he continues to hope t=
he=20
United States would participate in climate negotiations scheduled this summ=
er=20
in Bonn, Germany.=20
"We agreed on practically everything, except ... the Kyoto protocol,"=20
Schroeder told reporters during a joint press conference with Bush,=20
acknowledging the issue had put some strain on U.S.-German relations.=20
Response has been more heated in other foreign capitals.=20
"This isn't some marginal environmental issue to be ignored or played down,=
"=20
said Margot Wallstroem, the European Union's environmental minister, at a=
=20
news conference in Brussels, Belgium.=20
She left open the possibility of retaliation against the United States.=20
British Environmental Minister Michael Meacher called Bush's views=20
"exceptionally serious," while Sweden's environmental minister, Kjell=20
Larsson, said Bush's plan "sabotages many years of hard work" on one of the=
=20
world's most pressing environmental concerns.=20
Criticism also came Thursday from a broad coalition of U.S. religious group=
s.=20
Alarmed by Bush's decision to abandon the Kyoto treaty, they urged the=20
president to reconsider his approach or risk alienating a growing faith-bas=
ed=20
movement committed to protecting the environment.=20
Leaders of the inter-denominational groups challenged Bush's decision on=20
religious and moral grounds as well as on scientific evidence that Earth's=
=20
temperature is rising and could trigger catastrophic climate and weather=20
changes.=20
"If credible evidence exists to indicate our present course could threaten=
=20
the quality of life for God's creation and God's children, this becomes an=
=20
issue of paramount moral concern," the leaders said in a letter to Bush.=20
The letter from seven religious leaders is significant because of the=20
influence faith-based groups are exercising on the Bush administration and =
on=20
Republican congressional leaders. Last year, for example, GOP leaders dropp=
ed=20
their opposition to a Clinton administration plan to write off loans to 30 =
of=20
the world's poorest countries under pressure from Pope John Paul II and an=
=20
international network of religious groups.=20
The letter to Bush was signed by leaders of the National Council of Churche=
s=20
of Christ in the USA, the Christian Church (Disciples of Christ), the Afric=
an=20
Methodist Episcopal Church, the Metropolitan Orthodox Church in America and=
=20
the Jewish Theological Seminary. The Jewish Council for Public Affairs wrot=
e=20
separately to voice its concerns.=20
The Kyoto agreement calls on industrial countries to cut greenhouse=20
emissions, mainly carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels, to below 1990=
=20
levels by 2012. Critics have argued that would mean dramatic and costly=20
changes in how the United States generates energy.=20
EPA Administrator Christie Whitman, attending a meeting of environmental=20
ministers in Montreal, said Thursday that while the Kyoto accord is "deeply=
=20
flawed," the president remains "absolutely committed" to being fully engage=
d=20
with the international community on the issue.=20
Muriel Dobbin of The Bee Washington Bureau, the Associated Press and the=20
Washington Post contributed to this report.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
------


California pulls out the stops to attract power plants=20




By Don Thompson
ASSOCIATED PRESS=20
March 29, 2001=20
SACRAMENTO =01) California has jettisoned its normal air and water pollutio=
n=20
controls in a desperate dash to build enough power plants to keep the light=
s=20
on this summer.=20
With little notice, communities could soon find themselves home to small=20
"peaking plants" =01) typically natural gas-fired jet engines built on conc=
rete=20
pads that will roar into use when power supplies run low.=20
Generators that promise to provide power by the end of summer can skip usua=
l=20
environmental restrictions and reviews, win permit approval in days instead=
=20
of months, and qualify for low-interest state loans and $30 million in=20
bonuses.=20
So many developers are eager to take advantage of the temporary shortcuts=
=20
that state regulators are inviting them to workshops around the state=20
featuring refreshments and promises of quick approval.=20
"Believe it or not, government's here to help you," Christine Kinne, the=20
California Environmental Protection Agency's assistant secretary for permit=
=20
assistance, told several hundred developers who attended a recent workshop =
in=20
Sacramento.=20
Gov. Gray Davis wants to attract enough peaking plants =01) which typically=
=20
produce 50 megawatts or less each =01) to gain 1,000 megawatts this summer.=
=20
That's enough power for roughly 750,000 homes.=20
Some Californians question whether the benefits of swift plant approval are=
=20
worth what they see as potential long-term costs.=20
Carl Zichella of the Sierra Club said regulators should take time to consid=
er=20
the impact on water and air quality, the state's growing population, and=20
danger from earthquakes.=20
"These are certainly things we need to think about before we start plopping=
=20
power plants across the landscape," said Zichella, the group's regional=20
director. "People are going to suffer if we relax these standards."=20
The American Lung Association of California and others want lawmakers to=20
encourage the use of renewable energy and conservation rather than relax=20
environmental standards to build new power plants.=20
"We can't afford to relax our air quality regulations and our public health=
=20
standards," said Paul Knepprath, the Lung Association's vice president for=
=20
government relations.=20
California is struggling with a tight power supply caused in part by scarce=
=20
hydroelectricity in the Pacific Northwest, high natural gas prices,=20
California plant shutdowns for maintenance, and construction of few plants =
in=20
the state over the past decade.=20
The state has had widespread blackouts four times this year, including twic=
e=20
last week.=20
Power regulators fear rolling blackouts will become common this summer, whe=
n=20
demand rises sharply as Californians crank their air conditioners.=20
To try to get new power plants online, regulators are crunching what once=
=20
were yearlong reviews into as little as 21 days for peaker plants and four=
=20
months for larger facilities.=20
The environmental portion of the reviews for peaker plants now takes just=
=20
seven days, and the normal requirements of the California Environmental=20
Quality Act have been lifted by Davis under an emergency order.=20
Davis originally said only generators that have new plants online by July 3=
1=20
could take advantage of the speedy review. He moved the deadline to Sept. 3=
0=20
because few could meet the earlier one, said Roger Johnson, siting office=
=20
manager for the California Energy Commission.=20
Winston Hickox, secretary of the California Environmental Protection Agency=
,=20
said state officials are "biting our fingernails about whether we can make=
=20
it," but still hope to have enough electricity this summer.=20
"We're truncating the process. We're being as user-friendly to producers of=
=20
new energy as we can, but we are not abandoning our standards," said Hickox=
,=20
whose role has shifted from environmental watchdog to "permitting czar" at=
=20
Davis' direction.=20
Under the previous process, the state Energy Commission took a full year an=
d=20
held 13 public hearings before granting a license to Riverside County's=20
Blythe Energy power plant. Residents were given at least 10 days' notice of=
=20
hearings through newspaper ads.=20
Under the accelerated review, communities can get as little as three days'=
=20
notice of public hearings on plant proposals.=20
San Diego news media were told on a Monday that there would be a single=20
public hearing, three days later, on the proposed Larkspur Energy peaking=
=20
plant. The commission posted the hearing on its Web site, but otherwise=20
counted on the media to let residents know.=20
The California Air Resources Board says it will overrule local air quality=
=20
boards that take too long to grant permits and air pollution waivers.=20
Davis used an executive order to remove restrictions on when peaker plants=
=20
can run so the state can call on them as needed, day or night.=20
The plants also will be allowed to exceed pollution standards by buying=20
"emissions credits" =01) $6,000 per ton of pollutants, which buys them a wa=
iver=20
for three years. The ARB says the plants could emit a combined 3 to 10 tons=
=20
of smog-producing nitrogen oxide each day, triggering complaints from the=
=20
Lung Association that children and the elderly will suffer.=20
Davis also ordered the state Water Resources Control Board to remove limits=
=20
on heated power plant discharge water that would prevent the plants from=20
operating.=20
The state will buy the natural gas to fire up peaking plants, and guarantee=
=20
owners a "reasonable profit" on their plants' operation, said Viju Patel,=
=20
executive manager of the Department of Water Resources. The state will save=
=20
money with long-term gas contracts, he said, while saving operators the ris=
k=20
of fluctuating gas prices.=20
The peaking plants likely to be approved most swiftly are ones without=20
apparent social or environmental problems, the Energy Commission's Johnson=
=20
said.=20
"It can't go in next to a school or hospital," Johnson said.=20
The best sites are polluted commercial land with a gasline and a transmissi=
on=20
station next door, he said.=20
The Sierra Club's Zichella predicts many of the plants will be built in poo=
r=20
industrial communities.=20
"These peaking plants aren't going to be built on Nob Hill," he said. "Thes=
e=20
communities need to have a say in what's going to affect their air=20
pollution."=20
Seyed Sadredin, permit director for the San Joaquin Valley Air Pollution=20
Control District, said the gas turbines are 200 to 300 percent cleaner than=
=20
similar-sized diesel generators.=20
Engineers have found ways to cut the noise and vibration below that of a je=
t=20
engine mounted on an airplane, though "it's not something you can put in yo=
ur=20
backyard and sleep at night," he said.=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----


Raft of Bills Aimed at Energy Conservation=20

Power: Lawmakers propose everything from loans for schools to free insulati=
on=20
in bid to reduce consumption this summer.=20

By JENIFER WARREN and CARL INGRAM, Times Staff Writers=20

?????SACRAMENTO--In their quest to cut energy use so Californians can keep=
=20
their ovens and air-conditioners humming this summer, state officials have=
=20
turned to a time-tested strategy: the good ol' carrot and stick.
?????The Public Utilities Commission took care of the stick earlier this=20
week, approving a record increase in electricity rates. Now the Legislature=
=20
is working feverishly on the carrot.
?????More than 190 bills springing from the power crisis are buzzing around=
=20
the Capitol, and a good number aim to coax or bribe us onto a low-watt diet=
.=20
If we resist, state forecasters warn, summer blackouts are inevitable.
?????To ease the pain, lawmakers are proposing loans, tax credits,=20
refrigerator rebates, free insulation for low-income homeowners--even $40=
=20
million for a "mobile efficiency brigade" to deliver power-saving lightbulb=
s=20
to poor people and businesses.
?????Some measures had been stalled as legislators focused on the financial=
=20
crisis afflicting the state's debt-ridden private utilities, which say they=
=20
are on the verge of bankruptcy. But the rate increase stabilized the=20
financial outlook a bit, and now the focus is back on Sacramento.
?????Displaying newfound pep, lawmakers are shaping and blending bills in=
=20
hopes that the governor can sign them by the end of next week--which also=
=20
marks the start of the Legislature's spring break.
?????Energy specialists say there is not a moment to spare. Last week--a ti=
me=20
when temperatures were mild and energy demand was half that of summer--the=
=20
state suffered back-to-back blackouts. Hot weather is fast approaching, and=
=20
some conservation measures take time to put in place and sell to consumers.
?????One estimate by the California Energy Commission says that for every d=
ay=20
the Legislature delays passage of the biggest conservation bill--the sweepi=
ng=20
SB 5X--the state misses the chance to save 20 megawatts of energy, enough t=
o=20
power about 15,000 homes.
?????"It's extremely urgent," said the bill's author, state Sen. Byron Sher=
=20
(D-Stanford). "All the experts agree that reducing demand through=20
conservation is the least expensive, most effective way we can get control=
=20
quickly over the energy market."
?????While the conservation measures are the priority, dozens of other bill=
s=20
addressing some dimension of the energy mess are piling up.
?????One assemblyman wants to make looting during blackouts a crime, and=20
require that law enforcement officials get a warning before blackouts are=
=20
ordered. Another bill would expedite the approval process for new power=20
plants.
?????Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg (D-Sherman Oaks) wants to ensure that=
=20
operators of new California power plants are forced to offer their=20
electricity for sale within the state before marketing it elsewhere.
?????"This is about giving California the right of first refusal," Hertzber=
g=20
said before his Assembly colleagues approved the bill, AB 60X, and sent it =
to=20
the Senate. Without such a requirement, Hertzberg said, California would=20
suffer air pollution and other costs of hosting plants but reap no benefit.
?????That theme--giving California more control over the power supply--also=
=20
runs through a measure sponsored by Senate leader John Burton (D-San=20
Francisco). His bill, SB 6X, would put the state in the business of buildin=
g,=20
financing, acquiring and owning its own power plants.
?????Burton says the bill would enable California to control its own "energ=
y=20
destiny," as other states do, including New York. But Republicans warn that=
=20
it would create a vast new bureaucracy and say that making and selling powe=
r=20
is best done by private industry.
?????Burton's bill has passed the Senate and awaits action in the Assembly.=
=20
But next week's priority, legislators say, will be passing two gargantuan=
=20
conservation bills considered vital to helping California survive summer=20
without widespread power outages.
?????Analysts say the bills--Sher's and a measure by Assemblywoman Christin=
e=20
Kehoe (D-San Diego)--would allocate about $1 billion to programs that could=
=20
reduce summer demand by as much as 4,000 megawatts--the equivalent of what=
=20
eight average-size power plants produce.
?????Forecasts of a summer power shortfall range from 2,500 to 5,000=20
megawatts, said Ralph Cavanagh, an energy expert for the Natural Resources=
=20
Defense Council: "So these bills could really be decisive."
?????And although $1 billion may seem like a sizable investment for applian=
ce=20
rebates, home weatherization, free lightbulbs and other conservation=20
measures, it's peanuts compared to the exorbitant price--close to $4 billio=
n=20
in the last three months--the state is paying to buy energy on the spot=20
market, Cavanagh said.
?????Experts say the conservation proposals--many of which Gov. Gray Davis=
=20
made in February--have a good chance of success because they build on=20
existing programs with track records. While there are "probably lots of=20
great, innovative new ideas out there, we stuck with proven programs becaus=
e=20
we need certainty for this summer," said Claudia Chandler, assistant=20
executive director of the California Energy Commission, headquarters for ma=
ny=20
of the conservation efforts.
?????Cavanagh said the two bills, if signed by Davis, would roughly double=
=20
what California has been spending on conservation. A spokesman for Davis sa=
id=20
the governor would support the $500-million worth of programs he proposed i=
n=20
February, but could not predict the fate of the other $500-million worth of=
=20
proposals likely to arrive on his desk.
?????"As the governor has said, conservation is our ace in the hole and a=
=20
powerful tool to help us avoid blackouts," said the spokesman, Roger Salaza=
r.=20
"We think the half-billion dollars in proposals the governor has put forth=
=20
are prudent and will help us get through summer."
?????Among the proposals in pending legislation are:
?????* $280 million to help low-income families with everything from paying=
=20
their energy bills to installing insulation, double-paned windows and=20
efficient air-conditioners.=20
?????* $170 million to help businesses install power-saving lighting and=20
air-conditioning systems.
?????* $15 million for energy-efficient traffic signals.
?????* $7 million for a school-based campaign, tentatively called "Kids=20
Count," to teach children about energy conservation.
?????* $25 million in loans to schools to help them cut energy consumption.
?????* $10 million to the state Department of Consumer Affairs for a public=
=20
outreach campaign about the need for conservation.
?????* $132 million in loans and rebates for residents and business owners=
=20
who buy new appliances and air-conditioners or upgrade old systems.
---=20
?????Times staff writer Miguel Bustillo contributed to this story.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
------
2 Firms Start Repaying State for Power Buys=20

Electricity: Edison and PG&E give $105 million for energy supplied between=
=20
Jan. 19 and Feb. 11. Also, a state agency predicts a 7% shortfall this=20
summer.=20

By MIGUEL BUSTILLO and JULIE TAMAKI, Times Staff Writers=20

?????SACRAMENTO--For the first time since California began buying electrici=
ty=20
in mid-January on behalf of the state's two biggest utilities, money is=20
coming back to the state.
?????Under order by state regulators, Southern California Edison and Pacifi=
c=20
Gas & Electric began making payments this week to reimburse the state for t=
he=20
billions it has spent on power. Edison paid $43.5 million and PG&E paid $61=
.8=20
million for electricity supplied between Jan. 19 and Feb. 11, with more mon=
ey=20
on the way, officials said Thursday.
?????California taxpayers became the biggest buyers of power in the West=20
after electricity suppliers began refusing to sell to the utilities, which=
=20
had depleted their cash reserves and tarnished their credit ratings when th=
e=20
cost of electricity soared above their selling price last year.
?????Since then, the state has spent or appropriated $3.8 billion on behalf=
=20
of the utilities, which together serve 24 million people. The repayments=20
began Wednesday, the day after the state Public Utilities Commission approv=
ed=20
consumer rate hikes of as much as 46%.
?????While the PUC action was intended to put the brakes on a runaway energ=
y=20
crisis, there were new signs of disarray Thursday.
?????A group of Republican lawmakers sued Gov. Gray Davis for keeping secre=
t=20
the details of long-term power contracts signed by the state.
?????One of the largest alternative power producers in the West went to cou=
rt=20
to suspend its contract with Edison.
?????And operators of the state's electricity grid predicted that in June,=
=20
California could fall 7% short of the power it needs to avoid blackouts.
?????"California is facing an electricity shortage of unprecedented=20
proportions," wrote the staff of the California Independent System Operator=
=20
in an assessment of summer power supplies.
?????The court action against Edison came from Carson-based Watson=20
Cogeneration Co., one of nearly 700 firms contracted to supply electricity =
to=20
the state's private utilities. Watson filed a complaint in Los Angeles Coun=
ty=20
Superior Court seeking to suspend its contract.
?????Watson has not been paid by Edison since November and is at least the=
=20
third company seeking court release from its utility contract. One such fir=
m,=20
geothermal producer CalEnergy, was granted the right to sell its power on t=
he=20
open market.
?????Watson's complaint comes on the heels of an order by the PUC earlier=
=20
this week that Edison and PG&E begin fully paying small alternative energy=
=20
producers, which together supply more than a quarter of the electricity use=
d=20
by California consumers. Shutdowns by some of these small producers=20
contributed to the state's blackouts last week.
?????Tom Lu, Watson's executive director, said the PUC order failed to=20
provide the assurances his company needs that it will get paid. Many small=
=20
producers have complained that the order slashes the rates that utilities=
=20
must pay the producers to a level that makes it impossible for them to turn=
a=20
profit.
?????"What we're looking for is the capability to be able to sell to a thir=
d=20
party so that we can get paid for our power deliveries," Lu said.
?????Edison sent a letter to the small producers Thursday, promising to beg=
in=20
paying them by April 16 for power supplied in April. The utility added that=
=20
it expects all the alternative generators that shut down their operations t=
o=20
resume deliveries by Sunday.=20
?????The lawsuit filed by the GOP legislators demanding that Davis open the=
=20
books on the state's long-term energy contracts came on the heels of a=20
similar suit filed last week by a coalition of news organizations, includin=
g=20
The Times.
?????Led by Assemblyman Tony Strickland (R-Moorpark), the suit argues that=
=20
under the California Public Records Act, the details of the power buys shou=
ld=20
be made public.
?????Republican lawmakers, who plan to raise money to finance their suit,=
=20
said Davis' withholding of the information prevented them from voting=20
responsibly on the state budget and other important financial matters.=20
California is spending between $45 million and $55 million a day on=20
electricity on the expensive wholesale spot market.
?????"The governor is asking the people in this building to drive down a da=
rk=20
tunnel with the lights off," Assemblyman John Campbell (R-Irvine) said in a=
=20
news conference outside the Capitol.
?????Davis administration officials contend that release of the information=
=20
now would jeopardize their efforts to enter into inexpensive, long-term=20
contracts to purchase electricity because bidders would know what their=20
counterparts were offering, and would not offer a lower price. They say the=
y=20
will release the information at a future date.
?????The administration position received a boost this week when Atty. Gen.=
=20
Bill Lockyer issued a legal opinion saying that maintaining the integrity o=
f=20
power-buying negotiations outweighed public disclosure.
?????In other developments Thursday:
?????* U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham met in Washington, D.C., with=
=20
power suppliers to discuss ways to help California avert blackouts this=20
summer.
?????Abraham asked the energy companies to prepare a list of potential=20
problems, including maintenance schedules for generating units, that could=
=20
reduce electricity supplies this summer, an administration official said.
?????* A state energy panel recommended the speedy restart of two gas-fired=
=20
generators owned by AES Corp. in Huntington Beach, on several conditions.=
=20
Power would have to be sold in California, and the company would have to pa=
y=20
$1 million for an independent study into whether its plant is causing ocean=
=20
and beach pollution.
?????The generators could be online by July, according to California Energy=
=20
Commission staff, but area residents would have to endure construction nois=
e=20
20 hours a day. The Energy Commission must still vote on the recommendation=
s.
?????* An executive with Southern California Gas Co. adamantly denied=20
explosive allegations, contained in a series of lawsuits, that it conspired=
=20
with a Texas energy firm to limit natural gas deliveries to California.
?????Testifying before an Assembly oversight committee in Sacramento, Rick=
=20
Morrow, a vice president with the gas company, said "there was absolutely n=
o=20
mystery" to a meeting at which several of Morrow's employees and=20
representatives of El Paso Natural Gas Co. are alleged to have struck an=20
anti-competitive deal.
?????The two companies are alleged to have violated the state's anti-trust=
=20
law, and caused prices to spike, by agreeing not to compete with one anothe=
r=20
on pipeline projects that would have brought additional natural gas supplie=
s=20
into California.
?????Most power plants in California consume natural gas, and the cost of t=
he=20
fuel accounts for as much as 60% of the cost of electricity.
?????* In an analysis of summer power supplies, state grid operators foreca=
st=20
that imports to California from the Pacific Northwest will be halved becaus=
e=20
severe drought has stressed the region's ability to supply even its own nee=
ds=20
from hydroelectric reservoirs.
?????The report, to be reviewed by the Cal-ISO board of governors today,=20
warns that the state's most severe shortfall of power could occur in June,=
=20
before several new power plants are expected to begin operation in July and=
=20
August.
---=20
?????Times staff writers Richard Simon, Nancy Vogel and Christine Hanley=20
contributed to this story.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
------
Ads Support Davis Actions, Legislature in Power Crisis=20

By DAN MORAIN, Times Staff Writer=20

?????SACRAMENTO--Backers of Gov. Gray Davis are airing radio ads saying the=
=20
governor and Legislature are working hard to solve California's energy=20
crisis, in what could be the beginnings of a campaign against an initiative=
=20
that doesn't yet exist.
?????The ads, airing in Los Angeles and elsewhere, also offer a boost to=20
Davis, at a time when private polls suggest voter skepticism that he is=20
solving the energy crisis.
?????Backers of the ad campaign, funded with a relatively modest $100,000,=
=20
say the spots were not intended to help the governor.
?????"The story here is that this group would like to see partisan politics=
=20
stay out of it," said campaign consultant Rick Claussen of Goddard-Claussen=
,=20
who specializes in initiative campaigns and produced the spots. "We need to=
=20
keep people focused on the solutions."
?????Claussen said the group, called Energy for California, could become a=
=20
political organization that would counter initiatives aimed at undoing=20
whatever solution Davis and lawmakers come up with.
?????At least one and possibly more initiatives related to the energy crisi=
s=20
will probably be on statewide ballots in 2002. Consumer activist Harvey=20
Rosenfield of Santa Monica, who has promoted several initiatives, says he i=
s=20
considering entering the fray.
?????"I'm flattered," Rosenfield said. "This has to be a first: an ad=20
campaign against an initiative that hasn't been drafted."
?????The sponsoring group includes Silicon Valley venture capitalist John=
=20
Doerr and entrepreneur Reed Hastings, both of whom have donated $25,000 to=
=20
Davis' 2002 reelection effort and were major backers of an initiative that=
=20
the governor promoted last year to ease approval of local school constructi=
on=20
bonds.
?????Chris Townsend, who hosted a fund-raiser for Davis in Orange County=20
earlier this year, also is involved, as is Silicon Valley Manufacturing Gro=
up=20
director Carl Guardino, a Davis appointee to the California Independent=20
System Operator, which oversees the state's power system.
?????The group also includes William Hauck of the California Business=20
Roundtable and Daniel Case of the San Francisco investment bank Hambrecht a=
nd=20
Quist.
?????The ads open with voices saying there is no crisis, then switch to an=
=20
announcer who says the crisis is real and that "California faces even more=
=20
energy shortages and blackouts this summer if we don't all do our part."
?????"Working together, we can have adequate supplies and a secure energy=
=20
future. That's what Gov. Gray Davis, the Legislature, business and communit=
y=20
leaders are working to do."
?????The ad refers to steps being taken in Sacramento, including "historic=
=20
statewide conservation programs like the governor's 20/20 program." Althoug=
h=20
it is not final, that proposal promises to give people 20% rebates on the=
=20
remainder of their electricity bills if they cut use by 20% between June an=
d=20
September.
?????"They're not political ads," said Garry South, Davis' chief political=
=20
advisor, who was involved in the planning. "They don't say, 'Vote for Gray=
=20
Davis.' They're about the energy crisis."
?????The ads are designed to "reassure people and calm people down," said=
=20
Darry Sragow, a political consultant who works for the state Assembly's=20
majority Democrats.
?????"It is a critical and dicey time for [Davis] politically," Sragow said=
.=20
"It's not something from which he cannot recover. But he shouldn't be feeli=
ng=20
comfortable."
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-----------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, March 30, 2001=20
Take-Charge Governor Forfeits on Energy=20
By DAN SCHNUR


?????Where was Gray Davis when the lights went out?=20
?????Where was the governor when the rates went up, when the bonds to pay f=
or=20
electricity came up short, when the latest round of blackouts swept across=
=20
California?=20
?????He was doing what he does best. He was raising money for his reelectio=
n=20
campaign.=20
?????While Davis' hand-picked chairperson of the Public Utilities Commissio=
n,=20
former campaign aide Loretta Lynch, was preparing to announce rate increase=
s=20
of up to 40% for some of California's energy consumers, the governor himsel=
f=20
was busy hitting up lobbyists for campaign contributions at a Palm Springs=
=20
golf tournament. In Gray's world, when the going gets tough, the tough go=
=20
country-clubbing.=20
?????When it became known that Lynch was considering approving a rate=20
increase, Davis immediately tried to distance himself from her. Only a year=
=20
ago, Davis had appointed Lynch, a San Francisco trial lawyer and longtime=
=20
Democratic campaign staffer, as the state's top energy official. Throughout=
=20
the crisis, his aides had been meeting with her on a regular basis, while=
=20
portraying Davis himself as being the key player to all energy related=20
deliberations. But when Lynch stepped up to take the heat, the governor was=
=20
strangely passive and distant.=20
?????"I can't order or direct an independent body," he told reporters. "I'v=
e=20
not given any advice to them on the subject of a rate increase."=20
?????For the last several months, Davis had made it clear that a rate boost=
=20
was unacceptable. When the utilities requested an increase last fall, he=20
publicly argued against it. In recent weeks, when state legislators and eve=
n=20
his own advisors began to come to terms with the need for a rate hike, Davi=
s=20
said no. But as the crisis worsened, and the options narrowed, he grew=20
silent. Suddenly Lynch, who is destined to go down in California political=
=20
history as the Rose Bird of electricity, was in command. And Davis was a me=
re=20
spectator.=20
?????Where was the governor who announced in the first days of his=20
administration that his appointees would not speak publicly or announce=20
policy without his permission? Where was the governor who stated that it wa=
s=20
the job of the independently elected state Legislature to implement his=20
vision? The governor who claimed it was the responsibility of California's=
=20
judges to reflect the views he expressed in his own election? The governor=
=20
who has done everything but rip the tongues out of the mouths of advisors w=
ho=20
have strayed even slightly from the company line?=20
?????It's difficult for longtime Davis watchers to reconcile such autocrati=
c=20
tendencies with this new image of the governor tied to the political railro=
ad=20
tracks while the evil commissioners ignore his pleas for mercy. Yet when th=
e=20
full PUC prepared to vote on Lynch's proposal, Davis did not even attend th=
e=20
meeting. He did not, at least publicly, urge the commissioners to reject th=
e=20
rate hike. He certainly did not take to the airwaves calling for California=
ns=20
to join him in opposition. He has therefore forfeited his right to rail=20
against the fates when his own appointees go ahead and pass a rate increase=
.=20
?????As Davis prepares to seek reelection, he already has about $28 million=
=20
in the bank, and he has strong Democratic majorities in the state=20
Legislature. But he also has a state full of voters who have just been told=
=20
that their power bills are going to increase by thousands of dollars each=
=20
year.=20
?????What's a poor governor to do?=20
?????When faced with angry voters, a political leader has two choices. He c=
an=20
talk to them honestly and directly, explain that difficult choices must be=
=20
made and take responsibility for the course of action he has charted. Or he=
=20
can blame their problems on someone else and go to the golf course with his=
=20
contributors.=20
?????Voters will forgive honest policy differences, especially if their=20
leaders have the courage to confront them with difficult truths. They are=
=20
much less likely to forgive politicians who can't, or won't, lead.=20
?????If Davis continues to play the part of victim, Californians will look=
=20
elsewhere for a genuine leader in 2002.=20
- - -

Dan Schnur, Director of Communications During Gov. Pete Wilson's First Term=
,=20
Is a Visiting Instructor at the Institute of Government Studies at Uc Berke=
ley
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
-
Blackout Warnings For Police=20
PG&E giving notice to ease traffic jams=20
Bernadette Tansey, Chronicle Staff Writer
Friday, March 30, 2001=20
,2001 San Francisco Chronicle=20
URL:=20
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=3D/chronicle/archive/2001/03=
/30/M
N188438.DTL=20
San Francisco authorities who have been caught flat-footed by rolling=20
blackouts will get detailed information in advance from PG&E on which block=
s=20
will lose their lights during any future outages.=20
Responding to San Francisco's plea for better notice to avoid dangerous=20
traffic jams, Public Utilities Commissioner Carl Wood has ordered Pacific G=
as=20
and Electric Co. to share a map of its circuitry with the mayor's Office of=
=20
Emergency Services.=20
The information will help police officers find out more quickly which=20
intersections will go dark. Traffic signal outages create backups and=20
potential dangers to pedestrians and motorists, said Lucien Canton, directo=
r=20
of emergency services.=20
Police now get only sketchy information from PG&E about the blocks where=20
power might go out, Canton said.=20
"It's vague almost to the point of being useless," Canton said. "When the=
=20
lights go out, we have to go looking for the intersections ourselves."=20
In an order made public yesterday, Wood told PG&E to give as much advance=
=20
warning as possible when outages are imminent. Wood also directed Southern=
=20
California Edison to meet with Huntington Beach officials to work out a pla=
n=20
to address that city's request for such information.=20
But Wood said he was not inclined to issue a global order for the utilities=
=20
to provide detailed information on their circuits with all cities in their=
=20
coverage areas.=20
A broader notification plan may still be in the works, however. The=20
Independent System Operator, which runs the state's grid, will consider a=
=20
proposal today for an "e-notification" system to help customers and=20
businesses prepare before the lights go out.=20
Under the plan by Carl Guardino, a member of the ISO's governing board and=
=20
president of the Silicon Valley Manufacturing Group, utility customers and=
=20
public agencies that wanted the warnings could submit their e-mail addresse=
s=20
to the ISO. The ISO would advise them whenever a blackout was possible that=
=20
day and identify the outage blocks that would be affected.=20
PG&E has been reluctant to publicize the exact borders of rolling outage=20
blocks, saying it was concerned that criminals would head to an area where=
=20
they knew the power was going to go out.=20
To limit the number of people who learn about the outages, Wood told PG&E t=
o=20
submit the block information to the PUC. The commission will then transmit =
it=20
to the San Francisco emergency services division, with strict limits on its=
=20
distribution.=20
The utility must also tell city officials which essential customers, such a=
s=20
hospitals, are exempt from rolling blackouts and which are not. Canton said=
=20
that list will help the city handle emergencies at nonexempt sites and to=
=20
push exemptions for services that now could lose power.=20
PG&E spokesman John Nelson said the utility will comply with any order the=
=20
commission issues.=20
But he said PG&E does not have circuit maps down to the level of specific=
=20
intersections.=20
"Those maps could be developed," Nelson said. "It would certainly be very=
=20
labor intensive."=20
The outage blocks are also constantly changing, he said, and are modified t=
o=20
take into account different usage patterns between summer and winter.=20
Providing detailed circuit maps to all California cities would be "a most=
=20
involved undertaking," Nelson said.=20
PG&E serves 49 of California's 58 counties, including hundreds of cities.=
=20
Nelson said PG&E alerts cities to the possibility of outages as soon as=20
possible, but often gets little advance warning itself from the ISO.=20
The utility has also taken flak from cities that were warned of a possible=
=20
outage, only to have it averted by last-minute power purchases. Some cities=
=20
have threatened to sue PG&E for the extra cost of sending out public safety=
=20
officers who proved not to be needed, Nelson said.=20
,2001 San Francisco Chronicle ? Page?A - 21=20
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
---------------------------------------------------------------------------=
---
-------------------------------------

Energy Crisis Dogs State Democrats=20
Conventioneers likely to discuss Davis' troubles=20
Carla Marinucci, John Wildermuth, Chronicle Political Writers
Friday, March 30, 2001=20
,2001 San Francisco Chronicle=20
URL:=20
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=3D/chronicle/archive/2001/03=
/30/M
N74478.DTL=20
It has been this kind of month for Gov. Gray Davis: Seeking to welcome=20
Democratic delegates to the annual state convention this weekend, he=20
announced a "Hollywood pictures"-style shindig at the new Disney California=
=20
Adventure theme park. Then, Disney announced 4,000 layoffs.=20
In California, where residents are enduring rolling blackouts and whopping=
=20
energy bill increases, Davis and Democrats are hoping for a break -- and=20
better luck -- as they gather in Anaheim, Orange County, to plan for two=20
brutal years of electioneering ahead.=20
The Democrats' goal is to develop strategies that help them contain the=20
energy crisis, showcase national party leaders like House Minority Leader=
=20
Dick Gephardt of Missouri and Democratic National Committee Chair Terry=20
McAuliffe and pump up the party faithful for coming campaigns.=20
But the three-day convention that begins today will spotlight Davis, whose=
=20
political problems have prompted reporters to reach for such "Jaws"-like=20
descriptions as "sharks circling" and "blood in the water."=20
THE POLITICS OF POWER OUTAGES
The convention will give the governor the chance to beat back the growing=
=20
perception that he is increasingly vulnerable to power outages and politica=
l=20
turmoil: He is scheduled to deliver tomorrow his first major address since=
=20
Californians learned their energy bills will be hiked as much as 46 percent=
.=20
But Davis, while still high on the list of Democratic 2004 presidential=20
prospects, faces challenges on a variety of fronts. Consumer groups are=20
howling, TV pundits are criticizing, and some of his party faithful have=20
begun backbiting -- albeit still mostly off the record -- about his cautiou=
s=20
handling of the energy situation.=20
"This is going to be a difficult several months for Gray Davis," said autho=
r=20
Mark Baldassare, a pollster for the San Francisco-based Public Policy=20
Institute of California. Besides energy woes, a worsening economy and dot-c=
om=20
collapses have "dramatically" changed the political landscape, "and this ha=
s=20
given a lot of people second thoughts about whether there's an opportunity =
to=20
make a run against Davis," Baldassare said.=20
Davis' problems, however, are coming at a high point for California=20
Democrats. Unlike state Republicans, who have been battered by internal=20
squabbling and a string of election losses, Democrats hold all but one of=
=20
California's statewide offices, control the Legislature and took four=20
congressional seats from Republicans in November.=20
OPTIMISTIC IN ORANGE COUNTY
Their confidence is reflected in their choice of convention location. Orang=
e=20
County, for decades a Republican Party stronghold, is now home to a growing=
,=20
Democratic-leaning Latino population.=20
"We've made amazing gains in Orange County in recent years," said Bob=20
Mulholland, a party strategist. "Holding the convention in Orange County=20
shows the party's commitment to reaching everyone in the state."=20
Still, there's an uneasiness among Democrats regarding Davis' handling of t=
he=20
power crunch. If the 2002 election becomes a referendum on the way=20
politicians have dealt with energy deregulation, plenty of other Democrats=
=20
could get burned, and those who voted for the 1996 deregulation plan are=20
especially nervous.=20
Republicans -- emboldened -- have intensified their criticism of the govern=
or=20
and, in the case of Secretary of State Bill Jones, declared themselves read=
y=20
for a 2002 run against Davis.=20
Democratic faithful note that Davis may have suffered some rocky times in=
=20
recent weeks, but they also admire his status as the ultimate political=20
survivor.=20
"I don't think the governor is going to have any primary challenge. A lot o=
f=20
people are talking, but I don't think anyone has the courage to face him=20
down," said Democratic political consultant Robert Barnes of San Francisco.=
=20
"Gray is smart and calculating and knows politics. . . . He won the last=20
election when everybody said he was roadkill. He is never to be=20
underestimated. "=20
And, he's got what insiders say it takes to beat any comers: an astonishing=
=20
$26 million already collected for his next race.=20
UPBEAT REPUBLICANS
But Republicans are feeling better than they have in years.=20
"I'm loving every second of (Davis' troubles)," said a high-level GOP=20
operative, who didn't want to be quoted by name. "It gives us a light at th=
e=20
end of the tunnel."=20
Suddenly Davis' $26 million campaign fund isn't looking insurmountable, he=
=20
said, because "$25.5 million will have to go to explaining the energy=20
crisis."=20
GOP state party Secretary Shannon Reeves, who was invited to the White Hous=
e=20
this week to talk with President Bush, said, "The biggest problem for the=
=20
Democrats right now is . . . we're the most unified we've been in probably =
a=20
decade. And we have a president who has California on the (front burner)."=
=20
What Republicans don't have is a slam-dunk candidate for governor. Jones=20
starts with less than $120,000 for his campaign, and actor Arnold=20
Schwarzenegger and wealthy businessman Bill Simon are longshots.=20
"Despite all their carping and gloating, you'll notice that not a single on=
e=20
of (the Republicans) has put a viable plan on the table to solve the (energ=
y)=20
problem," said Garry South, Davis' senior political strategist. "They can t=
ry=20
to make hay, but they have exactly one statewide elected official. . . . If=
=20
they're breaking out the champagne, more power to them."=20
Still, pollsters say the energy crisis has affected Davis' standing with=20
voters.=20
The governor's vulnerability stems from his "very public stance" against=20
utility rate increases, said Mark DiCamillo, director of the statewide Fiel=
d=20
Poll.=20
"It was one of the reasons he was viewed positively, while everyone else wa=
s=20
negatively perceived," he said. "Now that his position doesn't seem to be=
=20
holding, (the approval ratings) are bound to wear off."=20
Alfred Balitzer, political science professor at the Claremont McKenna=20
Colleges, said the Democrats may have to worry about themselves, as much as=
=20
Davis.=20
"A power crisis involves the average Californian . . . and that will hit ho=
me=20
in a special way," he said. "The governor tried to blame it on (former Gov.=
)=20
Pete Wilson -- but the fact is, it's his watch."=20
If the Democratics who control the Legislature perceive Davis as increasing=
ly=20
unpopular, "they will run for cover . . . (because) he hasn't involved them=
=20
like he should have," Balitzer said. "The strains of one-party rule are=20
beginning to show, and the question is: Can the Republicans take advantage =
of=20
it?"=20
E-mail Carla Marinucci at cmarinucci@sfchronicle.com and John Wildermuth at=
=20
jwildermuth@sfchronicle.com=20
,2001 San Francisco Chronicle ? Page?A - 2=20
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Canada seeks to grab bigger role as U.S. energy supplier=20
TOM COHEN, Associated Press Writer
Friday, March 30, 2001=20
,2001 Associated Press=20
URL:=20
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=3D/news/archive/2001/03/30/i=
ntern
ational0216EST0449.DTL=20
(03-30) 02:16 EST TORONTO (AP) -- As President Bush struggles with the U.S.=
=20
energy crisis, Canada said it is ready to increase the amount of oil and=20
natural gas it provides to the United States.=20
In the past, it has been too costly to tap abundant oil reserves in norther=
n=20
Alberta and natural gas in the Northwest Territories. But accessing those=
=20
supplies is now economically feasible because of new technology and rising=
=20
energy prices south of the border.=20
``Canada has an abundance of energy and we remain the best option as a=20
supplier for the United States,'' said Prime Minister Jean Chretien's=20
spokesman, Duncan Fulton.=20
That offer looks tempting to President Bush, who said Thursday the United=
=20
States would look to Canada if Congress prevents drilling for oil and natur=
al=20
gas in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.=20
Canada opposes U.S. drilling in Alaska, saying it would endanger a=20
significant porcupine caribou herd that migrates through the reserve. But a=
=20
bigger reason could be the desire to export fuel to the ``lower 48.''=20
``It's important for us to explore and encourage exploration, and work with=
=20
the Canadians to get pipelines coming out of the Northwest Territories to t=
he=20
United States,'' Bush told reporters Thursday in Washington when asked abou=
t=20
expected opposition in Congress to drilling in the Alaska reserve.=20
``There's gas in our hemisphere,'' he said later. ``And the fundamental=20
question is, where is it going to come from? I'd like it to be American gas=
.=20
But if the Congress decides not to have exploration in (Alaska), we'll work=
=20
with the Canadians.''=20
Chretien discussed energy issues with Bush during their meeting in Washingt=
on=20
on Feb. 5, Fulton said.=20
A National Energy Board report last year that assessed supplies and demand =
to=20
2025 put known natural gas reserves in Canada's ``northern frontier'' at 24=
=20
trillion cubic feet with estimated reserves at almost 170 trillion cubic=20
feet.=20
The United States now consumes about 21.5 trillion cubic feet of gas per=20
year, with demand expected to grow by about 2 percent annually for the next=
=20
20 years.=20
Bush administration officials announced Wednesday that they would not=20
implement the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, under which countries agreed to legally=
=20
binding targets for curbing heat-trapping ``greenhouse'' gases, which=20
contribute to global warming.=20
On Thursday, Bush called natural gas a clean energy source that could help=
=20
reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The problem, he said, was too little suppl=
y=20
and a lack of pipelines to transport it. He said that was why he favored=20
looking in Alaska, despite opposition from environmentalists to drilling in=
=20
the wilderness refuge.=20
Two major pipeline projects that would transport natural gas from northern=
=20
Alaska and Arctic Canada to Alberta have been discussed for years.=20
The Alaska Highway project would build a pipeline from the North Slope near=
=20
Prudhoe Bay to Alberta, following the Alaska Highway part of the way.=20
The Mackenzie Delta project -- which is shorter and wou