Enron Mail

From:steven.kean@enron.com
To:jeffrey.mcmahon@enron.com
Subject:Enron Mentions
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Sat, 14 Jul 2001 08:43:00 -0700 (PDT)

See last story attached. Congratulations, it looks like you are shaking
things up in typical Enron fashion.
---------------------- Forwarded by Steven J Kean/NA/Enron on 07/14/2001
03:41 PM ---------------------------
From: Ann M Schmidt on 07/13/2001 05:13 PM

To:

cc: (bcc: Steven J Kean/NA/Enron)

Subject: Enron Mentions

Wisconsin Gas to Purchase Nine Mile Line From Northern Natural Gas
PR Newswire, 07/13/01

Commodities Review: LME Copper Hit By Another Stock Rise
Dow Jones Commodities Service, 07/13/01

LME Base Metals: Copper Pressured Down By Stock Build
Dow Jones Commodities Service, 07/13/01

UK: Telecoms, drugs drive FTSE 100 rally, Vodafone leads.
Reuters English News Service, 07/13/01

Futures Contract Covering Coal Debuts in New York (Correct)
Bloomberg, 07/13/01

Enron: Panacea or Pariah?
Modern Metals, July 2001



Wisconsin Gas to Purchase Nine Mile Line From Northern Natural Gas

07/13/2001
PR Newswire
(Copyright © 2001, PR Newswire)

Line Will Enhance Competition in Southeast Wisconsin and Use Existing
Facilities

MILWAUKEE, July 13 /PRNewswire/ -- Wisconsin Gas, Northern Natural Gas and
Guardian Pipeline announced today that Wisconsin Gas has signed an agreement
with Northern Natural Gas (NNG) to purchase a nine mile, high pressure
natural gas pipeline in Walworth and Waukesha counties. The purchase price is
$5 million. The proposed transaction will require approval from federal and
state regulators. The pipe, known as the Eagle line, is located southeast of
the Kettle Moraine Forest near Eagle, Wis.
The existing line has been part of the NNG interstate transmission system.
Under the new ownership, the line will become part of the Wisconsin Gas
distribution system and will interconnect with Guardian Pipeline as well as
the NNG system.
"Northern Natural Gas is pleased to be a part of a creative, cost-effective
solution to provide additional gas service to southeastern Wisconsin," said
Dave Neubauer, vice president of business development and marketing, Northern
Natural Gas. "This transaction enables Wisconsin Gas and its customers to
obtain natural gas supplies from Guardian or NNG. Providing reliable,
economical choices for consumers will benefit all of the parties involved."
"We saw this as an opportunity to minimize environmental impact and still
realize the benefits of increased competition in the natural gas market,"
said James Schott, senior vice president, Wisconsin Gas. "The purchase of the
Eagle line will enable Wisconsin Gas to further our goal of providing
cost-efficient natural gas service to our customers."
As a result of the purchase Guardian Pipeline, the 141-mile interstate
pipeline from Joliet, Ill. to Ixonia, Wis., will no longer build an 8.5-mile
lateral to Eagle. The lateral was part of the originally certified Guardian
Pipeline. This portion of the line would have generally run parallel to the
current Northern Natural pipeline.
"This sale is a win-win situation for Guardian and consumers," said George
Hass, project manager of Guardian Pipeline. "The Eagle line purchase by
Wisconsin Gas saves Guardian time and resources by taking away the need to
build the 8.5-mile lateral and allows all three companies to create a better
environment for competition in the natural gas marketplace."
The existing gate stations at LaGrange and Eagle will remain in-service for
regulation purposes. Odorization and measurement will take place at a new
gate station that will be constructed at the interconnect with Guardian. This
new gate station will be called the Bluff Creek station and will be located
near Whitewater. The Bluff Creek gate station will be constructed during the
construction of Guardian Pipeline.
Northern Natural Gas, a subsidiary of Enron Corp., with a market area
capacity of about 4.3 Bcf/d, provides natural gas transportation services to
utility customers in the upper Midwestern United States through its
approximately 16,000 miles of pipeline.
Guardian Pipeline is a partnership of three Midwestern energy companies: CMS
Energy, based in Dearborn, Mich.; Wisconsin Energy, headquartered in
Milwaukee, Wis.; and Viking Gas Transmission Co., a wholly owned subsidiary
of Xcel Energy Inc., and located in St. Paul, Minn.
Wisconsin Electric-Wisconsin Gas, the principal utility subsidiary of
Wisconsin Energy Corp. (NYSE: WEC), serves more than one million electric
customers and more than 960,000 natural gas customers throughout Wisconsin
and Michigan's Upper Peninsula. Visit our company's Web site at
www.WE-WG.com. Learn about Wisconsin Energy Corp. by visiting
www.WisconsinEnergy.com
MAKE YOUR OPINION COUNT - Click Here
http://tbutton.prnewswire.com/prn/11690X86200271


/CONTACT: Media only: Kelly Farr of CMS Energy, 313-436-9253; or Megan
McCarthy of Wisconsin Energy, 414-221-4444; or Gina Taylor of Northern
Natural Gas, 713-853-7681/ 17:01 EDT

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


Commodities Review: LME Copper Hit By Another Stock Rise
By Mark Long and Steve McGrath
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

07/13/2001
Dow Jones Commodities Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- Copper futures traded in London fell Friday, as a
further influx of stocks into official warehouses put the copper market under
pressure and dragged down the rest of the base metal complex.
Three-month copper traded on the London Metal Exchange ended $6 down from
Thursday's late kerb close at $1,554.50 a metric ton.
An increase of 7,475 tons of copper into LME warehouses Friday brought total
stocks up to a 12-month high of 550,300 tons. This pressured prices in early
trade down to test $1,550/ton support, although prices recovered slightly in
later trade.
Unconfirmed market talk said Enron is behind much of the week's stock rise,
in an effort to ease nearby supply tightness and to alleviate the large short
positions it is thought to have built up on the July-for-a-week spread, which
is currently showing a $6-$8/ton backwardation. The July futures contract
will switch over to cash Monday.
Enron declined to comment on the market talk Friday.
A backwardation is a pricing structure in which deliveries to be made in the
near future are more expensive then those set for a more distant delivery.
The opposite situation is called contango.
"The spreads are still tight. The major longs are still reluctant to lend,
with no signs of that (tightness) dissipated," said Kevin Norrish, an analyst
with Barclays Capital in London.
Dealers and analysts said they expect further stock increases next week.
The entire base metals complex ignored Thursday's 237-point rally in the Dow
Jones Industrial Average, dealers said.
"Copper has been sensitive to moves in the stock market, but not this time,"
Norrish said. In fact, now it appears that base metals markets ignore
equities markets when they rally, but follow stocks down when they slump, he
added.
European Grain Futures See Profit-Taking, But More Gains Expected
European grain and oilseed futures were hit by a bout of profit-taking and
pre-weekend position-squaring Friday, after rising to long-time highs,
brokers said.
However, world and domestic crop concerns, the strength of the dollar and
general bullish sentiment will carry the markets to fresh highs short term,
they said.
On the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange, the
benchmark November feed wheat contract ended just 25 pence up at GBP82/ton,
after hitting a new two-year high of GBP83/ton in early trade.
Meanwhile, Matif November rapeseed futures fell EUR2.75 on the day to
EUR265/ton, after hitting a three-year high of EUR271/ton in early trade.
The U.K. wheat crop and the French rapeseed crop are forecast to be well down
on last year, and wheat and canola crops in some other major producing
countries are also expected to fall.
Meanwhile, the strength of the dollar is allowing European grain and oilseed
traders to up prices and still remain competitive against U.S. imports and
dollar-denominated grains on the world market.
-By Mark Long and Steve McGrath, Dow Jones Newswires; 44-20-7842-9358;
mark.long@dowjones.com

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


LME Base Metals: Copper Pressured Down By Stock Build

07/13/2001
Dow Jones Commodities Service
(Copyright © 2001, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

LONDON -(Dow Jones)- London Metal Exchange three-month copper ended Friday's
late kerb lower compared with Thursday, pressured by another stock build,
dealers said.
(LME three-month metals prices in dollars a metric ton at 1600 GMT, with the
previous late kerb close in parentheses. Comex copper at 1641 GMT in cents a
pound, with the previous close in parentheses.) Copper 1,554.50 (1,560.50)
Tin 4,452.50 (4,502.50)
Aluminum 1,452.25 (1,458.50) Zinc 871.50 (877.50)
Nickel 5,925.00 (6,012.50) Lead 462.50 (465.00)
Comex Sep Copper 70.75 (70.80)
An increase of 7,475 tons of copper Friday brought total stocks up to a
12-month high of 550,300 tons. This pressured prices in early trade down to
test $1,550/ton support before rising slightly to close at $1,554.50/ton,
down from Thursday's close of $1,560.50/ton.
Unconfirmed market talk said Enron is behind much of the week's stock rise,
in an effort to ease nearby supply tightness and to alleviate the large short
positions it is thought to have built up on the July-for-a-week spread, which
is currently showing a $6-$8/ton backwardation. The July futures contract
will switch over to cash Monday.
Enron declined to comment on the market talk.
A backwardation is a pricing structure in which deliveries to be made in the
near future are more expensive then those set for a more distant delivery.
The opposite situation is called contango.
"The spreads are still tight. The major longs are still reluctant to lend,
with no signs of that (tightness) dissipated," said Kevin Norrish, an analyst
with Barclays Capital in London.
Dealers and analysts said they expect further stock increases next week.
The entire base metals complex ignored Thursday's 237-point rally in the Dow
Jones Industrial Average, dealers said.
"Copper has been sensitive to moves in the stock market, but not this time,"
Norrish said. In fact, now it appears that base metals markets ignore
equities markets when they rally, but follow stocks down when they slump, he
added.
Aluminum also ended the late kerb lower Friday.
News of the restart of some smelters has dampened sentiment, despite a stock
drawdown of around 8,000 tons since the end of last week, dealers said.
"The stock drawdowns are fairly small percentage-wise," said Standard Bank
analyst Robin Bhar, adding that they would need to be much larger to
significantly improve market sentiment.
"A test of $1,435/ton cannot be ruled out, though we would expect forward
buying to prevent a break below this level for the time being," Barclays said
in a market report.
Zinc continued its slump, falling to a seven-and-a-half-year low, mainly on
technicals.
Technicals also hurt nickel, which rose slightly after breaking $5,900/ton
support but still closed at its lowest level since April.
Nickel's fall was "just on some speculative liquidation and short selling,
mostly chart-based," Bhar said.
-By Mark Long, Dow Jones Newswires; +44-20-7842-9356; mark.long@dowjones.com

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


UK: Telecoms, drugs drive FTSE 100 rally, Vodafone leads.
By Camila Reed

07/13/2001
Reuters English News Service
(C) Reuters Limited 2001.

LONDON, July 13 (Reuters) - Britain's largest companies raced higher at the
close on Friday fired by telecoms and drug stocks as they bounced back from
Wednesday's 16-week low.
Index heavyweights Vodafone and GlaxoSmithKline provided 27 of the day's
55-point gain, while technology firms wobbled. However, the telecoms giant
surged 4.1 percent to 157-1/4p.
The FTSE 100 finished 55.4 points or one percent firmer at 5,537.0, having
jumped 1.66 percent on Thursday after seven consecutive losing sessions, with
gainers outnumbering losers by three to one.
Stocks steamed higher and refused to be derailed by sluggish U.S. retail
sales figures for June, which showed only a meagre rise, and a weaker Wall
Street, but volumes were thin at 1.4 billion shares.
By London's 1530 GMT finish the blue chip Dow Jones industrial average was
down five points, while the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was flat,
having streaked up in the previous session.
Mike Lenhoff and Simon Rubinsohn at money managers Gerrard said that the UK
equity market was deeply oversold and long-term this presented a buying
opportunity for UK equities.
DRUGS SEE-SAW
Drugs reversed an earlier decline with Nycomed Amersham among the day's top
performers, up nearly four percent at 536-1/2p and AstraZeneca rising over
one percent.
Mining giant Anglo American moved into the FTSE 100 top ten gainers with a
three percent rise, as investors sought refuge in mining stocks as a cyclical
play.
Another major gainer was British business services firm Hays Plc up 3.4
percent. The shares leapt on market talk that Germany's Deutsche Post was
looking to make a bid for it, dealers said.
Both Deutsche Post and Hays declined to comment.
Firmer crude prices gave support to the oil sector. BP rose 0.6 percent to
572 pence and Shell also added 0.6 percent to 581-1/2p lifting the index by
four points.
FTSE MIXED PICTURE
But dealers and analysts said it would be a mixed picture going forward with
the market scrutinising data for signs of a sustained economic recovery or a
lapse in consumer confidence.
"This week we had a really bloody day on Wednesday and then the opposite on
Thursday, so we're going to be on a rollercoaster still. It's very fragile
but it does show the potential of the market," said Foreign & Colonial
director of UK equities David Manning.
"It's not only the holiday period, it's also that the market can make you
look an idiot one day to the next. In that sort of circumstance the
temptation is to do very little," he said.
ABN Amro strategist Gareth Williams said the market would make modest
progress over the next month or so, with moves downward quite likely although
the trend would be upwards over the course of the year.
TECHS DIP
Thursday's 5.3-percent rally in the Nasdaq failed to bring any cheer to UK
technology shares. Logica and Colt Telecom slid four percent, while microchip
designer ARM fell 3.9 percent to 223 pence trimming Thursday's 13 percent
jump.
The techMARK index of technology shares rose 0.98 percent to 1,602.87.
Elsewhere on the downside, UK holiday operator Airtours lost nearly 10
percent of its value after Swiss peer Kuoni issued a profit warning.
Among second liners, Baltimore Technologies closed up 3.3 percent. It
initially rallied 22 percent after the Irish Internet security firm said it
received an approach from an unlisted British-based company for an all-paper
deal to combine the companies.
The FTSE 250 Mid-cap index finished 5.1 points stronger at 6,163.8.
Among small-caps, Paladin Resources' shares jumped 10 percent after the UK
oil explorer said that major shareholder U.S. oil giant Enron had sold the
whole of its 40-million-share stake via HSBC bank for 44 pence a share.
Britain's Litho Supplies Plc slumped 42.5 percent after the company, which
supplies printing and graphic arts products, said that sales in the first six
months of 2001 were on target, but profits would likely be below expectations
due to tough market conditions and pressure on margins.

Copyright , 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.



Futures Contract Covering Coal Debuts in New York (Correct)
2001-07-13 08:48 (New York)

Futures Contract Covering Coal Debuts in New York (Correct)

(Corrects location of FirstEnergy Corp. in 10th paragraph of
story that moved yesterday.)

New York, July 12 (Bloomberg) -- The New York Mercantile
Exchange today began trading a futures contract for low-sulfur
coal, a fuel that President George W. Bush said will play a major
role in meeting electricity demand over the next two decades.
The contract's debut came after prices for coal, considered
the dirtiest of power-plant fuels, doubled in the past year, as
demand from power plants outstripped mine production. Coal for
September delivery opened at $42 a ton and settled at $40.75, as
98 contracts were traded, exchange officials said.
``We had a big run-up in coal prices this past winter,'' said
Andy Ozley, who buys coal for Atlanta-based Mirant Corp.'s six
coal plants in New York, Illinois, Maryland and Virginia. ``This
contract affords us a way to mitigate our exposure'' to large
price swings.
The Bush administration said in an energy policy report this
spring that coal would be the dominant fuel for electricity
generation through 2020. Bush gave an added boost to the fuel when
he retreated from a campaign pledge to restrict carbon dioxide
emissions, implicated in global warming.
Coal plants are responsible for a third of the nation's
carbon dioxide emissions. They also produce sulfur dioxide, which
causes acid rain, and nitrogen oxides, which cause smog.
The Nymex started the futures contract to give mining
companies and utilities a way to hedge their risks in the $33
billion coal market. Producers such as Peabody Energy Corp. and
Arch Coal Inc., whose shares have soared in the past year, have
said they would trade the futures.

New Plants

Last year's quadrupling of prices for natural gas -- a
cleaner-burning power-plant fuel -- prompted many generators to
ramp up output from their coal plants. Utility coal stockpiles
dwindled, and prices have risen to their highest levels since at
least 1989.
So far this year, more than a dozen companies have announced
plans to build coal-fired plants, including Kansas City, Missouri-
based Kansas City Power & Light Co. and Portland, Oregon-based
PacifiCorp.
Although coal is used to produce 52 percent of the nation's
electricity, few plants were built during the 1990s because of the
high costs of building them and the difficulty of complying with
federal and local environmental regulations.
Demand for coal has eased in recent weeks as below-normal
temperatures in the U.S. Midwest and Northeast reduced demand for
air conditioning, said Jim Parks, who buys coal for six power
plants in Ohio and Pennsylvania as director of fuels at Akron,
Ohio-based FirstEnergy Corp.
``The summer's been pretty mild so far -- you haven't seen
any big heat waves'' in regions with the most coal generation, he
said.

Big Sandy

The Nymex futures contract calls for the delivery of 1,550
tons of low-sulfur coal to the mouth of the Big Sandy River near
Huntington, West Virginia. From there, the fuel would be loaded
onto Ohio River barges and shipped to power plants in the U.S. and
possibly Europe.
The new contract is tailored to producers in Appalachian
states that account for about 40 percent of U.S. production,
including West Virginia, Kentucky and Pennsylvania, the No. 2, 3
and 4 coal producers.
The industry lacks a futures contract for coal from Western
states that account for 47 percent of the nation's production,
including the No. 1 producer, Wyoming.

Avoiding the Past

The exchange, which earns commissions on trades, hopes coal
futures will avoid the fate of other contracts it has started over
the past few years. Its six electricity futures contracts have
fizzled, as has its Middle East sour crude oil contract, which
debuted in May 2000.
``I said yesterday, if you traded 100 to 200 contracts, that
would be a really a good day,'' said Chris Casale, vice president
of energy trading at Dynegy Inc. in Houston, which trades coal and
buys the fuel for its six power plants in New York and Illinois.
``It came out sort of on target.''
Most of today's trading was originated by large energy
marketing companies, he said, although he declined to say whether
Dynegy traded any contracts. Enron Corp., the largest energy
trader, and Duke Energy Corp., the largest U.S.-based utility
holding company, have said they would trade coal futures.
Exchange officials have said the coal market has the
potential to reach 5,000 trades a day after a year of trading.
The Nymex's 17-year-old crude oil futures contract averages
about 66,700 trades a day, and its 11-year-old natural gas
contract averages about 33,500.

Wary of Coal

``The coal market is still lacking liquidity,'' said Anthony
McAuley, a floor broker at ABN Amro Inc., who said he bought five
coal contracts for a client at $42 a ton -- the market's first
transaction. ``You probably need to see a little more
participation'' from industry coal buyers and sellers for the
market to take off.
Independent floor traders, known as locals, are wary of
trading coal futures without assurances that the industry will be
active as well.
``Floor traders lost millions'' in electricity futures when
some were caught with high-priced contracts and nobody in the
industry to sell them to, he said.
``Because of that, people are a little bit tentative about
coal,'' said Tom Schiff, an independent crude oil trader. ``We're
here to help make liquidity but we can't tackle all the risk.''









Modern Metals, July 2001



Giant energy concern now turns its attention to steel. The company's
aggressive posture has begged controversy. Industry reactions vary from
hand-wringing to open arms. Still others characterize Enron as a "non-event."
By Michelle
Martinez Arjona,
Editor-in-Chief,
and Paul Hohl,
Contributing Editor

These days, saying the word "Enron" in a room full of metals executives is
like screaming "fire" in a crowded theater. For most in the steel industry,
the idea of a futures market is enough to raise a few eyebrows. But when a
major market maker with annual revenues of 10 times the market cap of the
U.S. steelmaking industry stakes a claim (for 2000 alone, Enron logged
revenues of $101 billion--that's with a "b"), a lot more than eyebrows are
likely to be raised. After a bold presentation from Jeff McMahon, president
and CEO of Enron Industrial Markets, at the SSCI annual convention in May (in
which he accused steel mills of treating their service center customers as
"annoyances"), industry leaders rushed to understand this latest market
contender.
Friend or foe? Competitor or partner? These are just a couple of the
questions surrounding Enron's aggressive push into the metals industry.
Judging from the service center and mill executives Modern Metals queried,
there are as many answers as there are opinions in the industry. Reactions
ranged from fear to acceptance to downright resentment. At least one mill was
reticent to discuss Enron at all--still others seemed to meet the issue with
unaffected shrugs. If the saying is true that all publicity is good
publicity, the buzz that Enron has generated would make even a Hollywood spin
doctor envious.
What's the hubbub?
Although products such as natural gas and energy--Enron's major business
platform--have been traded as commodities for years, until Enron's appearance
a formal forward market for steel has never existed. According to McMahon,
the absence of a liquid and transparent market has resulted in "uninformed
investment decisions" that have exacerbated the current oversupply situation,
and left companies exposed to the hazards of price volatility.
Enron's answer is to offer a variety of financial hedging products along with
forward contracts in hot-rolled, cold-rolled and galvanized (plate and long
products are soon to follow), locking in prices for as many as five years
out. Enron contends that it can act as a "risk intermediary" in steel
transactions, ensuring healthier profit margins and lowering the cost of
capital. Certain grades of steel are commodities, McMahon insists, and as
such should be bought and sold on a commodity market basis, instead of the
strategic relationships that now exist between the mills and consumers. Enron
has been offering steel online, and via phone and fax, since November of last
year.
"Before you add capacity, before you make an investment decision, you'll be
able to see a three, five, maybe even a 10-year forward price of steel,"
McMahon stated, "and if you want to hedge that investment you can do that."
The company plans to buy steel at a floating price and then sell it to steel
consumers at a fixed rate, making money on the spread. In February, Greg
Hermans, VP of steel trading at Enron, reported to AMM that it was offering
U.S.-made 10-gauge, 48-in. wide hot-rolled for April delivery in Chicago for
$225 a ton. Hermans said Enron was buying the same product for April delivery
at $215 a ton.
Eventually, Enron sees the development of four different marketplaces: the
Northeast, the Midwest (or Chicago area), the Gulf Coast (or Houston area),
and the West Coast. Enron will hedge against spot price spikes through equity
and physical holdings in domestic mills. The company closed on Huntco's
Arkansas-based cold-rolling mill in June.
"It's a big portfolio," McMahon said. "We wanted to put together a portfolio
of supply and demand. In some cases, we'll own assets--hopefully we'll own
some term contracts with domestic mills. To the extent that imports are a
part of the equation, we'll be a part of that market. We may purchase
capacity from somebody, not necessarily the assets, but toll slab through a
hot strip mill. All of those combined is how we do our business."
Steel mills can benefit, McMahon said, by entering into a multi-year
"physical off take" with Enron, thus giving steel mills a degree of certain
volume and on product specification. Enron would guarantee purchase of a
specified amount of tonnage, and use a floating price or a floor price to
guard against market shocks. Whether mills would be willing to divert
capacity to the commodity grades being bought and sold by Enron remains
uncertain. At least one mill executive privately said no . . . at least for
now.
Nucor president, CEO and vice chairman, Dan DiMicco also sees little value in
Enron's proposal. "What we need to have is stable pricing at levels where the
most efficient mills can make a good return on their capital and further
invest in new technologies and equipment," he stated. "I define true value as
helping the industry to become stronger. It doesn't do any good to maintain a
lack of price volatility at $200 a ton."
Keith Busse, CEO at Steel Dynamics, echoed that sentiment in a recent New
Steel article. "If you're trying to get volatility out at $320 [per ton],
great," he said. "But at $230, you want to stick your fingers down your
throat."
For the service centers
Service centers, McMahon suggested, could benefit immediately. "The only way
[distributors] are able to hedge themselves is to go out and buy inventory,"
he explained. "That takes capital, and cash, and space. We can offer a
financial product that gives the exact same protection, but doesn't require
any of the above.
"We can hold those inventories and price the steel at the time of delivery to
the service centers," he continued, "so their 4- or 5- percent net margins
are somewhat certain."
"I do think that Enron is providing a service for the industry . . . "
commented Dave Lerman, CEO of Steel Warehouse, South Bend, Indiana. But he
pointed out that "how [it] moves forward will be interesting. If they just
move forward with hedge instruments . . . that's independent of whether you
run your business well by having a good supplier that matches up with the
demands of your customers. I think [Enron] will be a good thing for some
people and a non-event for others."
Beyond hedging, McMahon pointed out, firm and enforceable contracts could
become a key benefit to service centers. As one Midwestern distributor source
commented, "One of the terrible things that happens in our business is that
end users demand long-term pricing, beyond what anybody can foresee. When
they anticipate the market is going up, or that it has hit a low point, they
push harder for it--as any one would. But historically, they don't honor the
deals."
In a down market, he explained, customers demand lower prices. Noncompliance
can result in orders, but no releases, and a "don't call us, we'll call you"
attitude from customers. The consequence for service centers, he said, are
price reductions on the way down and on the way up. "If Enron brings
integrity to both sides of this market," he concluded, "that would be a very
big plus for the steel industry."
But integrity, another Midwest service center exec countered, has got nothing
to do with it. In his estimation, Enron is like a profiteering carpetbagger,
"trying to make a buck in between the producer and the user. That's all we
need right now," he declared, "somebody trying to squeeze out a few more
dollars." But, he recognized, "we're all going to have to deal with it."
Don McNeeley, president and CEO of Chicago Tube & Iron, indicated that some
good could come of a heavy-hitter like Enron introducing new ideas into the
industry, but acknowledged that people might be offended by somebody picking
the so-called "low-hanging fruit" of the steel market in the current economy.
"What do you think the mills are going to do when you come to them for just
the peripheral items?" he queried. "My concern would be that the price would
go up on [those items]."
McNeeley also questioned the wisdom of distributors relinquishing control of
their inventories. "In distribution, 60 percent of our net worth is
inventory, 30 percent is accounts receivable, and 10 percent is plant
property and equipment," he related. "Our single largest asset is our
inventory. If a distribution company surrenders control of its inventory to a
third party, does not that distributor, in effect, surrender its own
sovereignty?"
Only just begun
Questions abound regarding Enron's role as a physical supplier of steel as
well. As one Minnesota-based service center exec put it, "are they ready to
deal with problems?"
Although Enron has expressed interest in being a physical supplier, Dave
Lerman explained, "I think that's going to be a lot more difficult to
implement." Enron would have to consider specific qualities, coil sizes,
nuances of chemistry, surface quality, and formability. "Most customers
require better than standard tolerances," he pointed out. "These are all
issues that might complicate commodity sales."
Delivery is another issue. As a physical supplier, Enron has virtually
guaranteed just-in-time delivery, but as one service center source said, "the
guarantee is good when the material shows up at my door. What happens if it
doesn't show up? I disappoint a customer. What good does it do to sue [Enron]
if I've lost a customer?"
Mill executives have questioned whether Enron is a potential competitor.
"They see Enron as someone likely to buy foreign steel in order to deliver it
to a U.S. customer," said Chuck Bradford, principal of Bradford Research and
a long-time industry observer. He cautioned against seeing Enron as too much
of a physical supplier, speculating that the future of Enron, similar to the
LME, will be in hedging. "You may see some [physical transactions] to start
with," Bradford predicted, "just to get the ball rolling. But I don't see
that as the way the market will develop."
McMahon has been consistent in saying that Enron has little interest in
becoming a steel manufacturer. The real value, he said, is in a transparent,
liquid market. "We know the products work, we know the market wants them. Can
any one particular mill or mills prevent that? We don't think so," he said.
"It's not an 'if', it's a 'when'."
The jury is still out on just how soon that "when" will come, and what those
effects will be for the steel industry. And for all of the debate surrounding
the issue, it seems a bit soon to be hitting the panic button. As Don
McNeeley recounted, "I can recall similar controversy over a speech a guy
gave about 15-17 years ago. That guy's name was Ken Iverson, and he had this
concept called a mini-mill. Look at it now."