Enron Mail

From:lipsen@cisco.com
To:jeff.dasovich@enron.com
Subject:Re: California Power Crisis
Cc:skean@enron.com, karen.denne@enron.com
Bcc:skean@enron.com, karen.denne@enron.com
Date:Wed, 14 Feb 2001 09:58:00 -0800 (PST)

Jeff,

Thanks for this analysis. I think we would all agree that the solution to
put power
100% in the hand of the state is an extremely frightening proposition.
Unfortunately, it
falls in-line with what Gov. Davis likes to do, which is to control all of
the process himself.
I know John will not be able to digest all of this, but will brief him over
the phone on the
excellent arguments you make here against support for AB1X.

I will give you all feedback from the meetings tomorrow. Thanks for all
your help.

Laura

At 10:02 AM 2/14/2001 -0600, Jeff.Dasovich@enron.com wrote:

<Hi Laura: I've attached three things, but first wanted to give you a bit
<of an update on events transpiring in Sacramento and at the Public
<Utilities Commission.
<
<Move to Prohibit Customer Choice
<As you may know, AB1X, the bill that the Legislature recently passed and
<the Governor signed, gives the California Department of Water Resources the
<authority to buy power on behalf of the utilities. Included in that bill,
<however, is a provision that prohibits "Direct Access," California's term
<for customer choice.
<
<In sum, the bill, in its current form, prohibits businesses and consumers
<from chosing an alternative energy service provider, like Enron. Our
<understanding is that the Department of Finance called for the prohibition.
<Their reasoning is that they need a "captive" customer base to pay for the
<bonds that the State will issue in order to finance DWR's power purchases.
<
<Customer choice was of course the foundation of California's restructuring
<law, AB 1890, and is arguably the only bright spot in an otherwise fatally
<flawed plan. For example, the only businesses and consumers that were
<protected in San Diego when rates were deregulated last year were those
<businesses and consumers that had signed fixed price power deals with
<competitive service providers. Ironically, the recently passed legislation
<takes choices away from consumers and diminishes their ability to manage
<their energy costs. Before AB 1890, consumers and businesses had one
<choice--the monopoly utility. With the passage of AB 1X, they again will
<have one choice. But this time their only choice will be to buy from a
<government agency DWR.
<
<A broad coalition of consumer groups has expressed its opposition to the
<prohibition and Senator Debra Bowen (a key player on the Senate side), and
<Fred Keeley (a key player on the Assembly side), have promised to "fix" the
<prohibition in another bill "SB27X." I'll forward in another email the
<language that the coalition has drafted and hopes Bowen and Keeley will
<carry.
<
<Unfortunately, we are now hearing rumors that the Governor intends to
<direct the California Public Utilities to immediately implement the
<provisions of AB1X prohibiting Direct Access, despite the fact that a large
<coalition of consumers and service providers are actively working with Bown
<and Keeley to amend the prohibition language.
<
<It would be extremely useful if the folks participating in the meeting on
<Thursday with the Governor let him know that taking choices away from
<businesses and customers is the wrong way to go and that he and the
<legislative leaders need to work with the coalition to fix it. You'll note
<in the language developed by the coalition that the proposal strikes a
<reasonable balance between the Dept of Finance's concerns about recouping
<DWR's costs of buying power, and the need to give consumers and businesses
<maximum flexible in managing their energy costs.
<
<Move to Have the State Take Over the Electric Industry in California
<
<John Burton, the Democratic leader of the Senate, insists that, "if
<California is going to 'bail out' the utilities, the State needs to get
<something in return." Burton wants the state to buy and operate PG&E's and
<Edison's transmission system and create a state power authority that would
<get in the business of (among other things) developing, financing,
<constructing and operating power plants and natural gas pipelines. Burton
<got both of these bills designed to take over the industry passd out of his
<committee yesterday (SB6X and SB33X). It is unclear how much support he
<has in the full Senate or in the Assembly, but the possibility of passage
<is certainly greater than zero at this juncture.
<
<Others experts are offering a better alternative. When the federal
<government helped Chrysler out of its financial difficulties 20 years ago,
<the federal government received stock warrants in return. Until recently,
<the Governor favored warrants, but more recently he has waivered in his
<statements regarding a state take over. Burton appears to have negotiating
<leverage with the Governor and appears to be using it.
<
<Again, it would be extremely useful for folks to let the Govenor know in
<the meetings on Thursday that a State take over of the industry is an
<extreme move and bad public policy. I will forward to you in a separate
<email letters that we sent to Burton expressing our opposition to his bills
<and the reasons for our opposition. In brief, there is no shortage of
<private capital ready and willing to invest in California's energy
<infrastructure (i.e., power plants, electric transmission lines, gas
<pipelines). All California needs to do is create the investment climate
<necessary to attract the capital. In addition, history shows that the
<State is extremely ill-equipped to become California's mega-utility.
<
<Here are the attachments:
<
< A demand buy-down proposal. We made this proposal to the Governor (and
< continue to propose it to policymakers in Sacramento, Washington D.C.
< and just about everywhere else). In short, the notion is that, if the
< market is willing to pay power producers, say, 7 cents/kwh to "produce"
< power, then the market ought to be willing to pay businesses and
< consumers 7 cents/kwh to "reduce" power consumption.
<
< This approach is critical for two reasons: first, it provides
< businesses and consumers the financial incentives necessary (and that
< California currently lacks) to conserve energy and use energy more
< efficiently. Second, because California delayed identifying and
< implementing a solution to California's energy crisis, its options for
< addressing the severe shortages that are likely occur this summer are
< very limited. Reducing demand represents one of the few options that
< can help to immediately reduce the gap between supply and demand.
< Putting financial incentives in place now to reduce demand and "free up"
< electrons is an investment with significant payback.
<
< A "manifesto" recently released by a group of Berkeley and Stanford
< economists and industry experts urging the Govenor to pursue a
< "market-oriented" solution to California's energy crisis.
<
< An editorial in yesterday's Wall Street Journal by Dan McFadden, a nobel
< prize-winning economist from Berkeley echoing the proposal advanced in
< the "manifesto." McFadden was one of the manifesto's signatories.
<
<Finally, we are working on "model Legislation" proposing a market-based
<solution that we will share with you soon and that we hope the business
<community--and the Valley in particular--can embrace and advocate.
<
<I realize that this is a lot of information and I apologize for the length
<of this note, but I wanted to try to make sure that you're up-to-date.
<Please don't hesitate to give me a call if you'd like to discuss further.
<
<Best,
<Jeff
<
<
<(See attached file: Manifesto-final version.doc)(See attached file:
<McFadden Editorial in WSJ.doc)(See attached file: Demand buy-down
<proposal.doc)
<
<