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Date:Fri, 27 Oct 2000 01:32:00 -0700 (PDT)

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TAKING A HARD LINE
PG&E Insists ratepayers pick up $3 billion tab for deregulated electricity
David Lazarus, Chronicle Staff Writer
Friday,?October 27, 2000
,2000 San Francisco Chronicle
URL:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2000/10/27/B
U47723.DTL&type=business

San Francisco's Pacific Gas and Electric Co. plans to come out with guns
blazing today when it makes its case to state regulators for why ratepayers
should be saddled with about $3 billion in unforeseen power costs.
But while the utility insists it is guided first and foremost by a sense of
what is right and fair, the reality is that PG&E is maneuvering with its back
to the wall.
Wall Street, that is.
``No one wants to hold stock in a company that is subsidizing its
customers,'' said Paul Patterson, an analyst at Credit Suisse First Boston in
New York. ``If PG&E has to swallow this $3 billion, investors will run in
droves.''
``The whole idea of Wall Street is to enhance shareholder value,'' agreed
Carol Coale, an analyst at Prudential Securities in Houston. ``PG&E's
management has to be seen to be doing that.''
In documents filed with the California Public Utilities Commission late
Wednesday, the utility said it will not be left ``holding the bag'' for
outstanding electricity costs accrued when wholesale power prices spiked
sharply higher during the summer.
Because of a current rate freeze, the utility has been unable to pass along
those additional costs in monthly power bills. Customers of San Diego Gas &
Electric saw their bills triple this summer after SDG&E became the first
California utility to qualify for an early end to the rate freeze.
A senior PG&E official, requesting anonymity, told The Chronicle yesterday
that there is virtually no room for compromise on whether the company will
swallow even a portion of that $3 billion in unexpected costs.
He said PG&E intends to recoup its expenses either from customers or -- and
this is a longshot -- in the form of refunds from power companies.
``There is a strong feeling here that we have every right to collect every
dime, either from generators or customers,'' the official said. ``We have a
pretty strong leg to stand on, under federal law, to get all of the money
we've had to pay out.''
Analysts were mixed on whether federal law does indeed favor PG&E and fellow
utility Southern California Edison on this question. Some agreed with the
companies that electricity distributors cannot be held accountable for
surging wholesale power prices and that ratepayers must pay for the power
they use.
But others pointed out that electricity customers were told when California's
energy market was deregulated in 1996 that they would be protected by a rate
freeze until early 2002 and that this rate freeze precludes utilities from
passing along any extra charges until that time.
Legal matters aside, no one doubts that the stakes are high for investors
and that this is very much on the minds of PG&E executives as they go into
today's PUC hearing.
``If you're an owner of the stock, you want management to take a position
that minimizes loss,'' said Paul Fremont, an analyst at Jefferies & Co. in
New York.
PG&E's share price dipped 44 cents yesterday to $27.13, still well above its
52-week low of $19.69.
``PG&E has to stick to its guns to maintain financial stability,'' said
Patterson at Credit Suisse First Boston.
Prudential's Coale stressed that shareholders would not take kindly to any
solution that involves a big hit on PG&E's bottom line.
``What shareholders do not want to see is a huge write-down,'' she said.
``You would hope for the solvency of the company that PG&E's management would
care most about shareholders, not ratepayers, at this point.''
That seems to be the case. The senior PG&E official said the only thing the
utility is prepared to negotiate is the length of time ratepayers should be
given to pay off the $3 billion.
He said four years of surcharges atop customers' regular monthly bills is one
possibility but quickly added that PG&E could be flexible on how long the
surcharges are imposed.
``That's where we see room for compromise,'' the official said.
Until recently, the PUC had been unwilling to even discuss whether utility
customers, and not the utilities, should be paying the unforeseen power
costs.
That changed when the commissioners recently agreed to accept a request from
PG&E and Southern California Edison that they revisit the matter. Today's
public hearing is the first step in that process.
For its part, Edison wants to pass along to customers about $2.3 billion in
costs over a five-year span. PUC President Loretta Lynch said commissioners
are trying to keep an open mind about how best to resolve the dispute, which
threatens to explode from a regulatory issue into a political hot potato.
``A lot of folks are pitching a lot of ideas,'' she said. ``No decisions have
been made.''
In fact, a major wild card is what the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
will do, if anything, to stabilize California's electricity market. The
commission is scheduled to issue a draft report Wednesday outlining its
intentions.
Federal commissioners refused yesterday to discuss the contents of their
draft report, saying only that they have been working hard to determine
whether California's power prices are ``just and reasonable,'' and, if not,
what to do about it.
``The California situation has been incredibly difficult and thought
provoking and time consuming,'' said Commissioner Linda Key Breathitt.
While federal regulators have authority to demand that power generators
refund consumers if found to have illegally manipulated prices, few observers
expect such a harsh step to be taken.
Rather, the commissioners are widely expected to impose new restrictions on
wholesale electricity prices for a limited period of time. California
wholesale prices are now capped at $250 per megawatt.
Ironically, surging wholesale prices could also benefit PG&E customers. The
utility reaps profit from selling power it generates into the wholesale
market and has proposed that revenue from its network of dams and the Diablo
Canyon nuclear power plant be shared in the future with ratepayers.
If such a scheme were to get the green light from the PUC, the senior PG&E
official said this could shave about one-fourth off the $3 billion and
``lessen the pain a little bit'' for ratepayers.
Ultimately, however, the utility will have to convince not just the PUC but
also its customers that passing along billions of dollars in extra charges is
the most appropriate solution.
``It's going to be a difficult sell, public relationswise,'' said Herbert
Hart, an analyst at Redwood Securities Group in San Francisco. ``PG&E just
got done reporting an excellent quarter.''
The utility's parent company, PG&E Corp., reported this week that its
quarterly operating income jumped 34 percent to $248 million (68 cents per
share) from $185 million (50 cents) a year ago.
Whatever else, Hart said, ``it's important to maintain good relations with
your customers.''
E-mail David Lazarus at dlazarus@sfchronicle.com.
,2000 San Francisco Chronicle ?