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From:editorial@mail.realtimetraders.com
To:editorial@realtimetraders.com
Subject:Semiconductors remains under pressure
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Wed, 30 May 2001 08:07:14 -0700 (PDT)

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May 30th, 2001
RealTimeTraders.com offers free real-time stock alerts throughout the
day. Why pay for chat rooms and stock pickers for old news?
Morning Watch List
This section contains 6 stocks that are expected move in 1 to 5 days.
Click here for this morning's Watch List Stocks: http://www.realtimetraders.com/marketinfo/watchlist.asp Beyond The Numbers
Nasdaq drops below support
Tuesday technology stocks continued to trend lower as investors received
more evidence a recovery in the tech sector may not occur as quickly as
some analysts had been predicting. On the session the Nasdaq Composite
lost 75 points and closed below the 2200 level at 2175. Dow Industrial was
able to post a modest gain and remain above the 11,000 support level. After
the close Sun Microsystems Inc. lowered their estimates and said demand
continues to be weak. This morning two of the leading brokerages are making
a lot of negative comments about the semiconductor stocks and some cautious
comments on Juniper Networks and downgraded the stock. Given all the
negative news in the market this morning, we expect the Nasdaq to continue
to come under pressure and the Dow to break below the 11,000 level. As of
this writing the Dow futures are lower by 46 points, and the Nasdaq futures
are lower by 30 points.
Stocks to Watch
After the close Alcatel (ALA) and Lucent Technologies (LU) announced their
discussions concerning a possible merger of equals have been terminated.
As a result both stocks rebounded slightly in after-hours trading, but this
morning Alcatel is lowering its guidance.
As mentioned above, after the close Sun Microsystems (SUNW) warned it will
not meet its previous estimates for the fourth quarter and lowered its revenue
estimates to be between $3.8 billion and $4 billion. This figure is significantly
lower than the $5 billion in the sameperiod last year and $4.1 billion in the third
quarter of this year. The company went on to say US demand is worse than
expected, and more importantly the company is starting to see weakness in
both Europe and Asia.
Sector Analysis
Semiconductors remains under pressure
Readers may recall that since last Tuesday we have been warning the
semiconductor sector will come under pressure as a result of the negative
book to bill number. The sector has lost 71 points or 10.1% since the
book to bill number came in at a 10 year low. Now after 5 days of trading
and a 10% decline all the major brokers have woken up and are cutting
estimates on some of the leading semiconductor stocks. We find it amazing
these so called analysts always make their call after the stocks have moved
so much. Tuesday morning Morgan Stanley is cutting their estimates on
Texas Instruments (TXN) and National Semiconductor (NSM). Dan Niles of
Lehman Brothers is lowering his estimates on Cypress Semiconductor (CY)
and Micron Technology (MU). Mr. Niles has lowered his 2001 estimates on
Micron by 50% to 0.25 from 0.50 cents.
Economic Reports & Bond Markets
Tuesday the long bond traded in a range and finished the session virtually
unchanged. There are no major economic reports due out on Wednesday.
Market Breadth
Tuesday's NYSE advance/decline reading was 1409/1678 Vs.
Friday's reading of1388/1632
Tuesday's Nasdaq advance/decline reading was 1362/2476 Vs.
Friday's reading of 1849/1954
New Highs and New Lows
Tuesday's NYSE new high/lows was 142/28 Vs. Friday's
reading of 114/14
Tuesday's Nasdaq new high/lows was 124/30 Vs. Friday's
reading of 153/28
Important Market Moving News
Visit our Before The Bell page -Http://www.realtimetraders.com/sp/beforethebell.asp for the most important news that may effect your portfolio. This
page also provide information on stocks that are going to gap open
higher/lower and the reasons if any. We also alert traders to the
actively traded stocks before the bell.
Upgrades / Downgrades / Coverage Initiations
Click on the following link for today's upgrades.http://www.realtimetraders.com/marketinfo/g_minfo.asp?page=upgrades Click on the following link for today's downgrades.http://www.realtimetraders.com/marketinfo/g_minfo.asp?page=dngrades Click on the following link for today's new coverage initiationshttp://www.realtimetraders.com/marketinfo/g_minfo.asp?page=coverage Please remember that we will only be able to continue to offer our
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Some of Today's Key Earnings Releases
Click here for a complete list of today's earnings. http://www.realtimetraders.com/earnings/earnings.asp
Company Name Expected earnings Symbol

Alloy Online -0.22 ALOY
La-Z-Boy 0.28 LZB
Michaels Stores 0.28 MIKE
Tech Data 0.50 TECD
Toll Brothers Inc. 0.98 TOL



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