Enron Mail

From:bounce-smallcapdigest-871164q@lyris.smallcapnetwork.net
To:h..lewis@enron.com
Subject:When Hell Freezes Over
Cc:
Bcc:
Date:Sun, 27 Jan 2002 05:04:51 -0800 (PST)


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[IMAGE] =09
[IMAGE] Dow Jones [IMAGE] 9840.08 + 44.01 8:08 am EST, Sun., January 27, =
2002 [IMAGE] NASDAQ [IMAGE] 1937.70 - 4.88 For info, visit www.smallcapn=
etwork.net . [IMAGE] S & P 500 [IMAGE] 1133.28 + 1.13 To be removed, ple=
ase click here . [IMAGE] Russell 2000 [IMAGE] 479.35 - 0.38 VOLUME 02:=
ISSUE 8 =09
[IMAGE]=09
When Hell Freezes Over That was the overwhelming reply from experts when=
asked when Amazon.com (AMZN ) will show a profit. This past Wednesday the=
company reported $1.12 billion in sales during the last three months of 20=
01, a 15 percent increase over the $972 million recorded in the same period=
a year earlier. International sales grew an impressive 81 percent. [IMAG=
E]The biggest surprise was that earnings came in at $5 million, or a penny =
per share. Who said pennies were obsolete? That one penny of profit per sh=
are helped push the company up over 42% for the week. Could this be the be=
ginning of the internet renaissance? Has the time come for internet compan=
ies to show the world that they are real companies with business models tha=
t can make money? Well, we won't go that far. The past two years has been=
dismal for internet land. Thousands of internet companies sunk faster than=
the Titanic. Famous flameouts such as Pets.com, Webvan and eToys became t=
he butts of every dotcom joke. When Jay Leno makes fun of internet compani=
es than you know things are really bad. However, at some point the laws of=
Darwin were bound to take over the internet sector. A look at today's st=
ock market shows just a few dotcoms. Some will inevitably burn through the=
remaining cash that was raised during the happy go lucky IPO period. Othe=
rs will be acquired or just perish. What people maybe missing is that ther=
e will be survivors that make it. Some will actually thrive and develop in=
to very strong companies. Ultimately, the internet has made life more conv=
enient for the masses. The challenge is to make this convenience into somet=
hing people will pay for. So who will be the survivors? There are approx=
imately total 65 companies with a .com still in their names that are tradin=
g in the major indexes (NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ). One of the most promising dot=
coms is once high flier Stamps.com (STMP ). [IMAGE] If you don't know alre=
ady, the company allows people to print postage from their printer. All yo=
u need is a PC, an internet connection and a free downloadable software pro=
gram. Stamps.com makes money by charging a monthly recurring "convenience =
fee". The service launched in October of 1999 and currently they about 300,=
000 clients. The company is currently trading near its 52-week high at $4=
.25 but far from the $90 per share it once traded at. Stamps.com's market =
capitalization is at a very rich $215 million dollars but with over $194 mi=
llion in cash and cash equivalents the valuation is justified. CEO Ken M=
cBride who was the former CFO, took over the top spot in August 2001. He h=
as been with the company since its pre IPO days. Once Ken became the new C=
EO, the first thing he did was to cut costs across the broad. Capital pres=
ervation was the only way for the company to survive long term. The monthl=
y burn rate was reduced from a loss of $11 million per month to a break eve=
n business by the end of 2001. Going forward, Stamps.com has a product co=
de named Net-Stamps that is in beta trial with the U.S. Postal Service. If=
this product is approved then users can print generic sheets of stamps rig=
ht off of their printers. Net-Stamps should help the company boost the numb=
er of customers because the current Internet postage software is designed m=
ore for heavy users. For some customers it is inconvenient to get online a=
nd purchase postage every time postage is needed if the volume is minimal. =
The recent Anthrax scare has increased interest in the company by governm=
ent agencies. The Internet postage has a unique digital signature on each p=
iece of mail that is traceable to the sender. A push by the USPS for Inter=
net postage would be an enormous catalyst for the company. One of the big=
gest potential clients for Stamps.com could be the direct mail industry. T=
he general public is much more reluctant to open any mail that is unsolicit=
ed. However, if the Internet postage became a seal of quality or assurance=
it could help the industry tremendously. There are other players in the =
industry but over 80% of the market is dominated by Stamps.com. The compan=
y has a boat load of cash and expects to achieve profitability the first qu=
arter of 2002. The company has done an excellent in executing initiatives=
that will guarantee its survival. Although Wall Street no longer follows =
the company, people are beginning to take notice of Stamps.com. If the com=
pany is able to achieve profitability this quarter then we can officially i=
nduct it into the dotcom Hall Of Fame. =09
D I S C L A I M E R :[IMAGE] The SmallCap Digest is an independent electro=
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tor information available at the web sites of the Securities and Exchange =
Commission ("SEC") at http://www.sec.gov and/or the National Association o=
f Securities Dealers ("NASD") at http://www.nasd.com . We also strongly re=
commend that you read the SEC advisory to investors concerning Internet Sto=
ck Fraud, which can be found at http://www.sec.gov/consumer/cyberfr.htm .=
Readers can review all public filings by companies at the SEC's EDGAR page=
. The NASD has published information on how to invest carefully at its web =
site. =09

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