Enron Mail

From:info@forexnews.com
To:sara.shackleton@enron.com
Subject:Japanese Preview
Cc:
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Date:Wed, 16 Jan 2002 16:38:30 -0800 (PST)


[IMAGE] Forums Discuss these points in the Forums: Forexnews Forum T=
echnicals Live Charts Analysis available from: Cornelius Luca J.P. Chorek=
Technical Research Ltd. Charts & News featuring Standard & Poor's =
Interest Rates US: Japan: Eurozone: UK: Switzerland: 1.75% 0.15% 3.=
25% 4.0% 1.25-2.25% [IMAGE] =09 [IMAGE] Japanese Forex Trading =
Preview January 16, 7:00 PM: EUR/$..0.8844 $/JPY..132.19 GBP/$..1.4374 $/CH=
F..1.6576 Japanese Forex Trading Preview by Darko Pavlovic At 6:50 Japan =
Nov undadjusted currenct account surplus (exp n/f , prev n/a) At1 2:30:00 A=
M Japan Dec Tokyo dpt store sales (exp n/f, prev 1% ) At 12:00:00 AM Japan=
Dec Cabinet Office econ. Watchers survey (exp 29 prev 29.6) USD/JPY ros=
e by three-fourth yen to a session high of 132.08 and Japanese currency wea=
kened by more than three-fourth yen to a session low of 116.59 against the =
euro, after Finance Minister Shiokawa said overnight that Japan was not del=
iberately driving the yen down. The Bank of Japan expected decision to leav=
e monetary policy unchanged had little impact on the yen. The BoJ raised cu=
rrent account deposit target at 10-15 trln yen. Therefore, the buying forei=
gn assets may not be a viable policy option if the market continues to push=
JPY lower. The yen was also hurt after director general in the MoF Mizoguc=
hi said the currency's fourth month slide is a result of poor Japanese econ=
omic outlook. Economic Minister Takenaka said that Japan's exports, is show=
ing signs of bottoming and is starting to bounce back, although the overall=
economy continues to deteriorate. Minister's report announced that the eco=
nomy is in its second straight month of contraction, with consumer spending=
and corporate capital investment remaining low. Takenaka was hopeful that =
the US growth would help recovery of Japan: "I think the recovery of the U.=
S. economy will be faster than expected," the minister said. LDP Sec-Genera=
l Yamasaki said that weak state of Japanese stock market reflect pessimisti=
c outlook investors have about the economy. Yamasaki added that the governm=
ent and the ruling coalition needed to have a clear outlook for the economy=
, saying that currently, the economy is in a "deflationary recession." Japa=
n November current account surplus rose 19.4% fro a year earlier to 1.125 t=
rln yen. The trade surplus shrank 16.9% to 640.1 bln yen. Resistance is ey=
ed at 132.70 and 133.20. Support holds at 131.0, 130.80 and 130.50. The eu=
ro rebound to 88.45 after falling to a to a 2-1/2 week low of 88.04 cents d=
ue to alleged sell-off by Spanish banks in order to cover their exposure to=
the Argentinean financial crisis. The single currency rose lifted by the E=
UR/JPY rise and after EU's Solbes remark that he believes the euro will br=
ing better economic growth. Resistance at 88.50, 89.50 and 90.0. Support is=
viewed at 88.0, 87.50 and 87.0. The release of yesterday's strong US reta=
il sales figures sparked hope that the US economy is on the road to recover=
y. The dollar held fairly steady against the majors following the release o=
f industrial production data that came in slightly below but within expecta=
tions. US Industrial production eased to -0.1% in December from the previou=
s -0.3% for the fifth consecutive monthly decline. The Capacity Utilization=
rate slipped to 74.4% vs. the previous 74.5% to its lowest rate since Apri=
l 1983. Similarly, US manufacturing output rose to -0.1% in December from t=
he previous -0.2%, while its corresponding capacity utilization rate edged =
down to 72.8% from 72.9%. US stocks tumbled on negative earnings announceme=
nts by JP Morgan Chase and Intel Corp, which revealed that it would slash c=
apital spending in 2002. The Dow plunged to its lowest level since late Nov=
ember 2001 by 2% or 211 points to 9712. NASDAQ fell by 2.8% or 56 points to=
1944. Tomorrow's US jobless claims are expected to rise to 426k from last=
week's 395k due to underfiled claims in California because of a new law. T=
he rise may be offset slightly by the re-opening of auto factories after a =
winter close and decreased layoffs in the retail sector. Also due for relea=
se in the next US session is housing starts, which are forecasted to declin=
e slightly to 1.6 million from the previous 1.645 mln though holding fairly=
strong. Housing permits are estimated to edge up to 1.6 million in Decembe=
r from the previous 1.595 mln. The US Treasury Department announced Wednes=
day a plan to meet with the representatives of the National Association of =
Manufacturers to discuss the effect of strong dollar policy. Last week NAM =
Vice President Vargo requested a meeting with the US Treasury Undersecretar=
y for Int. Affairs Taylor to complain that the strong dollar policy is hurt=
ing the exports and slowing down the recovery of the US economy. Vargo thin=
ks that the dollar is currently overvalued. In the recent months the dollar=
has strengthened against major currencies despite the US economic slowdow=
n. =09[IMAGE] Audio Mkt. Analysis USD Steadies Despite Equities Sell-=
off Articles & Ideas EUR/USD: Technical Analysis Greenspan Widens=
Door for One More, But... Articles & Ideas Forex Glossary Economic=
Indicators Forex Guides Link Library [IMAGE] =09
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