Enron Mail

From:info@forexnews.com
To:sara.shackleton@enron.com
Subject:Japanese Preview
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Date:Thu, 14 Feb 2002 16:13:46 -0800 (PST)


[IMAGE] Forums Discuss these points in the Forums: Forexnews Forum T=
echnicals Live Charts Analysis available from: Cornelius Luca J.P. Chorek=
Technical Research Ltd. Charts & News featuring Standard & Poor's =
Interest Rates US: Japan: Eurozone: UK: Switzerland: 1.75% 0.15% 3.=
25% 4.0% 1.25-2.25% [IMAGE] =09 [IMAGE] Japanese Forex Trading Pre=
view February 14, 7:00 PM: EUR/$..0.8740 $/JPY..131.87 GBP/$..1.4299 $/CHF=
..1.6965 Japanese Forex Trading Preview by Darko Pavlovic No key data. T=
he yen rose to a one week high vs. the dollar, around 132, boosted by repat=
riation flows ahead of the end of fiscal year on March 31, and by news that=
Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi asked his economic ministers to formulate =
anti-deflation measures prior to President Bush's visit to Japan this weeke=
nd. Also lifting the Japanese currency was the rebound in the Nikkei index =
back above the key 10,000-level. Additionally, the yen was supported by a s=
tronger-than-expected current account surplus that surged 42% from the prev=
ious year to 971.8 bln yen in December, arising more from an increase in th=
e income surplus that outpaced its trade surplus. The Financial Services Ag=
ency under direction of PM Koizumi will push banks to sell of their bad loa=
ns debt to the Resolution and Collection Corp. as a part of 6-point plan to=
stabilize the financial system. Koizumi's plan to stabilize financial syst=
em has two main goals: to improve the balance sheets of major banks through=
a sweeping disposal of non-performing loans and to stabilize the stock mar=
ket. USD/JPY support is seen at the 132-yen level, also a double bottom for=
mation, backed by 131.70 and 131.20. Upside capped at 133.0, 133.35/40 and =
133.70. EUR/USD rose to 87.40, boosted by Bank of France Governor Trichet=
's comments that the euro is currently undervalued. He reiterated that a st=
rong euro is in Europe's interest, and moreover, highlighted signs of recov=
ery present in Europe and the US. Overnight, the single currency had fallen=
to a 1-week low of 86.80, weighed by an unexpected drop in German retail s=
ales to -3.4% in December from the previous month's 1.6%, or to -4.1% y/y f=
rom the previous -0.4%. Separately, the European Central Bank noted nothing=
new about its inflation or growth outlook, but repeated that interest rate=
s are appropriate to bring inflation below 2% this year. EUR/USD resistance=
is seen at 87.50, followed by 88.20 and the 200-day moving average at 88.5=
0. Key support holds at 86.80, 86.45/50 the 61.8% retracement of the most r=
ecent climb starting on Feb 1 and 85.50. The first piece of US data to be =
released tomorrow morning is the Producer Price Index, which is expected to=
rebound to 0.3% in January from the previous -0.7% on increasing oil and g=
asoline prices. PPI Ex-Food/Energy is also forecasted to rise to 0.1% in Ja=
nuary from the previous -0.1%. The next release will be US industrial produ=
ction for which analysts project will either hold steady at -0.1% m/m or di=
p to -0.3% in January because of a decline in hours worked. Manufacturing i=
n most areas is likely to have slowed, with the exception being for high-te=
ch which should rise for the second straight month to 1.0% in January vs. t=
he previous 0.3% as orders accelerate. Finally, the University of Michigan =
Sentiment survey is anticipated to edge up to 93.4 in the preliminary Febru=
ary reading from the previous 93.0. However, other economists estimate the =
index will fall to 90.8 because of uncertainty in the stock markets. Theref=
ore, both the current conditions and expectations components of the confide=
nce survey are expected to fall as well. Key Eurozone indicators consist o=
f German CPI and HICP, French employment, French trade balance, French indu=
strial production and Italian industrial production. The remaining data rel=
ease from Japan is Tokyo department store sales. =09[IMAGE] Audio Mkt. A=
nalysis JPY, EUR rebound vs USD Articles & Ideas Euro Rally Running =
Out of Steam The Swiss National Bank and the franc Articles & Ideas=
Forex Glossary Economic Indicators Forex Guides Link Library [I=
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