Enron Mail

From:info@forexnews.com
To:sara.shackleton@enron.com
Subject:Japanese Preview
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Date:Sun, 24 Feb 2002 16:11:51 -0800 (PST)


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echnicals Live Charts Analysis available from: Cornelius Luca J.P. Chorek=
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Interest Rates US: Japan: Eurozone: UK: Switzerland: 1.75% 0.15% 3.=
25% 4.0% 1.25-2.25% [IMAGE] =09 [IMAGE] Japanese Forex Trading Pre=
view February 24, 7:00 PM: EUR/$..0.8751 $/JPY..134.03 GBP/$..1.4316 $/CHF=
..1.6896 Japanese Forex Trading Preview by Darko Pavlovic At 6:50:00 PM=
Japan Jan Trade Balance (exp n/f, prev 661.3 bln) The dollar is trad=
ing above 134 yen, as markets wait for Japan's anti deflation program due o=
ut on Wednesday that could bring some hope to already ailing economy. Due a=
lso this week is Bank of Japan's Policy Board meeting on Thursday and US Fe=
d Chairman Greenspan's bi annual speech before Congress on Wednesday. Prime=
Minister Koizumi is expected to announce his plans to fight deflation on W=
ednesday, and measures include proposals for the Bank of Japan to add forei=
gn bonds and exchange-traded investment funds to its list of assets for pur=
chase as well as increasing the amount of government bonds it purchases out=
right.. Should the reform package disappoint markets, the yen is likely to =
come under renewed downward pressure. It also urged the Resolution and Coll=
ection Corp. to increase its purchase of problem loans from banks, calling =
on the body to draw on the expertise of specialists in the area of corporat=
e rehabilitation and debt appraisal. The RCC needs to upgrade it operations=
, which now focus too heavily on minimizing possible losses on the loans it=
acquires, according to the panel. Japan January customs cleared trade bala=
nce turned to a surplus of 1881. bln yen after registering a deficit of 95.=
7 bln yen a year earlier. Japan's surplus with the US, its largest trading =
partner rose 14.9% y/y to 524.8 bln yen, for the first time in 10 months.Up=
side capped at 134.50, followed by 134.85 and 135.15. Support holds at 133.=
20, 133.and132.50. EUR/USD is trading around 87.50 rising on Friday's bet=
ter-than-expected Eurozone current account surplus of 2.9 bln euros in Dece=
mber that brought the c/a deficit down to 9.3 bln euros in 2001 from 70.1 b=
ln in 2000. The gain in the current account surplus was offset by a fall in=
portfolio investment of 11.1 bln euros in December, even though net portfo=
lio flows reached a 40.9 bln euro inflow versus a 102.8 bln outflow in 2000=
. In a recent Reuters survey, economists forecasted that although Eurozone =
inflation would fall in February, it would still be above the European Cent=
ral Bank's 2% ceiling and thus lessen the chances the ECB would lower rates=
at its next monetary policy meeting on March 7. Eurozone HICP, which is du=
e this Thursday, is estimated to edge down to 2.4% y/y from 2.5% in January=
. Eventually, analysts foresee the central bank will cut rates when inflati=
on falls lower, possibly by the second quarter of this year. Resistance is =
seen at 87.85, 88.10 and the 200-day moving average at 88.50. Support is vi=
ewed at 86.80, 86.45/50 and 86.10. Looking forward to this week, key US in=
dicators include existing home sales, Conference Board Consumer Confidence =
survey, durable goods, new home sales, jobless claims, GDP, Chicago Purchas=
ing Managers Index, personal income and consumption, University of Michigan=
confidence survey, ISM (formerly NAPM) PMI. In the midst of all the econom=
ic releases, markets will be carefully listening to Fed Chairman Greenspan'=
s semi-annual monetary policy testimony before the House Financial Services=
Committee on Wednesday for any hint that the central bank may begin to rai=
se interest rates sometime this year. Major data due for release from the E=
urozone comprise German PPI, Spanish PPI, German Ifo business climate indic=
ator, French CPI, Italian foreign trade, Euroarea M3, German GDP, French IN=
SEE industry survey, French PPI, Italian retail sales, Belgian CPI, Euroare=
a HICP, French unemployment, Italy's ISAE industrial confidence survey, Ita=
lian PPI, Euroarea manufacturing PMI, Euroarea retail sales, German manufac=
turing PMI, French manufacturing PMI, France's INSEE household survey, Ital=
ian manufacturing PMI, Italian CPI, Italian GDP, and Spanish unemployment. =
=09[IMAGE] Audio Mkt. Analysis USD Holds Steady Despite Drop in Stocks =
Articles & Ideas Off Goes the Franc, On Comes Jospin JPY: Japan's R=
eform Dilemma Articles & Ideas Forex Glossary Economic Indicators =
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