Enron Mail

From:info@forexnews.com
To:sara.shackleton@enron.com
Subject:Japanese Preview
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Date:Sun, 28 Oct 2001 16:19:11 -0800 (PST)


[IMAGE] Forums Discuss these points in the Forums: Forexnews Forum T=
echnicals Live Charts Analysis available from: Cornelius Luca J.P. Chorek=
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Interest Rates US: Japan: Eurozone: UK: Switzerland: 2.5% 0.15% 3.7=
5% 4.5% 1.75-2.75% [IMAGE] =09 [IMAGE] Japanese Forex Trading Prev=
iew October 28, 7:00 PM: EUR/$..0.8925 $/JPY..122.76 GBP/$..1.4372 $/CHF..=
1.6526 Japanese Forex Trading Preview by Darko Pavlovic At 6:50:00 PM Jap=
an Sept Ind Production m/m (exp -2.3%, prev 0.8%) Japan Sept Ind Prod y/y (=
exp -11.9%, prev -11.7%) The dollar is holding against the euro and the y=
en as investors still find the US as the most attractive place to invest, d=
espite last month attacks and ongoing war against terrorism. The dollar has=
gained 4.4% vs. the single currency and 6.2% vs. the yen since September 1=
1. The yen is likely to be further undermined vs. the dollar on Monday trad=
ing after Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed that September ind=
ustrial output fell 2.9% from a month earlier, worse than the markets forec=
asts of 2.5% drop. The ministry noted that industrial output continues to b=
e on a declining trend. Future movements about the outlook for final demand=
will be highly scrutinized. Analysts believe the July-September GDP will c=
ontract for the second straight quarter to bring the Japanese economy into =
a recession, following the decline in April-June GDP to -0.8%. Government o=
fficials said they were in the midst of compiling lowered economic forecast=
s to reflect the global downturn worsened by last month's terrorist attacks=
. The Bank of Japan will meet for a regular policy-setting meeting on Monda=
y, but is unlikely to take action as it waits for the government to impleme=
nt structural reforms to salvage the recession-bound economy. The Nikon Kei=
zai Shimbun noted that more consumers are spending less as the economy wors=
ens and unemployment rises bringing the index to its lowest level since 199=
1.The government is plans to open the mailing service to private businesses=
in a step-by-step manner in fiscal 2003. The privatization of the postal s=
ervices is one of the key reforms initiated by PM Koizumi. The ruling LDP c=
andidates won the House of Representatives by elections in Miagi and Shiga =
prefectures on Sunday, helping the ruling party recuperate its simple major=
ity in the 480 seat lower house, which lose in a general election last year=
. Support stands at 122.60, 122.32 and 122.0. Resistance is eyed at 123.35,=
123.65 and 123.90. The euro is trading around $0.8930 undermined from Fr=
iday's release of Eurozone M3 data, which skyrocketed to 7.6% in September =
from 6.7%. The 3-month moving average also rose to 6.9% from the previous r=
evised 6.5%. The Bank of France's Trichet expressed his confidence the euro=
would appreciate. Analysts believe that the ECB's reluctance to ease monet=
ary policy even in the face of an economic downturn is likely to put the eu=
ro under considerable selling pressure and see $0.8850 as major support. H=
owever, statements from ECB officials would seem to suggest the bank is mul=
ling over a rate cut in the future, particularly as price pressures continu=
e to subside, and new evidence confirms the deteriorating economic performa=
nce of the Eurozone. German Chancellor Schroeder said Friday, we must do ev=
erything possible to encourage investment that will create jobs. Support is=
viewed at the 89.0-cent figure, followed by 88.50 and 88.20. Upside capped=
at 89.50, 89.80 and 90.10. This week the key US indicators are the Confe=
rence Board Consumer Confidence survey, Real GDP, Chicago Purchasing Manage=
rs Survey, personal income and consumption, National Purchasing Managers Su=
rvey, and the labor market report. From the Eurozone, economic highlights i=
nclude France's INSEE industry survey, PPI, CPI, French unemployment, and E=
uroarea PMI. =09[IMAGE] Audio Mkt. Analysis GBP Ralies, JPY Falters =
Articles & Ideas Speculative Flows Point to Further Euro Losses ECB KE=
EPS RATES UNCHANGED AT 3.75% Articles & Ideas Forex Glossary Econom=
ic Indicators Forex Guides Link Library [IMAGE] =09
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