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Subject:Presidents Bush (Former and Current) Speak on Energy Issues
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Date:Thu, 17 May 2001 08:18:00 -0700 (PDT)

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May 17, 2001

Presidents Bush (Former and Current) Speak on Energy Issues

By Will McNamara
Director, Electric Industry Analysis

[IMAGE]Introduced and sponsored by LODESTAR Corp.'s CEO Chris Hamilos,
President George Herbert Walker Bush delivered the keynote presentation this
morning at the 25th Annual CIS Conference being held in Albuquerque, N.M. The
41st president of the United States spoke mostly from a personal perspective
about the highlights of his illustrious business and political career, and
reiterated his strong support for his son, President George W. Bush, whom he
affectionately refers to as "43" (as in 43rd president).

The former President Bush made it clear that he is now enjoying his
retirement and avoids making public statements regarding political policy.
However, the former president did field questions from the audience regarding
a few energy issues and acknowledged the parallels between the issues he
faced in his administration, and those that are presently challenging his
son. Much of the buzz throughout the conference focused on the current
president's just-released energy task plan, a 165-page report that outlines
approximately 105 steps that the new administration will take to address
current energy problems.

Former President Bush recalled the Gulf War and how one of the key issues
during that time was ensuring energy supply from Saudi Arabia. The former
president acknowledged that he felt compelled to launch the battle against
Saddam Hussein, who threatened the energy supplies needed to serve the world.
Further, President Bush referred to the political challenges he faced in his
presidency, during which time a predominantly Democratic Congress "that saw
the big picture issues in a different light" often made it difficult to find
common ground.

The former president made only brief (but rather significant) references to
his son's new energy policy. Having talked with Vice President Dick Cheney
last evening, former President Bush said he was aware that the new,
broad-based plan focused heavily on new supply, along with secondary measures
for conservation efforts. This is an approach that the former president fully
supports as he noted that "if you want to lower energy prices, you need to
establish more supply." In addition, the former president offered that
additional drilling efforts, an element of the plan that has sparked a great
deal of controversy, "has to happen" if the nation is truly committed to
increasing supply. However, former President Bush did suggest that the nation
must be patient as it will take "several years" to see any significant
decrease in energy prices as economic forces must be allowed to support new
development efforts.

Meanwhile, the energy task plan released by the current President Bush this
morning holds few surprises but continues to spark a great deal of debate. As
expected, the administration supports efforts for increased drilling of oil
in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, easing of clean-air rules that
should support increased power plant production and streamlining the permit
process for oil refinery expansion and construction. These platforms have
been in place for months and form the foundation for the energy plan.

However, new elements of the plan that have emerged just within the last few
days are raising the most eyebrows. For instance, the extent to which nuclear
power factors into the administration's energy plan is perhaps greater than
was previously anticipated. Specifically, the Bush plan proposes the
extension of the life for aging nuclear plants and the use of so-called
"breeder reactors," which use spent nuclear fuel. Breeder reactors, although
rather common in Europe and Japan, have not been used in the United States
since the 1970s, when it was discovered that the reactors tend to produce
nuclear weapon-grade plutonium as a by-product.

Other key elements of the plan include:

Providing eminent domain authority to the federal government, which would
supersede states' rights to approve new transmission line capacity.
Expediting the license procedures for hydroelectric and geothermal plants.
Streamlining the approval process for power plant siting, and speeding up the
relicensing requirements for nuclear plants.
Drafting legislation to cap emissions of nitrogen oxide and mercury, which
are common by-products of coal-fired production. In turn, the Bush
administration supports exploring new clean-coal technologies, which should
increase production by coal-fired generating plants.
A further study of the current restrictions put into place by the Clean Air
Act, which presently limits the production at oil refineries and power
plants. The issue here is whether or not such restrictions should be lifted
or reduced so that additional oil and power production can be pursued.

As has been the case since the start of the new administration, the
continuing criticism of the new Bush plan is that it is overly specific and
strong on new supply efforts, while remaining vague and noncommittal to
conservation efforts. However, the specific conservation proposals in the
energy plan include providing consumers $4 billion in tax credits through
2007 to encourage the purchase of high-mileage, gas-electric hybrid vehicles.
In addition, President Bush has proposed providing tax benefits to
co-generation plants, which produce both heat and electricity. Others,
including the current president's father, might argue that conservation
efforts have received just the right amount of attention in the new plan as
market forces (high prices) already are driving renewed conservation across
the country.

Just as former President Bush faced a predominantly Democratic Congress that
often thwarted his policy measures, the current President Bush continues to
buck heads with Democrats in Washington who are crafting their own energy
plan. In fact, just two days ago, a group of House Democrats led by House
Minority Leader Richard Gephardt (D-Miss.) outlined a plan that calls for
increased oil drilling and building new pipelines to transport natural gas
(both of which run rather parallel to the Bush plan). However, Democrats have
focused more heavily on conservation efforts in their own plan, as
illustrated by a series of tax incentives to help consumers build energy
efficient homes and purchase hybrid gas and electric automobiles.
Consequently, the energy issues continue to sharply divide the two parties,
although in reality there may enough commonality among Republicans and
Democrats to support cooperation in Congress. That cooperation may be
necessary as Congress must approve President Bush's energy plan in order for
it to take effect.

TOMORROW: Summary of CIS Conference and analysis of key IT issues facing the
energy industry.

An archive list of previous IssueAlerts is available at
www.scientech.com


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