Enron Mail

From:frank.hayden@enron.com
To:phillip.allen@enron.com, fletcher.sturm@enron.com, john.arnold@enron.com,scott.neal@enron.com, thomas.martin@enron.com, jim.schwieger@enron.com, hunter.shively@enron.com
Subject:Change in Correlations for VaR 08/31/00
Cc:vladimir.gorny@enron.com, john.lavorato@enron.com
Bcc:vladimir.gorny@enron.com, john.lavorato@enron.com
Date:Thu, 31 Aug 2000 11:38:00 -0700 (PDT)

Attached is the latest correlation matrix being used in VaR (08/31/00). As
expected, correlations between NYMEX and SoCal weaken, moving from 87% to 82%
, Malin tightened from 94% to 96%, Rockies from 94% to 99%, ElPaso SJ from
94% to 98%, Permian from 99% to 1, AECO from 96% to 97%.

The most significant change in correlations came from SoCal. The old factor
loading had SoCal/Rockies 95% correlated, today it is in the system as 74%.
The SoCal/San Juan relationship fell apart moving from 98% to 75%. SoCal/AECO
from 95% to 76%, SoCal/Permian from 92% to 82%. Additionally, note that
IF-HeHub was dropped as a primary curve and Transco Z6 was added as a primary
curve.
Thanks,
Frank